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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
XEM May Recover by 10%

NEM (XEM) experienced a significant 11.0% loss this week, with prices dropping to $0.0453. Wednesday saw an even steeper decline, with the token falling to $0.0427, breaching the support level at $0.0450. However, prices later managed to rise back above this support level, offering some hope for further recovery. If prices can sustainably remain above this level, there may be potential for an upward movement towards $0.0500.

Despite this potential for recovery, it's important to note that there are no fundamental factors currently supporting such a rise in NEM's price. The broader cryptocurrency market, as represented by Bitcoin (BTC), has also experienced a decline, with BTC losing 6.5% to reach $66,150 this week.

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Gold is Likely to Continue Higher

Sincere greetings to Gold believers. Yes, I have a fair share of almost 15% for Gold in my portfolio, and also my "truck" honked my readers on a mark of around $2000/oz in early December that Gold was still worth its future hike to fresh all-time highs. So, I am happy, as it is still rising alongside continuing anti-cash moves by hedge funds and many private investors. However, you know that I am rather a stock market believer, especially when we talk about mid-term "speculative investments" in growth stocks, as it usually has a potential of bringing more profit compared to an old-school tradition of placing each and every extra penny into yellow metal.

For the last 12 months, Gold prices were growing even a bit faster than the S&P 500 broad barometer of Wall Street. Gold spot (XAUUSD) just came from a $1925/oz area (April 1, 2023) to nearly $2265 (+17.6%), vs another slow but steady upside road by the S&P 500 futures, which shifted from a 4,550 points area to about 5,225 points (+14.8%) during the same period.

Certainly, those numbers cannot be compared to dozens or percent, if not sometimes hundreds of percent, in AI-related businesses. Yet both Gold and S&P proportional investments provided double-digit percentage income over the past year, and would supposedly continue to perform in the same manner soon. Buying and holding Gold assets remains to be a preferred method of parking crowd's money compared to deposits or bonds nominated in U.S. Dollars, Euro and any other major world currencies.

Though, prices on Easter eggs increased substantially more than gold. So costly for the poor Easter bunny's budget. If eggs would not be a perishable product, then I would prefer eggs or other food investment, maybe, ha-ha. Yet, all of us need some more or stable asset to pursue inflation, and e-Gold is exactly this sort of thing. Thus, even assuming that some moderate pullback in Gold would be possible to fix profit by some part of the market, investors still foresee rate cut decisions by the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. As a direct consequence, bond yields and money return from banking deposits would decrease. This and current uncertainty in EURUSD trends provides key advantages to Gold trading, as well as going on with stock portfolio investments. At least, keeping an eye for autumn, if not for the nearest 3-4 months period.

I feel Gold will continue to be of additional interest to investors in proportion to their increase in stakes on the stock market. Therefore, the further growth of the S&P 500 will be on hand for climbing gold prices higher, and not vice versa, while chances for stock correction is also a risk factor for Gold. A sharp corrective move in Gold may later coincide in time with a similar corrective slide in the S&P 500, but when would it happen? No one knows, but it's unlikely to take place in the very near future. Besides, as long as food and gasoline don't get cheaper, why should Gold get cheaper as a means of chasing inflation? I feel it is wrong when Gold assets are rising more slowly than your everyday food. Otherwise, it's a safe haven that doesn't work.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
NEO May Tumble to $12.50

Neo (NEO) experienced a significant loss of 11.0% this week, trading at $14.37, driven by a general correction in the crypto market. Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, also faced a decline of 7.0% to $66,000. While Bitcoin remains distant from its critical support level at $60,000, NEO has slipped below its key support at $15.00 and is now on track to test the $12.50 support level, representing a further potential decline of 12.0%.

Currently, NEO lacks positive catalysts to facilitate a recovery. However, from a technical perspective, the support at $12.50 is robust and may trigger a rebound in NEO prices.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
APE May Drop by 22%

ApeCoin (APE) has experienced a notable decline of 5.0% this week, trading at $1.896, which significantly underperforms compared to the broader crypto market. Bitcoin (BTC) also saw a decrease of 2.5%, falling to $69,250.

The downward trend in APE prices began in mid-March, with the token reaching a new 10-month low of $2.675 on March 13. Despite the general decline observed across altcoins during this period, APE prices notably breached the crucial support level at $2,000 and retested it.

Should the downward momentum persist, there is a possibility of APE prices declining further to $1,500, representing an additional 22% decline from current levels. Notably, NFT Bored Yacht Club (BAYC) collectibles have also experienced a downturn, with prices dropping by 41.0% to $43,000 in March.

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