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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Shiba Inu Seems to Harass Investors Again

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has experienced a significant decline of 15.0% this week, reaching $0.0000252 per token. Despite this drop, SHIB's performance still outpaces Bitcoin's 7.5% decline. However, such fluctuations are not unusual for SHIB, especially considering its previous surge of 377% from February 26 to March 5.

This volatility is reminiscent of the events in May 2021 when SHIB skyrocketed by 2500% in a single month, only to later retract 88% of its gains. However, after a period of consolidation, SHIB rallied to new all-time highs at $0.0000887. Whether history will repeat itself remains uncertain.

From a technical perspective, SHIB is likely to continue its downward trajectory towards $0.0000200 after breaching the support level at $0.0000300. Whether prices will dip below this level remains uncertain. However, it's worth noting that the Shiba Inu team is actively incinerating tokens to address internal inflation, which could potentially mitigate further declines.

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B
Boeing's Misfortunes Never Come Alone

I feel it's the right to continue tactics of holding mid-term buy positions in Airbus (AIR) stock, even though its share price accelerated upward this month. The European aircraft manufacturer added nearly 13% since late February and also gave me $25 of pure income per share, which I initially bought at €142.50 at the very start of the year following a ripped plug incident on the board of Alaska Airlines' Boeing 737 Max. And, of course, my actual benefit is 5 times bigger, exceeding 85%, due to the effect of margin trading with an 1/5 leverage provided by Metadoro. Now, Airbus is fully sold out until 2030 for single-aisle jets and 2028 for widebodies, as I already noted, while its main rival Boeing suffers from mounting troubles in terms of its image, and probably orders as well.

A suspicious “suicide” of Boeing whistleblower John Barnett, a 62-year-old former employee of the aerospace corporation, is only one of the sad news for Boeing's management. This man was employed as a quality manager for most of his 32-year career. On March 7-8, he provided testimony for a civil case he decided to pursue against Boeing, raising questions about the safety of Boeing’s new 787 Dreamliner, and later he was found dead in a truck parked in a hotel parking lot, before he appeared to give his third day of testimony. Yet, Barnett’s lawyers challenged the suicide claim by stating that there is no indication of he would take his own life, so that the police "need to investigate this fully and accurately and tell the public", with "no detail can be left unturned". A Barnett’s family friend told an ABC interviewer before this weekend that Barnett had warned her, “If anything happens to me, it’s not suicide”.

Assuming all of this was an unfortunate coincidence, of course, the whistleblower scandal could not add Boeing points in the eyes of consumers. Barnett spoke out about Boeing’s allegedly "negligent" practices, describing how Boeing "compromised quality control" in a manner that could be “catastrophic” for passengers, as his overriding goal, according to Barnett himself, was to “make the cash register ring.” He also tried to expose the role of Boeing’s military connections after the company's merger with McDonnell Douglas in 1997 by claiming the motto of a new team members was "we can do anything we want", including "not to document defects" and "to work outside procedures to allow defective material to be installed without being corrected”. Defaulting that all allegations are false, being the figment of a dismissed employee's evil imagination, I could clearly understand that much more new orders are going to come to Boeing's rivals.

Investigation showed four bolts were completely missing from the door plug that was lost in the air, according to the US National Transportation Safety Board. Misfortunes never come alone. Being under this kind of pressure, Boeing is now "weighing up the possibility of selling at least two of its defense businesses", including Boeing's Digital Receiver Technology Inc., Bloomberg said on March 19. Whatever the reasons, people "familiar with the discussions" said to Bloomberg financial advisers working on Boeing's behalf began to reach out to potential buyers long before the January plug incident so that contacts have been underway for about a year. Even if some unprofitable assets were discussed to improve the weakening balance sheet, this is another sign of potential crisis for the world's biggest aircraft maker.

For me, not only more bets in Boeing's rival Airbus group look as a justified approach, but even direct short selling of Boeing's shares is seemingly not the dumbest option, when possible targets from below at least in the range of $140-160 could be kept in mind, as price levels below $120 were detected last time in September 2022. Boeing's shares dipped to 6-month lows at $177.52 at some moment of yesterday's regular session on Wall Street and also tried to decline again on pre-market on March 20.

27
Google Benefits a Possible Collaboration with Apple

Google-parent Alphabet (GOOG) rose by nearly 6% in market value to exceed the psychological barrier of $150 per share at some point of the regular trading session on March 18. The search giant got a sudden boost from a Bloomberg News report that Apple is allegedly at a developed stage of business talks on building Google's Gemini artificial intelligence engine into its new iPhone. The report was citing "people familiar with the situation", which was enough for another round of an explosive rise of Google stocks. Journalists detailed the subject of negotiations as licensing Gemini generative AI chatbot, formerly known as Bard, for some features which are going to come to the iPhone software during the year, while particular conditions or branding of a potential agreement have not been decided yet.

A deal may be officially announced in summer, Bloomberg report says, with Apple's annual conference of developers in June as an option. Gemini is now considered by many users as probably the best available option for a conversion of text- and picture- based tasks into multimedia content. Apple stock price recovered only within 2.5% on the news, and then wasted most of its gains, while Google kept about 70% of its initial price jump before the opening bell on the next day. This may be explained by considerations that the cooperative work augurs well for a promising future of Google rather than Apple, which probably cannot rely on its own AI-related know-hows. Meanwhile, Google has a potential to expand its AI services to one or two billion active Apple devices, given that Google is now the default search engine on Apple's Safari web browser, which prevents rival services including Microsoft-sponsored ChatGPT from encroaching on Google's clear search dominance.

Less than one week ago, Microsoft representatives testified before EU antitrust regulators, focusing on the rivalry between Microsoft and Google. In their point of view, Google enjoys "a competitive edge" in the generative AI segment due to its "trove of data" and AI-optimised chips, as its "large sets of proprietary data from Google Search Index and YouTube enable it to train its large language model Gemini". "Today, only one company - Google - is vertically integrated in a manner that provides it with strength and independence at every AI layer from chips to a thriving mobile app store. Everyone else must rely on partnerships to innovate and compete," Microsoft said to the commission. It is YouTube, which hosts an estimated 14 billion videos, so that Google has access to such content, but other AI developers do not, Microsoft lawyers suggested.

So, there are two consecutive reasons in a short to remind investors of Google's even brighter-than-expected prospects in the AI field. Our ideas on Google stock's target price now extend to at least $175 per share, compared to about $147 at the time of this writing. The average Wall Street analysts' 12-month price target is now shifted to $164.17, which is also +11.5% upside from the current levels.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
EOS May Recover to $1.00 Still Looking Down

EOS has experienced a decline of 9.4% this week, falling to $0.917. The token faced significant downward pressure, particularly on Tuesday when it reached a monthly low of $0.878. This decline can be attributed to the overall weakness in the market, with Bitcoin (BTC) also losing 7.5% to trade at $64,187.

Notably, EOS seems to be closely following the movements of Bitcoin, mirroring its price fluctuations. The token breached its uptrend support level at $1.000 and subsequently retested it, suggesting potential further downside. As such, there is a possibility for EOS to decline further towards the uptrend support at $0.800.

It's worth noting that there have been no significant internal developments or news to support EOS, further contributing to its downward trajectory.

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