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15.09.2022
Safe Haven Assets for Long-Term Investments: Broadcom

Broadcom is an American semiconductor and infrastructure software development company. Soon it is expected to close a merger deal with VMware, a cloud computing and visualization company, that will open new cross-sales opportunities for Broadcom to boost its revenues. Broadcom stocks are now 25% off their peak values.

According to the Q3 FY 2022 financial report that ended July 31, consolidated revenues grew by 25% year-over-year to $8.46 billion, and EPS went up by 40% to $9.73 per share. The semiconductors segment, that added 32% year-over-year, was the primary driver for the company’s profit. The company’s free cash flows (FCF) topped $4.3 billion, allowing it to spend $1.7 billion on dividends and 1.5 billion on the shares repurchase program. The company is planning to continue spending at least 50% of FCF on dividends that added 43% every year on average since 2016. 

According to the Q4 FY 2022 forward guidance, the company is expecting its revenues to go up by 20% year-over-year to $8.9 billion and for EDITDA to go up by 25% to $5.6 billion. Broadcom has great experience in expanding its product portfolio by M&A operations, and apparently it will continue on this way. The company is also expected to benefit greatly from the $52.7 billion CHIPS bill in the United States.


08.12.2022
To The Moon Stocks: Toyota

Toyota stocks are trading 20% off their peaks. The company has made a strategic target hybrid, electric and hydrogen vehicles manufacturing. EV makers are now experiencing some issues with the production of batteries. So, prices on new electric vehicles rose sharply. Car makers and battery producers are working together to increase production, but this is not a one time story and may have an effect in a few years.

Electric vehicles are considered to be rather luxury cars, but they are even more expensive now. Tesla has recently raised its prices for some models by $6,000. Whatever the case, EV production is expensive and prices start at $50,000 per car. Hybrids are more affordable as it may cost around $30,000 for Toyota’s popular RAV4 model, while the same model with the combustion engine would cost $27,500. But the Hybrid version can make up to 51% more miles and leave a significantly lower carbon footprint.

Humanity is moving toward electric transport, but now they are considered to be more of a status vehicle. So, hybrids will be in demand for now and that would allow Toyota to raise its revenues along with improving electric vehicle technology.

Toyota has EV / EDITDA ratio at 11.8 while Tesla has it at the sky-high level of 32 with the same comparable business margins. So, TM stocks are a long term perspective bet.

11.01.2023
Advanced Crypto Assets: dYdX

DYDX tokens suffered a lot during the ongoing market correction and lost over 95% off their peak prices. dYdX is an advanced decentralised exchange, where clients can exchange cryptocurrencies and derivatives with marginal collateral. There are no KYC procedures to be followed within the exchange, as well as no need to disclose your personal data.

dYdX is runs on the Ethereum blockchain, known for its expensive transaction fees. However, StarkWare solution allows for lower fees as only commissions for trading are charged. The platform now runs on Layer 2 protocol which is incorporated into Ethereum’s  main network. This solution allows for transactions to be conducted instantly, while traders do not have to pay miners for validating transactions.

Market players are closely monitoring the dYdX V4 vehicle, which is  a standalone Cosmos blockchain, featuring a fully decentralised, off-chain, orderbook and matching engine. In other words, developers are going to create the entire trading infrastructure to scale up processes without involving any third-party applications. The service  cancelled two stimulus programs in order to lessen the effects of inflation within the dYdX platform and to support token prices.

04.08.2022
Ethereum’s Most Important Update

ETH is a native token for the Ethereum blockchain and is one of the two most reliable digital assets in the market along with Bitcoin. Ethereum is the first platform that became a hub for thousands of blockchain apps and other digital solutions. The recovery of ETH prices to November 2021 peaks at $4,900 would bring investors 190% profit.

Second layer solutions (Layer2) were introduced to improve stability and effectiveness of the Ethereum blockchain. These are blockchain network add-ons that are added on top of the primary blockchain. The most popular add-ons are Arbitrum, Loopring, Immutable X, and Polygon that have recently partnered with Meta (Facebook owner). In other words, the Ethereum blockchain network has a much broader use than the native blockchain itself.

Ethereum developers promise to release a new Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus protocol in late 2022. This protocol will allow miners to stake tokens to a special deposit to mine blocks. Some networks within the Ethereum blockchain have moved to PoS protocol this summer, while others are expected to move to this protocol in the middle of September.  This move will allow for the increase of processing capacity of the network to almost 100,000 transactions a second from the existing 30 transactions and lower commissions. This would also allow for ETH to switch to the deflation model when coins are algorithmically burned, while some coins would be removed from circulation as they would be blocked by staking - more than 13 million ETH or 10% of overall coins in circulation are blocked by staking. The problem is that coins are blocked for a long period of time and cannot be sold or exchanged for fiat currency.

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Apecoin May Survive the $16.7 Million Token Unlock

Apecoin lost 3.2% to $1.06 after cliff token unlock on October 17. The token has successfully survived the “fake” news of first spot Bitcoin-ETF approval too. The token even posted some gains on the news. However, the cliff token unlock of $16.7 million send token prices down to test the $1.00 support level. The unlock released about 4.2% of the tokens offering. The tokens went to the Yuga Labs ecosystem and its founder, charity, treasury, and to the launch contributors. The last ones could be responsible for flooding the market with extra tokens. Despite the expected cliff token unlock the wale with a nickname Machi Big Brother continued to accumulate Apecoins. He bought around $7.4 million tokens in the recent two months. Together with the marketing efforts of Yuga Labs and Apecoin team, this could provide extra support for the token. So, token prices are likely to survive above $1.00 level.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Recessional Short of Cyclical 3M Stock

3M stocks are moving steadily alongside a downtrend. The stock lost 66% from its historical peak at $259. One should think, there is no further room for the stock to go down. But there is, as its prices dived below the support at $90 per share, and are traded at $89. This dive opens a path towards the $55 target. The economic background is rather negative. U.S. debt yields are at multi-decades records and continue climbing. Fed’s officials are not rushing to send some positive signals to support stocks. So, a short trade of rather weak stocks that heavily depend on external economic conditions seem to be a good idea to me. I plan to open a short trade at $90 with a target at $55, and a stop-loss at $110. It case prices would reverse and we will have a weekly close above $90 the trade will be closed.

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Getting Rid of the Excess Pounds Is Helpful

The Pound repeatedly bounced off its weekly lows, but its intraday support levels were gradually moving lower. In terms of GBP/USD, today's Cable low is at 1.2088, compared to 1.2132 on Tuesday and 1.2142 on Monday. EUR/GBP is also trying to hold above 0.87 after climbing this hill from a 0.8650 area where it stayed at last week's close. A significant drop of the British currency took place on October 12, which was a response to U.S. inflation data that reignited Fed fund rate hike concerns. A combination of persistent price pressure and a tight labour market lead to increasingly higher U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yields benchmark, which is approaching its 5% record for decades, leading to extra demand for the Greenback.

Parallel to this, the latest data on industrial production from the U.K. showed a 0.7% monthly decline, while analysts predicted only a slight 0.2% shortfall. On Tuesday, October 17, the average earnings (+bonus) index surplus was 8.1% only compared to 8.5% a month ago, supporting the view that the Bank of England may be less hawkish than the U.S. Fed. This supposes a further relative weakness of the GBP and the USD strength.

Getting rid of the excess Pounds is seemingly a wise strategy, with my current trading plans of selling GBP/USD at any upticks towards 1.2170 minor downtrend line, with a possible option of adding more near 1.2200-1.2225 resistance, in case if the Pound will touch that hard-to-reach price zone. A stop loss area could be placed somewhere above 1.2250, as I personally feel it.

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Chainlink is Likely to Continue Down After Correction

Chainlink is moving alongside a downtrend since October 16. The coin is nearing the resistance of the triangle pattern and is likely to continue down after a small correction. Thus, it would be interesting to consider short trades from 7.4356-7.4730 with a target at 7.1690, which is the support level of the triangle. The stop-loss could be set slightly above 7.5706, the high of October 17.

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