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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

Two Stocks That Look Undervalued: AMD

The boom of artificial intelligence (AI) ran a bit ahead, yet the recent price corrections of a too fast rally on chip stocks may give investors a chance to buy them cheaper. A smart purchase often follows the market crowd's blood tears.

For example, the recent estimate about AI chip availability by Microsoft CEO Kevin Scott he just shared during the Code Conference on September 27 was an improved access to NVIDIA AI chips compared to a few months ago. Yet, he also noted that demand was far exceeding the supply of GPU (graphic processing units) capacity that the whole ecosystem could produce. The situation is resolving, but it’s still tight, and that was a piece of news of one of the world's largest chip users and players on this market.

A Microsoft top manager did not confirm directly any rumours about his company’s work on proprietary AI-related chips with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), just limited himself by saying that Microsoft is doing a bunch of interesting work with AMD to make increasingly compelling GPU offerings. Probably, we will get even more good news ahead on that front.

Meanwhile, Advanced Micro Devices CTO Mark Papermaster said later, at Mizuho Software Conference in early October, there is a growing interest in "open-source, hardware non-specific" AI architecture in the cloud and enterprise sectors, potential resolutions for data portability issues through software containers, increased software focus with a significant headcount increase, and the introduction of Siena, which is AMD's low-power roadmap with 64 cores designed for telco/edge and hyperscale applications. Buy rating for AI chip production leaders, including NVIDIA and AMD, looks justified, with at least a nearly $140-150 price target range for AMD, as its chips are seemingly ready for a massive market share capture with its MI300X chip model in 2024-2025. The current AMD stock price is just around $100, plus or minus $2, compared to almost $133 in the beginning of June, in the wake of the AI first hyping wave of 2023.

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Two Stocks That Look Undervalued: Boeing

The share price of this powerhouse of the aviation industry has been slowly moving down from $230+ area in the late summer to the levels below $190 in the beginning of October. A thick fog of broad correction on Wall Street indexes prevents the investing crowd from detecting whether a landing strip for Boeing stock is already somewhere closely beneath the chassis, or this smooth descent may have larger space ahead. Nevertheless, Boeing capitalization now returned to its values of Christmas 2022, hence it significantly outstripped many other industrials and tech companies in a pace of decline during the recent months.

The situation looks increasingly abnormal, even though the famous plane maker has not generated profit since Q2 2021. The pandemic blow was painful, yet Boeing CEOs just came up in July with a more or less adequate and precise plan on how they were going to come back. The number of new orders, especially from Asian airlines, are growing during this year, while the regulatory troubles with 737 family planes are over. Boeing is also a prominent player in the U.S. defence industry. Therefore, its quarterly losses improved from more than $6 billion in Q3 2022 to $0.82 billion in Q2 2023, which was also less than many experts feared. Boeing revenue surplus is accelerating from $14 billion in the first three months of 2022 to $19.8 billion in April-July 2023. All of the above reasons are enough for Boeing stock to fly from its $200-220 range of the first half of the year to a peaking price of $243 after July's earnings report.

A 180-degree turn from a former uptrend happened after several investing funds and research companies downgraded Boeing to Hold from Buy in their portfolios. For example, the Centre for Financial Research and Analysis (CFRA) cut Boeing stock price target to $210 from $253, based on revision of earnings estimates to higher expected loss per share of $3.29 in 2023 and to smaller earnings per share (EPS) of $5.39 in 2024. As CFRA detailed, Boeing previously guided for potential deliveries of its family of 737 planes at 50 per month by the 2025-2026 period, but the company's own current guidance remained below its guidance levels of 2019. Some part of a downturn has been attributed to Boeing supplier issues with Spirit AeroSystem. JPMorgan's analysts slightly lowered their estimate to a $245 price target for this reason, yet this is still 30% above current price levels for Boeing.

Yet, even sceptics recognize that a long-term potential for aircraft demand is growing, as many estimates are saying that more than 75% of the 2022 global fleet may require replacement by 2042. This unveils new opportunities for Boeing, as well as its European rival Airbus. United Airlines has announced on October 3 that a significant expansion to its fleet is needed. The airline has ordered an additional 110 aircrafts, including 50 Boeing 787-9s and 60 Airbus A321neos. Deliveries are scheduled to be launched in 2028 to be finished in early 2030s. United Airlines also secured options for an additional 50 Boeing 787s and purchase rights for 40 more A321neos. Both Groups will continue to benefit from this. Even though the long and winding road may lead the share price of Boeing at first to a forced re-test of lower technical support levels like $170 or even $150, then a return at least to price targets between $220 and $240 seems to be a basic scenario for the airline industry giant.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
EOS May Shoot Out in Either Direction Soon

EOS prices dropped by 2.5% to $0.57 per coin since the beginning of the week after an unsuccessful effort to hold above the support at $0.60. The coin signals that the extremely narrow consolidation would be over soon.

The same type of consolidation in the first half of August resulted in a 30% drop of EOS prices to $0.51 per coin. This doesn’t meant that the story will be repeated this time. The coin has enough examples to shoot out of the consolidation in either direction. The most intriguing is that this consolidation is extremely narrow, which may signal a strong move out. This could be similar to October 2020, when EOS prices first lost 15% and latter jumped by 73%.

This is not certain too. But it is likely that the coin could lose about 13% to $0.50 first as prices are below the support of $0.60 per coin. Further developments should be closely monitored amid the nearing end of the crypto winter.

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A
Dogecoin Continues Sideways

Dogecoin is trading sideways within the range between 0.0589-0.0591 and 0.0634-0.0641 for the last three weeks. Its prices are nearing the support of this range now. So, it would be interesting to consider long trades from 0.0589-0.0591 with a target at 0.0634, the high of September 21. The stop-loss could be set slightly below 0.0579, which is the low of August 14.

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