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16.01.2025
Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

23.01.2025
Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

14.01.2025
Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

09.01.2025
VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

14.01.2025
Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Tezos Is Building Momentum towards $1.000

Tezos (XTZ) is down 3.6% this week to $0.841, underperforming the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) is trading flat at $118,717. Volatility remains elevated, with XTZ surging 10% to $0.963 on Tuesday before sliding 5.0% to $0.829 on Thursday amid rising U.S. producer inflation. No project-specific positive news appears likely to counter broader market trends, but the token has held firm at the $0.800 support, which could provide a base for a climb toward $1.000 if overall market sentiment improves.

7
Cisco Took Just Little More Than a Breather

In late June, our team of analysts highlighted the growing chances of Cisco's stock price outperformance. We mentioned, in particular, the range of potential price targets from $65 to $73 per share, with the rally expected to accelerate in the summer months, but it all came to less than 6 weeks. Cisco briefly visited $72.55 on August 11 holding above $70 in the following days in anticipation of its quarterly earnings release. After the release that has come out mostly in line with elevated expectations, Cisco has "earned" a bit of a breather, if we may say so.

Cisco did its service; Cisco can go sideways. A kind of flat movement could be expected with partial profit taking along with bullish repositioning at the same time. The initial response led to a 2.5% decline to $68.5 confirming this idea, even though after-hours trading subsequently returned the stock price above $70, recouping all losses. Minor pullbacks and rising waves could alternate over the next few days and later into August. So, we would now look for $62.5 to $65 as a new potential technical support zone, as there is little fundamental reasoning to go down further. Buying all those dips is a more logical scenario. But the market may not hold to these support levels, so that the retracement potential could be much more limited in practice. A gradual move to new and higher targets within the $77.5 to $80 area would be worth keeping in mind.

Moving on to the details of the report, Cisco's EPS (equity per share) added 13.8% YoY, from $0.87 to $0.99, jumping vs last quarter's $0.62. But the latest solid number was fully expected, so that it happened to be only $0.01 better than the average Wall St analyst pool estimate of $0.98. Quarterly revenue came out at $14.67 billion against the consensus number of $14.62 billion, with both figures being more than $1 billion above last year's result for the same season, but missed Cisco's all-time record high of August 2023 at $15.2 billion. The company's forward guidance for investors included Q1 2026 EPS of $0.97 to $0.99, slightly better than nominal consensus of $0.97, on revenue of $14.65 billion to $14.85 billion, also better than average analyst pool forecast of $14.65 billion. There are no big surprises to smash the market minds here. For the financial year of 2026, the company expects EPS of $4.00-$4.06, just the range around the analyst consensus of $4.03. The same rather routine but happy end is projected for its 2026 revenue of $59.00 billion to $60.00 billion, right around the consensus bet for $59.50 billion. Cisco is actually following a kind of historical trend of slightly beating the crowd's hopes, which are traditionally high but doable.

Producing and upgrading AI-related networking equipment for a nearly doubled number of customers (compared to the company's own initial expectations) to move workloads into the cloud environment was cited as the main driver. AI infrastructure orders exceeded $800 million in the quarter, providing the total for the year to exceed $2 billion. Cisco introduced over 20 new products in the segment of AI innovations. The company also entered the Internet of Things industry at the right time. Given all this, but also the fact that Cisco is already up more than 10% in the last 3 months and added more than 50% in the previous 12 months, higher goals for the asset look appropriate, but markets may need to give Cisco some breathing space before resuming the rally.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Binance Coin to Hit $1000 Ceiling

Binance Coin (BNB) is up 7.4% this week to $861.00, outperforming the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has added 2.6% to $121,836. BNB broke above the $800 resistance in late July and successfully retested this level in August, with prices now targeting the $900 mark and potentially the trend resistance at $1,000, which may serve as a temporary pause point. The steady uptrend reflects the coin’s growing popularity, supported by a broadly positive crypto backdrop. Bitcoin has finally cleared the $117,000–$120,000 resistance zone, setting a new all-time high at $124,544. If BTC holds above $120,000, its rally could accelerate toward $155,000–$165,000, while BNB may continue climbing toward $1,000.

8
B
Amazon Restores after Early August's Tempest in a Teacup

Amazon stock price is gradually gaining momentum again. The bullish rebound from its lows at nearly $211.50 ten days ago up to the closing price at nearly $224.50 on Wednesday is a clear confirmation of resuming the positive stance by the crowd after a plop down from the direct vicinity of historical peaks around $235 hot on the trail of the e-commerce giant's quarterly report released on July 31. It seems that every adequate investor already realised at that moment that an excuse behind the sharp markdown was not worth a straw from the very beginning. Not only were the Q2 figures solid, but Amazon also projected its current quarter's revenue well above consensus expectations. Meanwhile, a hard-to-discover weakness in the non-core cloud segment of Amazon's business was rather well-fingered and thus overplayed. Now when those temporary lower have been properly bought out by all interested parties, market price justice is being restored.

The new driver for this was the announcement of adding perishable foods to same-day delivery yesterday, on August 13. This gave the asset price an extra 1.4% gain within the last trading session to let it almost touch $225, while consistently growing price lows have been drawn on the charts since August 4. Looks like a good technical sign for the next crowded purchase very soon! Amazon's online sales could grow even more after this, as it allowed Amazon Prime's loyalty program members to order for free even more items like milk, strawberries or frozen dinners alongside electronics to the doorstep of a consumer to challenge the same kind of services by Walmart, Instacart or Uber Eats, as the three most popular rival examples in the US. Shares of Instacart, were down 11.5% over the same day.

Amazon plans to occupy 2,300 cities with this new service by the end of 2025. They are reportedly investing as much as $4 billion to bring same-day and next-day deliveries to 4,000 rural communities. Those who pay $14.99 monthly or $139 annually for being part of Amazon Prime will not pay an extra fee for the new service, while ordinary shoppers without a Prime membership can also use this new offer if paying $12.99 regardless of their order size. On the old Amazon Prime conditions, its members had to pay an additional $9.99 per month to receive perishable grocery orders if the sum of the order was above $35. Walmart+ now costs $98 per year, but Amazon is collecting its own client base and having its own advantages. So the competition will continue, of course, but Amazon also lowered its minimum order threshold to just $25 to threaten rivals in the field of one-off purchases.

Going back to the story with recent quarterly figures, Amazon's major business of delivering goods is literally thriving. The company posted its online store sales of $61.5 billion, an 11% annual gain. Pushing suppliers to pull forward inventories to ensure vast supply on cheaper prices contributed to fresh absolute records for the spring and summer season, with equity per share soaring to $1.68 this time against $1.25 on August 1,2024 and $1.32 in preliminary consensus estimates for the last quarter of 2025. Because of Amazon's focus on making its prices for consumers as low as possible, and its delivery time as small as they can, with Amazon's variety of products they are holding a number one position as the globally most popular e-retailer. Amazon's advertising earnings are also growing faster than expected, up 23% to reach $15.7 billion. For Q3 2025, Amazon expects its net sales between $174.0 billion and $179.5 billion vs Wall Street's preliminary consensus of $173 billion. A great progress in their forward guidance for the public!

As to its cloud computing unit, Amazon Web Services (AWS), AWS profit margins contracted to 32.9% from as much as 39.5% in Q1 and 35.5% in Q2 2024. But that was probably the result of enhancing investments into the AI infrastructure to earn even more money later. I don’t see any tragedy in this fact, therefore and I could mention launching Amazon's AI-based products like Alexa+, DeepFleet and Bedrock AgentCore here. Now, it seems, the market majority agrees with such an opinion of mine. And that just means we'll go step by step together to $250 for starters. And for the main course we'll eat $275, I bet. AWS still offered a 17.5% surplus in its sales to $30.9 billion, which was close to $30.77 billion, widely expected. Well, sales for Microsoft’s Azure competing cloud service rose 39%, while Google Cloud added 32% YoY, but for me, this is the reason to buy and hold all those three advancing stocks. Amazon's CEO Andy Jassy noted in his post-earnings speech that Amazon’s cloud business will "get better each quarter," as demand is outpacing capacity and the AI efforts are only starting to "play out" as soon as it improves customers' experiences and cloud products' efficiency. I also strongly believe in this.

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