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09.01.2025
VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

23.01.2025
Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

14.01.2025
Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

16.01.2025
Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

14.01.2025
Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Shiba Inu Seems to Harass Investors Again

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has experienced a significant decline of 15.0% this week, reaching $0.0000252 per token. Despite this drop, SHIB's performance still outpaces Bitcoin's 7.5% decline. However, such fluctuations are not unusual for SHIB, especially considering its previous surge of 377% from February 26 to March 5.

This volatility is reminiscent of the events in May 2021 when SHIB skyrocketed by 2500% in a single month, only to later retract 88% of its gains. However, after a period of consolidation, SHIB rallied to new all-time highs at $0.0000887. Whether history will repeat itself remains uncertain.

From a technical perspective, SHIB is likely to continue its downward trajectory towards $0.0000200 after breaching the support level at $0.0000300. Whether prices will dip below this level remains uncertain. However, it's worth noting that the Shiba Inu team is actively incinerating tokens to address internal inflation, which could potentially mitigate further declines.

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Boeing's Misfortunes Never Come Alone

I feel it's the right to continue tactics of holding mid-term buy positions in Airbus (AIR) stock, even though its share price accelerated upward this month. The European aircraft manufacturer added nearly 13% since late February and also gave me $25 of pure income per share, which I initially bought at €142.50 at the very start of the year following a ripped plug incident on the board of Alaska Airlines' Boeing 737 Max. And, of course, my actual benefit is 5 times bigger, exceeding 85%, due to the effect of margin trading with an 1/5 leverage provided by Metadoro. Now, Airbus is fully sold out until 2030 for single-aisle jets and 2028 for widebodies, as I already noted, while its main rival Boeing suffers from mounting troubles in terms of its image, and probably orders as well.

A suspicious “suicide” of Boeing whistleblower John Barnett, a 62-year-old former employee of the aerospace corporation, is only one of the sad news for Boeing's management. This man was employed as a quality manager for most of his 32-year career. On March 7-8, he provided testimony for a civil case he decided to pursue against Boeing, raising questions about the safety of Boeing’s new 787 Dreamliner, and later he was found dead in a truck parked in a hotel parking lot, before he appeared to give his third day of testimony. Yet, Barnett’s lawyers challenged the suicide claim by stating that there is no indication of he would take his own life, so that the police "need to investigate this fully and accurately and tell the public", with "no detail can be left unturned". A Barnett’s family friend told an ABC interviewer before this weekend that Barnett had warned her, “If anything happens to me, it’s not suicide”.

Assuming all of this was an unfortunate coincidence, of course, the whistleblower scandal could not add Boeing points in the eyes of consumers. Barnett spoke out about Boeing’s allegedly "negligent" practices, describing how Boeing "compromised quality control" in a manner that could be “catastrophic” for passengers, as his overriding goal, according to Barnett himself, was to “make the cash register ring.” He also tried to expose the role of Boeing’s military connections after the company's merger with McDonnell Douglas in 1997 by claiming the motto of a new team members was "we can do anything we want", including "not to document defects" and "to work outside procedures to allow defective material to be installed without being corrected”. Defaulting that all allegations are false, being the figment of a dismissed employee's evil imagination, I could clearly understand that much more new orders are going to come to Boeing's rivals.

Investigation showed four bolts were completely missing from the door plug that was lost in the air, according to the US National Transportation Safety Board. Misfortunes never come alone. Being under this kind of pressure, Boeing is now "weighing up the possibility of selling at least two of its defense businesses", including Boeing's Digital Receiver Technology Inc., Bloomberg said on March 19. Whatever the reasons, people "familiar with the discussions" said to Bloomberg financial advisers working on Boeing's behalf began to reach out to potential buyers long before the January plug incident so that contacts have been underway for about a year. Even if some unprofitable assets were discussed to improve the weakening balance sheet, this is another sign of potential crisis for the world's biggest aircraft maker.

For me, not only more bets in Boeing's rival Airbus group look as a justified approach, but even direct short selling of Boeing's shares is seemingly not the dumbest option, when possible targets from below at least in the range of $140-160 could be kept in mind, as price levels below $120 were detected last time in September 2022. Boeing's shares dipped to 6-month lows at $177.52 at some moment of yesterday's regular session on Wall Street and also tried to decline again on pre-market on March 20.

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Google Benefits a Possible Collaboration with Apple

Google-parent Alphabet (GOOG) rose by nearly 6% in market value to exceed the psychological barrier of $150 per share at some point of the regular trading session on March 18. The search giant got a sudden boost from a Bloomberg News report that Apple is allegedly at a developed stage of business talks on building Google's Gemini artificial intelligence engine into its new iPhone. The report was citing "people familiar with the situation", which was enough for another round of an explosive rise of Google stocks. Journalists detailed the subject of negotiations as licensing Gemini generative AI chatbot, formerly known as Bard, for some features which are going to come to the iPhone software during the year, while particular conditions or branding of a potential agreement have not been decided yet.

A deal may be officially announced in summer, Bloomberg report says, with Apple's annual conference of developers in June as an option. Gemini is now considered by many users as probably the best available option for a conversion of text- and picture- based tasks into multimedia content. Apple stock price recovered only within 2.5% on the news, and then wasted most of its gains, while Google kept about 70% of its initial price jump before the opening bell on the next day. This may be explained by considerations that the cooperative work augurs well for a promising future of Google rather than Apple, which probably cannot rely on its own AI-related know-hows. Meanwhile, Google has a potential to expand its AI services to one or two billion active Apple devices, given that Google is now the default search engine on Apple's Safari web browser, which prevents rival services including Microsoft-sponsored ChatGPT from encroaching on Google's clear search dominance.

Less than one week ago, Microsoft representatives testified before EU antitrust regulators, focusing on the rivalry between Microsoft and Google. In their point of view, Google enjoys "a competitive edge" in the generative AI segment due to its "trove of data" and AI-optimised chips, as its "large sets of proprietary data from Google Search Index and YouTube enable it to train its large language model Gemini". "Today, only one company - Google - is vertically integrated in a manner that provides it with strength and independence at every AI layer from chips to a thriving mobile app store. Everyone else must rely on partnerships to innovate and compete," Microsoft said to the commission. It is YouTube, which hosts an estimated 14 billion videos, so that Google has access to such content, but other AI developers do not, Microsoft lawyers suggested.

So, there are two consecutive reasons in a short to remind investors of Google's even brighter-than-expected prospects in the AI field. Our ideas on Google stock's target price now extend to at least $175 per share, compared to about $147 at the time of this writing. The average Wall Street analysts' 12-month price target is now shifted to $164.17, which is also +11.5% upside from the current levels.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
EOS May Recover to $1.00 Still Looking Down

EOS has experienced a decline of 9.4% this week, falling to $0.917. The token faced significant downward pressure, particularly on Tuesday when it reached a monthly low of $0.878. This decline can be attributed to the overall weakness in the market, with Bitcoin (BTC) also losing 7.5% to trade at $64,187.

Notably, EOS seems to be closely following the movements of Bitcoin, mirroring its price fluctuations. The token breached its uptrend support level at $1.000 and subsequently retested it, suggesting potential further downside. As such, there is a possibility for EOS to decline further towards the uptrend support at $0.800.

It's worth noting that there have been no significant internal developments or news to support EOS, further contributing to its downward trajectory.

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