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14.01.2025

Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

09.01.2025

VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

20.01.2025

Investment Banks Are Ahead of Lenders

An advance guard of the U.S. banking segment has reported for the ending quarter of 2024 ahead of the corporate earnings season's major chapters, which are still coming in and are supposed to make an overall positive contribution. But what's interesting is, the variety of lending institutions performed a solid organic growth in terms of both revenue and pure income, while the essentially investment giants like Goldman Sachs (GS) and BlackRock (BLK) grew up on a much firmer foundation. There is an impression that well-organised asset management, based on proper contextual ad hoc and mid-term stock transactions, is still producing enhanced results when compared to the returns of somewhat shabby loan portfolios at still quite heavy interest rates.

A temporary increase in Blackrock market value was up to 6.5% at its highest intraday point on January 15, following its record ever $11.93 of equity per share (EPS) on an also absolutely highest number of $5.68 billion in quarterly sales. Blackrock's three-month achievements provided a 23.5% annual boost in EPS vs nearly14% expected at EPS of $11.06 per share, which was supposed in analyst pool projections in reputable news outlets like Bloomberg and Reuters. Many investment houses quickly adjusted their price target areas for Blackrock shares, while also keeping Outperform ratings on the stock. As an example, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW) revised its price goal for Blackrock to $1,180, citing the investment bank's diversified inflows and global expansion growth initiatives which made the company favorably positioning in the eyes of analysts and investors alike. Blackrock is currently traded around $1000 per share.

However, the Goldman Sachs (GS) effect even surpassed the previous case, with an emergence of totally new peaks above $625 on GS charts, where the shares of this widely recognized investment giant had never been before. The weekly gain was more than 11.5% from $560 per share at the closing price on January 10. Goldman Sachs provided last quarter's EPS at $11.95 per share, beating a $8.12 consensus forecast, with its revenue achieving as high as $13.87 billion vs $12.15 billion previously estimated on average. This means that GS net revenues are up 7% YoY but its adjusted income soared by 54%, so that the firm maintains its clear leadership in global investment banking, including merge and acquisition advisory and wealth management services. Such a strong kind of resilience revived inner projections for EPS of $47.50 for fiscal year 2025 and $52.50 for fiscal year 2026. Isn't this a ready-made reason for targets above $650, or even $700 per share in the coming months, or at least before the end of 2025? By the way, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon was freshly rewarded by an $80 million stock bonus to stay at the helm for another 5 years, and John Waldron, a chief operating officer who is seen by many as a successor to Solomon, who is 63 now, was also awarded with his retention bonus of the same $80 million in restricted stock. However, the huge crowd of Goldman Sachs investors on Wall Street is hardly feeling offended or sad either, given the stock's crazy growth pace by the banking segment's standards.

The very fact that a cycle of lower borrowing rates has started in 2024 on both sides of the pond is helping the banking environment tremendously, which may in turn expand into a real business so soon, but the process may be happening more slowly than many Wall Street inhabitants would like to see due to a pause in the dovish shift by the Federal Reserve and other financial regulators. Wells Fargo (WFC), which also has an increasingly advanced investment focus among its recovering lending business, gained more than 8% since last week's earnings' report, coming very close to all-time peaks around $78 per share. Shares of JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Morgan Stanley (MS) also broke their previous price records, but gained within 5% and 7%, while the Bank of America (BAC) failed to add more than 2% for the reporting week, while its quarterly profits and sales were high but still within its previous lofty standards. The smaller part of investment business versus the credit component for the last three banks mentioned above seems like a reasonable justification for this tendency.

14.01.2025

Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

16.01.2025

Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

Rafael Quintana Martinez

Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/

07.07.2025

Tezos Is Struggling to Climb

Tezos (XTZ) is down 0.6% this week to $0.5270, underperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) is slightly lower by 0.2% at $108,740. The token continues to struggle near its lower range around $0.470. Although Tezos managed a bounce to $0.560 in early June, it failed to build momentum towards the key resistance at $0.600.

The upcoming resolution of trade disputes, expected around July 9 and August 1, could be a turning point. If negotiations conclude positively, Bitcoin may break above its $108,000–110,000 resistance and move towards $118,000–120,000 — a scenario that would likely lift the entire crypto market, including Tezos.

On the fundamental side, Tezos recently launched its Fast Withdrawals feature, reducing transfer times from 15 days to just one minute. While this improvement hasn’t yet sparked a strong price reaction, it could provide a tailwind for XTZ once broader market sentiment improves.

XTZUSD

1164

Rafael Quintana Martinez

04.07.2025

Binance Coin Is Quickly Recovering to $700

Binance Coin (BNB) is up 1.6% this week, trading at $658.3 and closely tracking the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) has risen by 1.5% to $109,100. BNB is rebounding quickly from the geopolitical shocks in June, which saw prices drop to $600 on June 22. A sharp V-shaped recovery brought it back to $650, and the recent approval of the Big Beautiful Bill has given prices an extra boost.

Investor focus is now turning to the July 9 deadline for U.S. trade negotiations. If Japan and the EU manage to strike a deal with the U.S. before then, Bitcoin could break above the $108,000–110,000 resistance zone — a move that would likely lift BNB toward the $700 mark. Adding to the bullish case, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has officially dropped its lawsuit against Binance. With the confirmation that Binance Coin is not considered a security, regulatory risk around BNB has significantly diminished, supporting further upside potential.

BNBUSD

1182

Bash

03.07.2025

Banking Stocks Rally before the Independence Weekend

Banking stocks appear to be the main beneficiaries of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls for June. Being usually released on each first Friday of the month, it was announced a day early due to the U.S. long weekend ahead of celebrating the Independence Day on July 4.

The report showed 147,000 new jobs added in June versus the consensus expectation of 139,000 and 111,000 jobs a month ago (now revised to 144,000). The set of data also included average hourly earnings surplus of 0.2% only MoM against the expected growth of 0.4%. The annual pace came out at 3.7% against the previous 3.9% and 3.8 estimated by Wall Street analyst pool. This marks another important milestone for the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) on the path to possibly considering interest rate cuts sooner than later. Good for the economy, and even better for stocks, especially banks!

Given an unprecedented pressure on Fed's chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues from Donald Trump to reduce the burden of the national debt as quickly as possible, with interest rates on the national debt being tied in one way or another to the Fed's borrowing rates, of course, this Nonfarm payrolls release would be a good precedent that Powell's team could use to adequately justify the need to act, as hourly earnings trend may point to cooling inflation.

However, everyone can see something of their own in the release, and, therefore, the next steps of currency fluctuations look controversial. The best tactic in the currency market seems to be not to catch the next price movement today, but to try to ride the reverse pullback after the long weekend, relying on the 1.1700-1.1925 wider trading range for EURUSD, as an example. Since it is unlikely that the single European currency will climb beyond these limits on such mixed data.

This piece of news is excellent for Wall Street. Many stocks will continue to grow in the second half of the year, and I bet tech, retail and banking segments will do even better in the July-to-September quarter. That's why I still have a truckload of effective investment ideas as well as better expectations on my existing stock portfolio.

Another driver is the Big, Beatiful Bill’s essence. In the United States, on July 1, the Senate finally adopted a major bill with tax cuts for businesses, as well as an acceptable way to resolve the issue of the U.S. public debt ceiling for a decade ahead. The chances are also increasing for the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates in September plus December. I would not rule out even such behind-the-scenes preliminary agreements that the increase the national debt by nearly 4 or 5 trillion Dollars by the bypartisan Congress could be a mandatory condition so that the Fed would, in principle, begin to reduce interest rates.

Anyway, the potential settlement of bond yields' curve after the bill's adoption may generate a more steady demand for U.S. public debt which, in turn, could lift bond prices. That's good for banks as each of the huge financial institutions is holding hundreds of billions Dollars in US bonds. And they have had a negative impact on banking balances. When the Fed's interest rates remain too high and the bond price curve does not rise, bonds cannot be sold with a profit before the expiration date, tying up a lot of available banking funds and reducing profit for banks.

It's worth noting that some giant banks like JPMorgan (JPM) have already hit multi-month historical highs, outpacing the rest. But every big bank is going to benefit eventually, and so the laggards like The Bank of America (BAC), which is also growing fast right now, are my best buys.

Based on this, I would buy Bank of America shares with targets of at least $57.5, given that they are currently trading just above $48, so there is room for at least 15% growth above that, which is quite a pleasure to have in the super-reliable banking sector. Other big banks are already in my portfolio for a long time, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C) and Wells Fargo (WFC) - all of them rose by 9.5% to 11% on bill hopes and additionally gained after the Federal Reserve’s annual "stress test" on June 30 provided optimistic signs, potentially leading to the banks increasing the excess capital they plan to distribute to shareholders via dividends or stock buybacks. Well, even in case of any possible future slowdown in business activity in the U.S., which the Fed will certainly not be able to prevent, I don’t mean a recession or anything like the Great Depression, simply a moderate decline in activity, many borrowers will once again run to banks for loans to keep their small and medium businesses safe and family budgets afloat. Good for the banking segment once again!

BAC

1465

Rafael Quintana Martinez

03.07.2025

Litecoin Is Rushing to $100.00

Litecoin (LTC) is up 5.1% this week, trading at $91.46 as it recovers from a recent decline to $82.46. The earlier drop was largely attributed to political tensions within the United States. With the broader crypto market stabilising and Bitcoin (BTC) gaining 2.5% to $109,980, just below the key $110,000 resistance, market sentiment is improving. A breakout in BTC above this level could drive the next leg of the rally, with targets at $118,000–$120,000.

In such a scenario, Litecoin is likely to follow, with a potential return to the $100.00 level. Investor optimism is also building around the possibility of a Litecoin ETF approval by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Bloomberg analysts currently assign a 94% probability to this outcome. A confirmed ETF approval and a clean break above $100.00 could set LTC on course toward the $120.00 mark.

LTCUSD

1521