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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Let’s Go for a Short Ride with the EURUSD

This week was very enchanting for the EURUSD that surged by almost 2.5%in such a short period. The pair need more than 4 weeks to ride this much, and is now seen rolling back exhausted. It may continue to go up at some point, but now it is likely to deteriorate towards 1.10700-1.11000. I will certainly use this opportunity to go short on the EURUSD at 1.12300-1.12500 with the target at 1.10900. I have put the stop-loss at 1.13100 making the profit/loss ratio at two to one.

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3 Stocks To Rise This Summer: Salesforce

This customer relations management (CRM) service company announced a plan of increasing its prices from August. As a result, its shares soared by more than 6.5% during the first two days of the week. Salesforce is going to increase list prices by 9% across Sales Cloud, Service Cloud and Marketing Cloud segments of the business. The last similar price increase action was held as early as seven years ago. Since that time, the company has delivered "22 new releases, thousands of new features — including recent generative AI innovations — and invested more than $20 billion in research and development,” the company said in an announcement to discuss the changes. For example, the cost of professional edition will increase by $5 to $80, enterprise edition will increase by $15 to $165, and unlimited version of edition will now cost $330, up $30. Price changes are probably a sign of growing demand, first of all, which could provide a tailwind for earnings. Again, the company already said several months ago that its operational margin may rise by 25% in the next couple of years to increase its sales numbers by 17% to $31 billion. Updates in the nearest months may be better, for obvious reasons. CRM stock is still trading at nearly 28% discount compared to its peaking price of November 2021, which may be an attractive buying chance for the mid-term as well.

 

57
3 Stocks To Rise This Summer: Boeing

Boeing delivered 60 passenger jets in June 2023. This means, demand and production continue to rebound. The total number for the first half of the year reached 266 planes, which is already 23% higher than in the same period of 2022.

Production issues and regulation troubles were dogging the famous aircraft producer for a long time, but now it is seemingly on track to meet higher annual targets like delivery planning for at least 400 narrowbody 737 planes and 70 widebody 787 Dreamliners in 2023. It delivered 48 of its bestselling 737 MAXs in June, compared to 35 MAXs in May, four of 767s - including the first KC-46 military tanker that had to be reworked due to some fuel tank problem, six 787 Dreamliners, one 777 freighter and one 737 that will be turned into a P-8 Poseidon maritime surveillance aircraft for South Korea. Boeing's performance in June is the best since March, when the company supplied 64 jets to customers before revealing a 737 bracket installation error in April. To compare Airbus delivered 316 aircraft over the first six months of 2023, including 72 jets only in June. Airbus said it was also planning to supply 720 planes in 2023 altogether. Both plane makers look quite attractive even at the current level, yet Boeing has much more space upside even to its price highs of March 2021 at $278.5, and its peaking price of 2019 above $445, before first troubles came out. Boeing Commercial Airplanes CEO Stan Deal said he expects to increase MAX production from its current rate of 31 jets per month to 38 "very soon". Boeing also won net orders for 288 planes, including a very big order from Air India for 190 MAXs, 20 Dreamliners and 10 mini-jumbo 777X jets and another order for 39 Dreamliners from new Saudi Arabian airline Riyadh Air. This may help effectively eliminate a significant part of the backlog, given that the stock price has so far risen from $213.30 to a $220 area only in the first two days after the news.

54
3 Stocks To Rise This Summer: AirBnb

A well-known global marketplace for stays and experiences connecting hosts and their supposed guests online is building up its muscles. Its share price is mushrooming as it added more than 25% since the beginning of June, thanks to Airbnb's rising margins amid the core travel season. The stock is clearly accelerating its uptrend.

Airbnb market caps initially added nearly 50% in 2021, but rolled back. Later on, it came back again to the starting point, and were further sold off in 2022, like many other internet-related stocks. However, it was mostly the domino effect from the falling Wall Street indexes, not connected too much with the company's fundamentals. As soon as general fears of recession stopped to dominate in investors’ minds, inadequately oversold stocks, including Airbnb, began to climb in January and February 2023.

The company itself supported hopes of the investing crowd with even better than expected Q4 2022 profit and sales numbers. The first quarter of 2023 is not in line with the elevated consensus estimates, yet there are many signs that the earnings report on August 10 would be more favourable. Consensus estimates are now at nearly 80 cents of equity per share on revenue of $2.4 billion, compared to $0.48 and $0.18 cents on revenue of $1.8-1.9 billion in the previous two quarters. If those forecasts would become a reality, then the possible target price for Airbnb may approach $200 per share, compared to nearly $140 in midsummer.

The prices of air carriers' stocks are looking optimistic, so that the travelling activity starts to benefit from the post-pandemic recovery at last. This may be an indirect indication for the renting industry as well, and a relatively weaker U.S. Dollar is also supporting foreign vacationers all over the world. Home-sharing businesses are even benefiting from higher interest rates as they used to earn their own difference on money they hold between bookings and stays. Local property managers and traditional hotel booking processes in the U.S. are reportedly subdued by online marketplaces, some analysts including Needham & Company noted. Steve Milo, founder and CEO of VTrips, a company operating more than seven thousand properties in the U.S., is also cited.

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