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23.01.2025

Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

09.01.2025

VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

14.01.2025

Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

16.01.2025

Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

14.01.2025

Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

MetadoroIn-house analytics

17.09.2025

Weak Payrolls + 0.4% CPI Spike → 0.25% Rate Cut

The bullish rally on Wall Street remains in progress, with the U.S. Dollar continuing to lose weight against the basket of rival reserve currencies. This happens with the clear understanding among the market community that the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision today is essentially predetermined by the whole set of recent economic data. We are confident in the small first step reduction for the U.S. borrowing costs, from 4.25-4.50% to 4.00-4.25% on Wednesday.

The so-called Fed's "dual mandate" from the Congress includes only two goals, which are supporting maximum employment and stable prices. Weak U.S. jobs data of September 7, meaning only 22,000 new non-farm payrolls in August, and updates to the downside for the two previous months were well below average economists’ forecasts. Fed officials cannot remain inactive, as they need to cover their asses under those weakening conditions. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has already expressed their common concern about the U.S. labour market. But a sudden 0.4% MoM spike in the consumer price index (CPI) last week will help in justifying a small 25 bp slash instead of a larger 50 bp step down. In-line slice of the U.S. inflation pressure especially point to only a moderate rate cut by the Fed as the consumer inflation pace was much faster than 0.2% a month ago and also slightly above average forecasts of 0.3%. The annual inflation gauge came out at 2.9% for the last 12 months from September 2024 to August 2025, compared to 2.7% released in the previous month.

Weak jobs and persistent inflation are the two reactants that necessarily lead to a chemical reaction with a 0.25% rate cut in the sediment. The remaining space in the Fed decision vessel can be taken up by rhetorical water, which the markets are no longer of much interest to. Again, what the vast majority of the market expects from the Fed, the Fed always performs, so as not to rock the boat. The U.S. central banker's verdict couldn't be any different, because they are barely aimed at showing signs of panic like being ahead of entering recession. Indeed, any larger rate cut is relevant only in a near-recession scenario. Well, when this is highly likely confirmed by the Fed official statement in just a few hours, some minor technical volatility may take place on some stocks and major indexes, but no fundamental shake-ups or shake-downs are expected. After all, when the dust is settled, most market tools will continue to drive in the same direction they used to do it during the last several weeks.

The key role, therefore, is mentioned for the dot plot projections of the Federal Open Market Committee. As to the crowd's expectations, it should indicate two more interest rate cuts before the end of 2025. In fact, the same FedWatch tool demonstrates that 80% are expecting a second 0.25% slash at the end of October, and over 70% are betting on a potentially third rate cut move in mid-December as well. So, this so-far empty field in the Fed's statement seems pre-filled already, favouring the hand-rubbing bulls on Wall Street and the Dollar bears on major foreign exchange pairs.

If the Fed pledges two additional rate cut slashes on its dot plot for the remainder of 2025, then next and bigger objectives down to 92.50 for the U.S. Dollar Index (DX) vs the majors basket in for the next 4-6 weeks, will become quite realistic, with DX being traded at nearly 96.50 at the moment. Nearest target prices like 144 and even well below are possible for USDJPY in this scenario, as the slide of the Greenback against the Japanese currency has so far remained far behind the Dollar selling mood in US-European pairs like EURUSD, GBPUSD and USDCHF. Meanwhile, the prospects of 1.20 for the single currency or 1.40 for the Cable will depend mostly on the corresponding synchronous or asynchronous interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England soon. Anyway, the door for the Greenback weakness would be wide open if the Fed becomes more dovish.

Meanwhile, the current rally in equity markets may be challenged by a very short-time correction, because of a "bought expectation, sold facts" scenario in some clearly overbought stocks. We expect that the Big Long mood will generally continue, as mid-caps are already supporting the AI flagships and other blue chips and may even further be encouraged with softening monetary conditions.

Rafael Quintana Martinez

Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/

17.09.2025

Synthetix Is Ready to Rally

Synthetix (SNX) is down 4.0% to $0.665, trailing Bitcoin (BTC), which is edging higher by 0.38% to $116,500. The token has been locked in a sideways pattern since April, trading between $0.500 and $0.800, with the range tightening to $0.600–$0.750 over the past six weeks , a pattern mirrored across many altcoins. The Federal Reserve’s decision on Wednesday is expected to be the next catalyst. While a 25 bp cut is already priced in, dovish guidance could ignite momentum in the altcoin market. For SNX, the nearest resistance sits at $1.000, making it the likely first upside target.

SNXUSD

Rafael Quintana Martinez

16.09.2025

ApeCoin Is Building Momentum

ApeCoin (APE) is down 4.3% to $0.578 this week, underperforming Bitcoin (BTC), which slipped 0.68% to $115,390. The token continues to consolidate between the $0.500 support and the middle of the downtrend channel. This narrowing range suggests that a strong impulse is building, with conditions pointing to an upside move. APE has never fallen below the $0.500 support, reinforcing its importance. A decisive breakout is expected by early October. Adding to the bullish case, ApeCoin recently announced a collaboration with Solana, a development not yet priced in, which could provide additional momentum once the breakout occurs.

APEUSD

Rafael Quintana Martinez

16.09.2025

Wall-Mart Ready to Update ATH

Wal-Mart (WMT) shares have recovered swiftly from the April dip to $79.59, advancing to $100 in early May and rejoining the middle of the uptrend. This rebound reflects notable strength in the stock. Prices are now trading at $103.40, close to the all-time high of $105.11.

A breakout above the record high appears likely. If confirmed, this could accelerate momentum toward the upper boundary of the uptrend channel, implying an advance of approximately 15–16%.

From a trading perspective, entries in the $100–104 range may be attractive, with upside targets in the $115–120 zone, just below projected trend resistance. A protective stop could be considered around $97.00 to manage downside risk.

WMT