Gold to US Dollar
- By date
- Metadoro first
The US Nonfarm Payrolls came out as high as one could only imagine. The economy surprisingly created 272,000 new jobs in May, today's data revealed, compared to expert pools consensus projections at 182,000. Yet, no market bull actually wanted this nasty surprise, as it may rather prolong the era of both nationally and globally elevated interest rates. Average hourly earnings grew by 0.4% month-on-month, giving a potential price pressure message after 0.2% only in April. The unemployment rate at 4.0% after 3.9% was the only worse-than-expected position to paradoxically form a kind of light stripe in today's set of Labour Department's statistics.
As a result, the S&P 500 broad market indicator lost just about 0.7% within an hour of the crowd's response on Wall Street. Two or three more dozens of points could be still wasted at some moment during this choppy session, yet the Olympic style of calmness would be a more fitting behaviour for a noble man or woman, especially if he or she is a stock investor and not a currency trader. Currency traders now may care about new possible records on USDJPY, as the Japanese Yen may be going to storm its 160 barrier again, while EURUSD got itself further away from approaching 1.10 in the foreseeable future. Longer periods of hawkish Fed's policy (at least until November) make the Greenback a top choice among other reserve currencies.
As to stock investments, I feel that inflation worries, based on higher salary indications, would serve as a lifeline in the sea of doubts, because money is keeping its inspiration to escape from inflation threats, even when this money remains more expensive in terms of credit payment. If so, inflation pessimists will be bound to turn into Wall Street optimists once again, as most of them have no other choice where to put any excessive fund flows. If only the S&P 500 dares to touch the area below 5,300, most of the crowd would become so thirsty for buying fresh dips in any popular stocks.
At the same time, Gold began to sink, as higher-for-longer bond yields prospects partially derailed its ability to attract discriminating investors. Therefore, I decided to close my long positions in XAUUSD, which I successfully reinforced at nearly $2265 per ounce in early April. The yellow metal's path from below $2000 in the very start of 2024 to $2450 at the last decade of May is probably interrupted for a while, and I prefer to wait and see outside gold investments. I am not sure the major technical support area between $2280 and $2315 will survive, but time will show.
Gold to US Dollar
- It is traditionally considered as a safe haven asset, which is in demand when market uncertainty and risks are rising. Geopolitical tensions, economic turbulence, and high inflation usually contributes to rising gold prices;
- Gold prices usually move in the opposite direction to the U.S. Dollar vs other currencies. This is not only because gold prices are measured in U.S. Dollars, but also because it derives from the comparison of the yields of safe haven Dollar-denominated assets like U.S. Treasuries that have regular coupons and Gold itself that has no extra paid interest. So, a rising Dollar and Dollar-denominated assets result in lower demand for Gold, dumping its price;
- The demand for precious metal and its use in production purposes also affect gold prices. For example, central banks may have extra demand for gold because they want to store it into their Forex and Gold reserves. Jewelers can contribute to elevated demand too;
- Gold prices could become extremely volatile during trading in a very short period of time. This volatility usually exceeds currencies, commodities, and stocks by far. It may result in a large profit, but it also has large risks while trading.
Traders must be cautious when trading gold. It is better to trade with low volumes. Experience in trading is vital to exercise gold trading.
Ticker | XAUUSD XAU/USD |
Contract value | 100 Tr.Oz. |
Maximum leverage | 1:100 |
Date | Short Swap (%) | Long Swap (%) | No data |
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Minimum transaction volume | 0.01 lot |
Maximum transaction volume | 100 lots |
Hedging margin | 50% |
USD Exposure | Max Leverage Applied | Floating Margin |
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