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Notizie e analisi

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23.01.2025

Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

16.01.2025

Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

14.01.2025

Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

14.01.2025

Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

09.01.2025

VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

Rafael Quintana Martinez

Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/

11.06.2025

Shiba Inu Is Deteriorating

Shiba Inu (SHIB) is adding 4.5% to $0.0000132 this week, outperforming the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) is up 2.8% to $109,224. Still, SHIB remains at extremely low price levels, underlining its relative weakness despite generally positive market sentiment. Even a 4.5% gain appears insufficient in this context.

The project has produced several positive developments, including a collaboration with the United Arab Emirates and a growing number of Shiba Inu wallets. Yet, there’s been no meaningful price momentum. After falling to $0.0000100 in April, SHIB rebounded 72% to $0.0000175 but failed to break through the key resistance at $0.0000200. Since then, it has pulled back to $0.0000119.

Even optimistic messaging from the project’s marketing team has done little to lift the mood. The price remains in a sideways to bearish structure. Until SHIB decisively breaks above the $0.0000200 resistance level, other assets may offer better opportunities for upside.

SHBUSD

MetadoroAnalisi interna

10.06.2025

Will Target Restore Its Status of a Value Stock?

Shares of Target (TGT), the seven-largest big-box retailer in the U.S., which is well known for its trendy yet affordable range of everyday items, have surfaced back from below the $100 water line after rising by 3.5% on June 10. This happens despite recent price hikes leaks from the U.S. consumer segment, which could form potential headwinds for further bounce of the stock. Walmart and Target employees were reportedly sharing photos of some toys' sticker prices up to 40% higher than previously, according to observations of social media sources since early June.

Keeping prices as low as they can for as long as they can was the pillar for holding consumer visits high but restrained retail margins on limited levels. While Walmart was doing much better thanks to e-commerce, Target was focusing on fast deliveries with offline sales still prevailing, which did not allow the chain's profits to grow at a sufficient pace. Again, Target traditionally has greater exposure to discretionary goods than groceries or other essentials compared to its rivals. All this led Target shareholders to face a decline of stock prices by approximately 30% since the beginning of 2025, on even higher concerns to follow its Q1 earnings report on May 21, when Target missed consensus estimates with EPS (equity per share) of $1.30 vs $1.65 expected on revenue of $23.85 billion vs $24.35 billion expected. Net sales were down 2.8%, comparable sales dropped by 3.8% YoY, and the stocks continued to dive. But on the positive side was a delayed "prize" that Target CEOs maintained their full-year guidance of $7-$9 for EPS despite all the listed challenges.

Investing crowds now may get the sense that very selective price hikes in hypermarkets can bring more profit margins in some key problem areas of trans border supply without alienating the bulk of loyal visitors at the same time. The U.S.-Sino trade talks began being extended into the rest of the week. Wall Street hopes the trade progress will help retailers in avoiding larger import cost increases. Overall, the tariff shock to U.S. stocks is now lessening if not fading, which is providing support for consumer staples firms, including Target. The current moment could be very good for a rebound with an improving bullish momentum if Target shares break the immediate resistance barrier near $105.

Target management is doing a number of things to boost confidence, including launching 10,000 new summer items, expanding brand collaborations as well as improving its image in eyes of ordinary and rather conservative families by pulling back all long-held DEI (Diversity, Equity, Inclusion) agenda initiatives like retracting its support for NYC Pride this year, even though Target still trotted out its annual Pride merch collection for not to miss queer customers. Target swapped out rainbow flags to stars and stripes during the Pride month. Whether all those measures will ultimately have a good or bad effect on sales, we will soon find out, but it seems that investors anticipate improvements in financial indicators before the end of the summer season, which is translated in sentiment already. A 54-year dividend increase streak also looks impressive. Target announced its major strategic initiative of a multi-year Enterprise Acceleration Office to improve its operational effectiveness, simplify internal processes and better leverage technology and data. This roadmap for growth could help improve earnings and restore the stock’s value as a consequence in the longer-run.

If only the stock would break through $105, it could accelerate further climbing ahead of the company's next earnings call on August 13. Some investment houses are improving their projections on Target, but there are hidden caveats within them. As a good example, analyst John Heinbockel at Guggenheim cut his price target for Target stock to $115 from $155, while still maintaining a Buy rating, saying, “challenging fundamentals have prevailed over a modest valuation during the past year”. As everyone surely understands, $115 is much lower than $155, so it seems like the mid-term goals have been lowered, but maintaining the fund's recommendation to Buy even up to achieving $115 per share still means Buy, because even $115 per share is almost 10% higher than current prices for Target. Some analysts also cite potential buyback efforts. Wall Street's pool of experts has a Moderate Buy consensus rating on Target stock, which is now based on 10 Buys, 20 Holds, and only 1 Sell recommendation.

TGT

Bash

10.06.2025

Tesla Bulls Always Come Home Early

Well, things are going on exactly as I wrote six days ago: "Tesla has fallen to almost $275, but I bet in a couple of weeks, if not a couple of days, it will be worth $50 more". Three business days later, Tesla closes above $325. That's it. Tesla bulls are always come home early! Good luck to everyone who kept faith in me and Tesla. And who dared to invest in suddenly discounted Tesla for a quick profit, of course.

TSLA

Rafael Quintana Martinez

10.06.2025

Ethereum Classic Is Looking to the Upside

Ethereum Classic (ETC) is up 4.2% to $17.80 this week, outperforming the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has gained 2.9% to $109,388. The recent Olympia update, which increased inflation on the ETC network, has been viewed as a positive catalyst and sparked a 30% rally to $20.96 in early May. The subsequent pullback appears to be driven more by broad market sentiment than by any ETC-specific weakness. With Bitcoin nearing its all-time high of $111,995 and signaling a potential breakout, conditions are favorable for ETC to revisit the $20.00 level and potentially push higher toward $25.00.

ETCUSD