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09.01.2025

VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

14.01.2025

Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

16.01.2025

Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

23.01.2025

Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

14.01.2025

Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

Rafael Quintana Martinez

Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/

07.04.2025

Harmony Is Under Huge Pressure

Harmony (ONE) is down 2.0% to $0.0090 on Monday, outperforming the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) is slipping 3.0% to $76,599. BTC briefly plunged to $74,464—its lowest level since November 7—before recovering slightly, marking the apparent end of the Trump-driven rally in the crypto space.

ONE fell as much as 9.1% to $0.0083 earlier but staged a modest technical rebound. The overall market remains under pressure amid escalating global trade tensions initiated by U.S. President Donald Trump. Going forward, Harmony’s movements will likely be shaped by two key factors: potential dovish signals from the Federal Reserve and any easing in Trump’s tariff rhetoric.

ONEUSD

1629

Rafael Quintana Martinez

04.04.2025

Loopring Is Struggling to Survive at $0.1000

Loopring (LRC) is down nearly 4% to $0.0934, slightly outperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) is declining by 5.25% to $82,152. Cryptocurrencies remain under heavy pressure as a massive sell-off in risky assets continues, driven by the escalation of the global trade war. The S&P 500 index has dropped 5.9% this week following retaliatory tariff measures from China.

Despite some calling it a "deceased project," LRC is attempting to hold its ground. The key technical level remains at $0.1000—reclaiming this threshold is crucial for maintaining upside potential. If the token can stabilize above this level, a move toward the $0.2000 resistance could come into play.

LRCUSD

1701

Bash

03.04.2025

The Greenback Is Hardly Naked as the Poker Game Begins

Everybody was well aware of the U.S. and European stocks' readiness to drop to supposedly fresh dips following Trump's aggressive tariff announcement. Even though this could be mostly attributed to effects from the field of psychology, those shifts in the equity market were easily predictable, unlike a fast slump of the Greenback against the same fundamental background. Such a radical shift in the foreign exchange sentiment became a big surprise for me personally, if only because it came from a strange kind of logical construction.

Just look at the typical explanations today. EUR/USD soared from a narrow range between 1.0800 and 1.0850 in early Asian hours to as high as 1.1146 at its peaking price soon after the European afternoon. Meanwhile, analysts at Reuters and Bloomberg shared the view that this happened because the EU goods will be subject to 20% tariffs, while China, Taiwan, Switzerland or Thailand are facing between 30% and 50% tariffs. A good outcome for Europe? That would be the case if the single European currency were to soar against the Chinese, Taiwanese, as well as Swiss or Vietnamese currencies, as Vietnam's export to the U.S. is damaged more than others by the highest tariffs among all U.S. trading partners. But nope, the Euro is soaring against the Dollar, although Trump's recent moves are clearly hurting the European economy in a more painful way than they may hurt the American one.

Hello friends, it is America that will now take more tax money at the border from Europe, and not European governments from America, even if Europe will finally decide to take additional retaliatory measures instead of negotiations to achieve any possible mutual easing of tariff conditions. Who are we fooling when saying that the Euro is allegedly supported by the German government's plan of increasing expenditure on infrastructure and defence. This will hardly boost the Eurozone’s largest economy, as they would only increase cost for budgets at the same moment when the White House declares it wants to spend the accumulated money from higher levies on tax cuts in their own country as well as on reducing the U.S. national debt.

Well, in my humble opinion, it is foreign trading partners, including EU businesses, who will now have to either spend more of their Euros to buy U.S. Dollars at the American border to pay the duties later, or take fewer amount of U.S. Dollars out of the United States after paying those duties to exchange for Euros. Can anyone explain what is positive about this for the Euro? “The blowback of U.S. tariffs onto the U.S. domestic economy leaves the dollar naked,” analysts at ING said today, in a client's note. However, if America is naked in any aspect here, it may play the naked muscles.

If so, frankly speaking, then the only possible reason for the further growth of the Euro, the British Pound and other currencies against the U.S. Dollar, lies in the immediate take-off of large capital by some rich daddies, as they became more afraid for the safety of their lovely money in the now-trumpian America, as soon as Uncle Sam shook his fist at them.

If this is the right thinking of mine, and there is still some logical ground behind this, then the current rise of the Euro by inertia will last no more than a couple of weeks, after which a complete reversal of a newborn mini uptrend will occur. Equity markets will soon recover from temporary dips on both sides of the pond, but Wall Street will regain its strength first and the Euro may reach 1.15, or even touch some relatively higher levels against the Dollar, and then return to usual weakness. If so, Gold will roll back for a while, but then will head to new records again. Bet, gentlemen, the poker game begins, while the Greenback is hardly naked at the table for everybody's fun!

EURUSD

1756

Rafael Quintana Martinez

03.04.2025

Dogecoin Is Seen Strong amid Tariff Escalation

Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading neutral at $0.1642 this week, slightly underperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) is up 1.8% to $83,668. The market has shown resilience against the wave of reciprocal tariffs initiated by U.S. President Donald Trump, with DOGE declining only 4.3% and BTC dropping 3.1% in response to the news.

Elon Musk, often seen as an unofficial ambassador for Dogecoin, recently dismissed any plans to integrate DOGE, which disappointed some investors. However, large holders have continued accumulating the meme cryptocurrency throughout March. From a technical standpoint, if DOGE manages to break through the $0.2000 resistance, a further rally toward $0.3000 could become the baseline scenario.

DOGUSD

1875