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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

01.02.2023
Low Risk Purchases in the Bearish Market: Salesforce

Salesforce is a leader of the CRM systems segment. Its stocks are trading at 47% off their peaks. The company continues to post strong business growth despite being in the market for a long time. It has strong financials and abilities to reward its investors. The last quarter revenue reported by Salesforce rose by 14% year-on-year to $7.8 billion, while its operational margin grew by 290 basis points to 22.7%. This is quite impressive as the company suffered because the strong Dollar undermined its revenues outside the U.S. The company’s management has also approved a buy-back program for $1.7 billion.

Management estimates the company will increase its operational margin to 25% in the next couple of years and boost its revenues to $31 billion during this fiscal year, or by 17%. Salesforce announced the cut of 10% of its staff in order to increase profitability. This is quite a common strategy in the tech sector to keep business expansion going.

The company is also active in the M&A market. The last of its acquisitions is the Slack platform that has posted revenues up by 46% during the reporting quarter. Thus, investors may have a wide variety of outstanding products as they buy CRM stocks.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Maker Seen Strong above $3000

Maker (MKR) has experienced a 2.7% decline this week, falling to $2885 amidst negative trends in the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC) similarly dropped by 3.0% to $62,800 during the same period.

MKR currently faces two key support levels located around the $3000 mark: a horizontal support level and the support of the ascending channel. Maker project developers are also delivering positive fundamental factors. Spark, a Maker SubDAO-built DeFi infrastructure, has injected $100 million in new DAI liquidity through Morpho Blue, Morpho’s lending protocol. This initiative enables users to leverage efficient positions backed by MakerDAO, borrowing Ethena’s stablecoins, USDe and sUSDe. As investors require MKR to obtain DAI stablecoin, the demand for MKR is anticipated to rise.

Considering both technical and fundamental factors, MKR could potentially reach $3500. However, this scenario is contingent upon BTC maintaining a value above $60,000 per coin.

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Google and Microsoft Waived Mega Cap Fears

Abundant upward moves of Microsoft (by nearly +4.5% to fully offset the previous day's 2.5% decline on Meta's 15% slump) and Google-parent Alphabet shares (by more than 11% to hit new all-time highs) in extended hours trading after long-awaited quarterly reports of the two giant companies on April 25, as well as a rapid rebound of the S&P broad market indicator from under a round figure of 5,000 points with a high closing price at 5,087.30 the same night, compellingly prove my general assumption. The bullish direction remains intact on Wall Street, unaffected by impacts of individually overbought large businesses' strong falls in market value, which including the recent double-digit drop in Meta Platforms, a 7% decline of Caterpillar and a 8% drop in IBM as a few of most striking examples. I should be happy that my analysis allowed me to avoid adding those temporary losers to my portfolio, as most rapidly declining stocks showed some weakness in their forward guidance or big investment houses just took their chance to latch on to their growing cost expenses or their performance in separate segments like it happened with a consulting part of IBM business, as it was considered not strong enough compared to the company's revenue and profit in its major hardware and computing divisions. In fact, Microsoft's CFO Amy Hood also admitted that capital expenditures would increase "materially" to help meet demand for its generative AI offerings, yet nobody cared of these kind of additional expenses as Microsoft is a producer of Chat GPT-like technologies to sell it to others, and not mostly the AI consumer, as it mostly happens in the case of Meta. This produces a big difference for the market's interpretation, so that Meta is falling, while Microsoft is growing on the same story of growth in expenses, as one may say.

All in all, some stocks are going down, but most stocks and Wall Street flagships are going up. And this is purely a normally mixed behaviour of various assets that used to accompany any reporting season, rather than global changes in the markets. With this belief, I am sure, most people in the crowd would continue to calmly and thoughtfully build further investment plans for May and summer months, while only paying closer attention to the details of particular reports' perception by the expert community and using a selective approach when forming and changing in their portfolios' composition. In this contest, the only thing, which is important in dealing with any investment strategies is not to be engaged in a "wholesale" approach of buying everything that can move, but better continue to rely on financial and technical analysis, as well as common sense and former investing experience, taking into account also the readiness of the market's majority for certain movements of specific companies at the moment.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
OMG is Rushing towards $0.500

OMG Network (OMG) experienced a 5.3% decline to $0.650 this week, marking the fourth consecutive day of retreat in prices. This trend raises the likelihood of the token testing the support level at $0.500. The first instance of this test occurred two weeks ago amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Despite a slight recovery after this initial drop, the token has struggled to regain momentum, particularly as Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 0.7% over the same period. If the leading cryptocurrency fails to recover, OMG may face further downward pressure, potentially breaching the $0.500 support level.

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Visa Will Figure It All Out!

Visa Inc (V) was able to hold only a poor 0.34% of nearly 3.2% initial gains on April 24, in a reaction to a very solid quarterly release. The powerful and penetrating all the corners of the world, the payment card provider recorded its ever-highest EPS (earnings per share) of $2.51 to beat the crowd's average projection of $2.44. Another jump in its business return was achieved on a historically peaked $8.78 billion of revenue from January to March. Most of the crowd decided to "score" and take profit, without even trying to re-test Visa's highs of March above $290 per share.

This sounds unfair to the company which is easily charging each and every payment or transaction on consumer cards, including rent for homeowners, purchasing of food, energy bills etc, but not be limited to, as Visa management continuously diversifying its sources of income by investing in startups, to add to mostly guaranteed and quite predictable card-based revenue. Overall volume of payments climbed by 8% during, while cross-border contribution (without intra-EU calculations) reportedly jumped by 16%. Visa comments showed the company's own public projections for revenue growth in the whole year of 2024 lie "in the low double-digits" as well, while its EPS growth is expected "in the low teens". Well done forecast, which could attract more investing activity with Visa assets in the nearest two or three weeks, if not before this weekend already. It seems to me that only a rather sharp recent correction in several flagship stocks on Wall Street, including chip makers and some megacaps, prevented the market from a more positive manifestation of their hopes for extending the bullish trend in Visa. So, betting on making up money on Visa shares again is now my choice for May and until mid-summer.

Today's complimentary news is that Visa joins AWS (Amazon Web Service) partner network in order to enhance payment services even more. This collaboration will help cross-border solutions, easing global money transfers and multi-currency holdings and integrating all these into AMS customers' existing operations environment, as well as "reducing the challenges faced by financial institutions and enterprises by making Visa's solutions easily accessible on diverse platforms,” according to Vanessa Colella, Global Head of Innovation and Digital Partnerships at Visa. It may enhance cloud-based connectivity by allowing companies to process payments through VisaNet via AWS, with a measure that may be considered as a potential cost-saver for clients who will not need to spend on local data centers and specialized payment hardware. Startups enrolled in Visa's Fintech Fast Track program can receive up to $100,000 in AWS Activate credits. This could potentially form a bonus to the existing business scheme of both Visa and Amazon, adding to their market values.

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