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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

Dividend Aristocrats: Johnson & Johnson

Johnson & Johnson was founded in 1886, and since the last 60 years is constantly raising its dividends. The company has a truly diversified business with three major segments: Consumer health, Pharmaceutical, Medical Devices.

The recent Q2 2022 earnings report was impressive despite consumer market tightening. The revenue grew by 3% year-on-year to $24 billion, while the net free cash flows rose to $8.1 billion over the first half of 2022. Dividend and buybacks were at $5.8 billion and at $2.6 billion respectively. Consumer health segment rose by 3% year-on-year amid elevated demand for analgesics and upper airways medicine. Skin Care Neutrogena brand significantly contributed to the segment earnings. Pharmaceutical sales were up by 12% year-on-year mainly on rising cancer treatment medicine, Grohn’s disease drugs, precox treatment and some other diseases. The COVID-19 vaccine is not expected to make a significant contribution to the segment. Medical Devices segment was up by 3% year-on-year on elevated demand for surgical systems and electrophysiology equipment. Diversified business and vas cash flows are magnetizing investors worldwide, especially now as JNJ stock prices are 7% below the beginning of 2022.


314
Dividend Aristocrats: Procter & Gamble

Procter & Gamble is constantly increasing its dividends for the last 66 years, which is an astonishing record even among famous U.S. corporations that are operating across the globe. The company has a 200 year track record. Investments in such sustainable reputable companies like Procter & Gamble are looking logical in a turmoil periods.

PG share prices declined by 13% from the beginning of 2022 compared to 16% drop of S&P 500 broad market index. Nobody doubt the company’s shares will recover, as prices dropped only in a connection of the market sentiment, but a not financials of the company itself. Despite stronger U.S. Dollar and rising energy prices net sales of PG rose by 5% to $80.2 billion in 2022. The company spent $10 billion on the buyback and $8.8 billion ion dividends in 2021.

Management of the company provides an optimistic forward guidance for the 2023 with 3-4% growth of sales and EPS up by 4%. Buyback program would be continued with $ 6-8 billion reserved for it while dividend payouts would be raised to $9 billion. Such guidance together with a discount share prices by 14% create excellent buy opportunities for investors.


291
Perspective Assets with Significant Discounts: Alibaba

Alibaba stocks are under pressure for a long time amid fears of restrictions from both U.S. and China authorities, and are traded 70% of their peaks. Nevertheless, the company performs well having sustainable financials. The company receive a revenue of $30.68 billion in the Q2 2022. Cloud computing and various IT services related to digital media are playing an important role in terms of revenues.

Alibaba is pushing through with a shares buyback as it gas purchased its own shares in the market for $3.6 billion in the Q2 2022 and for $9.7 billion in 2021 overall. Free cash flows allow the company to push with aggressive buybacks to attract investors.

BABA has been approved for shares’ listing in Hong Kong, which is of paramount importance to eliminate the major risk of delisting from U.S. exchanges.

BABA stocks are traded at $89, the same price as after the IPO in 2015. The is a truly unique investment opportunity for a long run. 


360
Perspective Assets with Significant Discounts: Micron Technology

Semiconductors producer Micron Technology stocks are traded 40% of its highs in the beginning of 2022. The company is expanding together with the expanse of IT-products into daily life of people, as the demand for semiconductors form data centers, car producers would only grow. The target market was estimated at $161 billion in 2021, and would expand by 20% per year before 2025, according to company’s management estimates.

Micron plans to spend more than $150 billion for development in the next ten years to ensure the demand would be satisfied completely. And the company is able to do this as it moved from $5 billion net debt to $5 billion net cash flow in the last four years.

The company spend most of its profits on researches and on buybacks as it bought 13.8 million of its own shares for $981 million in the second quarter of 2022, while delivering earnings per share (EPS) at $0.115. The buyback amounts for 108 million shares in the last four years. The company has abilities to go further with a buyback as its free cash flow hit $3.8 billion in the second quarter, or 44% of its revenue.


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