The Pound Is Likely to Continue Up
The GBPUSD was extremely overbought in early October when it traded at 1.34000. Now, the situation has reversed. The pair is significantly oversold after reaching 1.30060 on 10 October. This shift was triggered by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, who signalled a more aggressive stance on interest rate cuts. However, the latest unemployment data, which edged lower to 4.0% from 4.1%, has effectively negated his dovish tone.
From a technical perspective, the Pound has fallen too far, having crossed below a trend support level. There seems to be nothing strong enough to break the uptrend until the US presidential election on 5 November. The BoE is also scheduled to hold its meeting on 7 November.
This presents an attractive upside opportunity for the Cable. I am planning to open long positions at 1.30200-1.30700, targeting 1.32500-1.33000, which suggests the price may continue to follow the trend support. A stop-loss can be set at 1.28300.
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