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14.01.2025
Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

09.01.2025
VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

14.01.2025
Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

23.01.2025
Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

16.01.2025
Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Graph Is Ready to Rise to $0.1500

Graph (GRT) is losing 3.5% to $0.1054 this week, underperforming the benchmark Bitcoin (BTC), which has declined by only 0.3% to $118,850. GRT had previously broken above the resistance at $0.1000 in mid-July, reaching a high of $0.1206. Since then, prices have pulled back to retest the $0.1000 support level and are now establishing a foundation for a potential rally toward $0.1500. The token has some positive momentum of its own following the launch of the Hypergraph Developer Preview on July 3. Additionally, StakeNova announced an integration with The Graph Protocol to process blockchain data. While this may seem like a minor development, it still offers support for further gains in token prices.

5
The US & EU Deal Made an Inspiring Splash in Markets

U.S. president Donald Trump ultimately pushed his trade deal through the old Europe's resistance. The big announcement of the tariff framework agreement from Turnberry, Scotland on July 27 after his round of golf with the European Commission's president Ursula von der Leyen had a very positive effect on the further development of the Wall Street stock rally. It is clear because together the EU and the U.S. form a market of 800 million people to cover nearly 44% of the global gross domestic product (GDP). $600 billion of the $3.3 trillion in goods imported by the U.S. in 2024 came from the EU.

The S&P 500 broad barometer beat its all-time record moving above 6,420 points, while this record-breaking run immediately led the EU Stoxx 600 index to its 4-month high at 555 points. The optimistic upside gap and an extra move later proved to be, of course, somewhat hasty, or one may truly call it premature, causing an almost equally fast downward corrective pullback long before the closing bell of all trading sessions on Monday, July 28. However, a fresh impressive jump to new heights certainly points to the further trajectory for the composite indices in both America and Europe. Although to a greater extent, bullish efforts can now be expected on the U.S. side of the Atlantic since the agreement looks an order of magnitude more favourable for Washington dwellers, and Brussels seems to have been forced just to accept the conditions with the least damage before Trump's August 1 deadline. So, it could be considered a great success that Germany's DAX 40 lost only just over 1% by the end of Monday, while France's CAC 40 and the UK's FTSE 100 ended the day 0.43% lower than last Friday.

With some exceptions like steel, the deal includes a 15% tariff on EU goods entering the U.S. but zero levies for imported U.S. goods when coming to Europe. This is understandable, since it would be simply impossible to cover the ever-growing trade deficit in favour of Europe, which is driving the U.S. into soaring debt. For this solid reason, Trump could never agree to a better deal for Europe. That's also why the EU committed to purchasing $750 billion worth of various energy resources from the U.S., and to make $600 billion in investments in America. This also follows Trump's generally agreed deal with Japan, which cut tariffs on U.S. auto imports and other goods with a $550 billion package of Japan's U.S.-bound investment and loans.

As strange as it might seem to some, we considered the EU and U.S. trade disputes to transform potentially into the most controversial point, most difficult to overcome in the tangle of all the trade talks with other countries. Here, all those newly emerged political contradictions between essentially former ideological allies still stood at the forefront. For us, this means that global trade wars have now passed a real turning point, with no return to confrontational trends that became so much visible in the beginning of spring. Wall Street was already standing like an unbreakable rock while multiple uncertainties persisted, even despite trade headwinds or sometimes stormy weather. Bulls clearly outnumbered bears climbing each time higher. We estimated that the S&P500 has recently set as much as 25 consecutive sessions when it has not fallen more than 1% intraday, while closing most of those days in positive territory. Now, when most parts of the problem are nearly solved and notable framework trade deals have been accomplished, the stock investment business should do even better.

Since tariff threats' elimination is not the only bullish driver for Wall Street, a moderate pullback from new historical peaks is quite natural and probably very short-lived. Major funds and banking institutions are already updating their forecasts in their most optimistic mood. Equity strategist Michael Wilson at Morgan Stanley figures the S&P 500 could rally to 7,200 by mid-2026, due to a “rolling recovery” in earnings and supportive macro trends, pointing to "mid-teens" growth estimates for EPS (equity per share). As another good example, Oppenheimer has already raised its year-end estimates to 7,100 in S&P 500 terms. The analyst house had previously lowered its projection to as low as 5,950 points in early April but now see a clearer path for gains. “With the announcement of trade deals by President Trump and his administration … we believe that enough ‘tariff hurdles’ have been overcome for now to reinstate our original price target for the S&P 500 of 7,100 by year-end,” Oppenheimer noted.

When mentioning the resilience of the U.S. economy and the Fed’s progress in pushing inflation down from 9% in June 2022 to 2.7% last month “without thus far causing a recession”, they are feeling important for investors to seek out "babies that get tossed out with the bathwater’ in market downdrafts”, probably meaning some underestimated quality assets. “Corporate revenue and particularly earnings growth for Q4 and Q1 for firms in the S&P 500 surprised well to the upside,” analysts added. 84% of S&P 500 companies manage to exceed consensus estimates” for Q2. “Magnificent Seven” firms, including Facebook and Instagram owner Meta Platforms (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) will report on Wednesday night, Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) will follow them the next evening after the regular market's close. It will most likely be possible to make good money right from trading in after-hours on these reporting Wall Street nights.

9
Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Buying the Cable on False Downside Alarms

The GBPUSD had been in a steady uptrend since January 13, climbing by 10% to reach 1.33260, with a peak at 1.37870 on July 1. Recently, however, the pair experienced a sharp correction, breaking below the established uptrend support. While this move may appear to signal accelerating downside momentum, the reality is more neutral. Rather than continuing to fall, the pair has settled into a sideways consolidation, holding above a strong support level at 1.33000. This suggests the current weakness is more of a pause than a reversal. The likely next move is a bounce toward 1.36500–1.37000. In this context, opening a long position between 1.33000 and 1.33700 appears reasonable, with a target at 1.36800 and a stop-loss set at 1.30500.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Coin 98 Is Recovering Towards $0.1000

Coin 98 (CNE) is rising by 1.5% to $0.0600, outperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) is declining by 0.2% to $118,997. Donald Trump’s announcement of a trade deal with the EU has lifted sentiment for risky assets, including cryptocurrencies. At the same time, retreating inflation risks are increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates, providing a strong supportive backdrop for crypto prices.

CNE is holding firmly above the support level at $0.0500 and is building momentum toward the nearest resistance at $0.1000. However, this move is being constrained by a broader downtrend resistance, which could make a sustained breakout above that level more difficult to achieve.

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