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- Diversification Inside Tech Sector: Taiwan Semiconductor
Diversification Inside Tech Sector: Taiwan Semiconductor
TMS is the most valuable semiconductor producer in the world. Its stock went down by 40% during the recent market correction, and rebounded slightly after a strong Q1 2023 earnings report. The company reported an operational margin at 45.5% as production of 5 nm and 7 nm chips is increasing. The company continues to generate profit despite decreasing demand for personal computers after surging during the pandemic in 2020-2021. Its financials are looking much stronger than its major peer Intel. In the worst-case scenario TSM’s operational margin is expected to decline to 40%, while Intel is expected to deliver a 39% operational margin with a negative net cash flow in Q1 2023. Taiwan Semiconductor is planning to spent between $32 billion to $36 billion on CAPEX this year, while Intel has cut CAPEX to $20 billion despite being 30% co-funded by the U.S. government. On the negative side, the company is quite vulnerable to geopolitical risks as tensions between China and Taiwan are mounting. Although, it is hard to believe that Beijing will take the island by force, these threats could not be discounted. China is building its image as a global peacemaker while promoting its roadmap to establish peace between Russia and Ukraine, and the recent China-brokered agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Economic ambitions of China are also a major hurdle for a military solution of the long-lasting conflict as the destruction of the chip production facilities of TSM will make such military operations pointless in the economic sense. In other words, TSM stocks may interest very optimistic investors that are seeking extra profit amid recovering demand for chips in the second half of` 2023.
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