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15.09.2022
Safe Haven Assets for Long-Term Investments: Broadcom

Broadcom is an American semiconductor and infrastructure software development company. Soon it is expected to close a merger deal with VMware, a cloud computing and visualization company, that will open new cross-sales opportunities for Broadcom to boost its revenues. Broadcom stocks are now 25% off their peak values.

According to the Q3 FY 2022 financial report that ended July 31, consolidated revenues grew by 25% year-over-year to $8.46 billion, and EPS went up by 40% to $9.73 per share. The semiconductors segment, that added 32% year-over-year, was the primary driver for the company’s profit. The company’s free cash flows (FCF) topped $4.3 billion, allowing it to spend $1.7 billion on dividends and 1.5 billion on the shares repurchase program. The company is planning to continue spending at least 50% of FCF on dividends that added 43% every year on average since 2016. 

According to the Q4 FY 2022 forward guidance, the company is expecting its revenues to go up by 20% year-over-year to $8.9 billion and for EDITDA to go up by 25% to $5.6 billion. Broadcom has great experience in expanding its product portfolio by M&A operations, and apparently it will continue on this way. The company is also expected to benefit greatly from the $52.7 billion CHIPS bill in the United States.


11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

04.08.2022
Ethereum’s Most Important Update

ETH is a native token for the Ethereum blockchain and is one of the two most reliable digital assets in the market along with Bitcoin. Ethereum is the first platform that became a hub for thousands of blockchain apps and other digital solutions. The recovery of ETH prices to November 2021 peaks at $4,900 would bring investors 190% profit.

Second layer solutions (Layer2) were introduced to improve stability and effectiveness of the Ethereum blockchain. These are blockchain network add-ons that are added on top of the primary blockchain. The most popular add-ons are Arbitrum, Loopring, Immutable X, and Polygon that have recently partnered with Meta (Facebook owner). In other words, the Ethereum blockchain network has a much broader use than the native blockchain itself.

Ethereum developers promise to release a new Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus protocol in late 2022. This protocol will allow miners to stake tokens to a special deposit to mine blocks. Some networks within the Ethereum blockchain have moved to PoS protocol this summer, while others are expected to move to this protocol in the middle of September.  This move will allow for the increase of processing capacity of the network to almost 100,000 transactions a second from the existing 30 transactions and lower commissions. This would also allow for ETH to switch to the deflation model when coins are algorithmically burned, while some coins would be removed from circulation as they would be blocked by staking - more than 13 million ETH or 10% of overall coins in circulation are blocked by staking. The problem is that coins are blocked for a long period of time and cannot be sold or exchanged for fiat currency.

08.12.2022
To The Moon Stocks: Toyota

Toyota stocks are trading 20% off their peaks. The company has made a strategic target hybrid, electric and hydrogen vehicles manufacturing. EV makers are now experiencing some issues with the production of batteries. So, prices on new electric vehicles rose sharply. Car makers and battery producers are working together to increase production, but this is not a one time story and may have an effect in a few years.

Electric vehicles are considered to be rather luxury cars, but they are even more expensive now. Tesla has recently raised its prices for some models by $6,000. Whatever the case, EV production is expensive and prices start at $50,000 per car. Hybrids are more affordable as it may cost around $30,000 for Toyota’s popular RAV4 model, while the same model with the combustion engine would cost $27,500. But the Hybrid version can make up to 51% more miles and leave a significantly lower carbon footprint.

Humanity is moving toward electric transport, but now they are considered to be more of a status vehicle. So, hybrids will be in demand for now and that would allow Toyota to raise its revenues along with improving electric vehicle technology.

Toyota has EV / EDITDA ratio at 11.8 while Tesla has it at the sky-high level of 32 with the same comparable business margins. So, TM stocks are a long term perspective bet.

11.01.2023
Advanced Crypto Assets: dYdX

DYDX tokens suffered a lot during the ongoing market correction and lost over 95% off their peak prices. dYdX is an advanced decentralised exchange, where clients can exchange cryptocurrencies and derivatives with marginal collateral. There are no KYC procedures to be followed within the exchange, as well as no need to disclose your personal data.

dYdX is runs on the Ethereum blockchain, known for its expensive transaction fees. However, StarkWare solution allows for lower fees as only commissions for trading are charged. The platform now runs on Layer 2 protocol which is incorporated into Ethereum’s  main network. This solution allows for transactions to be conducted instantly, while traders do not have to pay miners for validating transactions.

Market players are closely monitoring the dYdX V4 vehicle, which is  a standalone Cosmos blockchain, featuring a fully decentralised, off-chain, orderbook and matching engine. In other words, developers are going to create the entire trading infrastructure to scale up processes without involving any third-party applications. The service  cancelled two stimulus programs in order to lessen the effects of inflation within the dYdX platform and to support token prices.

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Stellar is Set to Go Down

Stellar is moving alongside a downtrend since September 10, and may continue to do so after a short correction that has started on October 12. The XLMUSD is rapidly moving towards the resistance of the downtrend, and may hit it at 0.1097-0.1109. This is where short trades with a target at 0.1020 could be considered. The stop-loss could be set at 0.1135, the low of October 4.

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GALA is Nearing a Strong Resistance

GALA prices are moving in a downtrend since October 3. The altcoin went into correction on October 11, and is now moving towards the resistance at 0.0140-0.0141. This is where the GALUSD is likely to reverse to the downside. Thus, it would be wise to consider short trades from this resistance with a target at 0.0128, which is the low of October 11. The stop-loss could be set slightly above 0.0145, the high of October 9.

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Stocks To Watch This Week: Delta Air Lines

Delta Air Lines stock lost 4.5% on October 9 after all American carriers suddenly halted or reined in flights to Israel following an escalated violence breakout between the country's military forces and Palestinian terrorist group Hamas. Suspended services were announced "until conditions allow them to resume". Companies including Delta, United Airlines, American Airlines etc are clearly losing money on cancelled flights, yet it has only a temporary and very limited effect on their worldwide businesses. So, stock prices of Delta bounced by more than 1.5% as soon as on the next trading day. The stock even recovered by nearly 3% at some moment.

Delta Air Lines is set to report during the week, as earnings number release is scheduled on October 12, before the opening bell on Wall Street. Recent attempts to diversify the company's revenue sources to boost long-term growth deserve investors' attention, while geopolitical and other forms of uncertainty represent only short-term risks for the travel industry. The crowd and experts may be even ready to forgive some temporary losses, for the sake of the longer-term expansion, which is clearly more promising. Only a set of some new and now hypothetical pandemic shutdowns may have the ability to potentially delay the rise of aviation segment stocks for a long time. Such a possibility cannot be ruled out in the future, but there are no threats of that sort right now at least.

With the stock's price soaring high in late spring and in the first half of summer, from below $33 to nearly $50 per share, it had been adjusted to its pre-rally level during general market correction. This allows to hope for a launch of a recovery process ahead of the next summer season in 2024.

As to the earnings report, it is worth noting that Delta Air Lines beat consensus estimates in its Q2 report three months ago, with an 11.6% beat on EPS, which was $2.68. The consensus is $1.97 per share for Q3, so that any better numbers for the July-September period may give a positive impulse for the bull's camp. Delta Air Lines faced an improving trend in the recent months, while only the 30% decline in free cash flow compared to 2022 could be considered as a major obstacle for a positive perception of the big picture.

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Stocks To Watch This Week: PepsiCo

A globally recognizable brand for beverages and snacks reported third quarter on October 10. Its equity per share (EPS) was $2.25, $0.10 better than expert consensus. Q3 sales totalled $23.45 billion, which slightly beat average estimates of $23.43 billion. The number was by $1.13 billion higher than in Q2 and adder more than $5.5 billion compared to Q1. More importantly, the company's management raised its forecast for annual return for the third time in 2023, with a view to further lifting its selling prices, even though PepsiCo successfully undertook similar moves on its major markets, based on resilient demand on packed food. Average prices for a range of PepsiCo products rose by 11% from early June to early September, while organic volume fell 2.5%. Nevertheless, there will be some modest level of price increases coming when the company will get into next year.

"I do think that as a company we are executing better and better", based on both "the raise and guidance", and as "we have made investments in manufacturing capacity", PepsiCo CFO Hugh Johnston said. Go to market systems, supply chain, these all seem like ways of running the business better in terms of costs. "We reinvest back in the business... but I wouldn't dismiss the role of innovation... and things we have got going on in Quaker [oats] and in Funyuns [onion flavoured chips] and in Doritos [tortilla chips]", Hugh Johnston added, listing a set of snacks.

Snacks business helped counter falling demand in the beverages unit, as the Frito-Lay North America, a subsidiary of PepsiCo that manufactures, markets and sells corn chips, potato chips etc, gained 7% in terms of organic revenue, despite pure physical volumes slightly fell. PepsiCo also focused on selling more "profitable volume", feeling that consumer preferences are evolving towards some smaller packages amid inflation pressure and lessened real income of households. Spending on natural products categorized as "affordable luxuries" is limited in favour of cheaper food and carbonated drinks.

As a result, shares of PepsiCo gained 1.88% on October 10, soon after the corporate news. Rival Coca-Cola was also up 2.17%. PepsiCo is still down by more than 16% compared to 2023 peaking prices of mid-May, and there is enough space for a potential recovery during the nearest 3-6 months.

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