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15.12.2022
Three Undervalued Value Stocks: Costco

Costco Wholesale Corporation has presented quite disappointing earnings report for the Fiscal Q1 2023. Revenues were reported up 8.1% year-on-year to $54.44 billion missing expectations of $54.65 billion. This is obviously not the reason for long-term investors to remove COST stocks from their portfolios as the company is set to maintain strong financial discipline and cost structure, not to stimulate high growth in the short term at any cost.

The operational margin in financial Q1 2022 was at 3.4%, and in Q1 2023 it was 3.2%. Costco is aiming to provide the most reasonable prices on their products to keep their clients loyal. That is why the operational margin is suffering. Meanwhile, EPS was up by 4.4% to $3.1, and membership fees rose by 6% year-on-year. So, the strategy seems to be buying itself.

Inflation in the United States is expected to return under control over the next year. So, there will be no need to deliver various marketing activities like coupon sales and others while loyal clients will be grateful for the support during the period of uncertainty. Costco is planning to open 24 new stores in 2023, increasing its potential to generate revenues.

06.10.2022
Top 3 Financial Stocks: CME Group

CME Group is the largest market place for derivatives. CME stocks dropped by 25% from the beginning of 2022. The only reason for such a decline is the overall market correction and not any business issues. High volatility is a benefit for the company as it offers the most important derivatives to mitigate financial risks. Among those are the most popular S&P 500 index futures and other indexes linked to derivatives, agricultural products, gold, silver, and crude derivatives. So, the company continues to receive decent profit that allows for the payment of high dividends to its investors.

Free Cash Flow (FCF) of the company in 2022 is expected to hit $2.8 billion. CME is improving its efficiency as every Dollar received in 2021 was converted into $0.48 of FCF, while this year this figure is expected to rise to $0.55, and in 2023 to $0.57. Regular annual dividends is at $4 or 2.3% of share value. CME is also paying interim dividends. By doing so, it paid $3.6 regular dividend and $3.25 interim dividends in 2021, or $6.85 per share, slightly above FCF per share at $6.77.

CME has a solid business model and sound financials without substantial debt. These facts allow the management to take more care of the company’s shareholders. The current overall downside configuration offers great opportunities for investors to add CME stocks to their long-term investment portfolios.

15.09.2022
Safe Haven Assets for Long-Term Investments: Broadcom

Broadcom is an American semiconductor and infrastructure software development company. Soon it is expected to close a merger deal with VMware, a cloud computing and visualization company, that will open new cross-sales opportunities for Broadcom to boost its revenues. Broadcom stocks are now 25% off their peak values.

According to the Q3 FY 2022 financial report that ended July 31, consolidated revenues grew by 25% year-over-year to $8.46 billion, and EPS went up by 40% to $9.73 per share. The semiconductors segment, that added 32% year-over-year, was the primary driver for the company’s profit. The company’s free cash flows (FCF) topped $4.3 billion, allowing it to spend $1.7 billion on dividends and 1.5 billion on the shares repurchase program. The company is planning to continue spending at least 50% of FCF on dividends that added 43% every year on average since 2016. 

According to the Q4 FY 2022 forward guidance, the company is expecting its revenues to go up by 20% year-over-year to $8.9 billion and for EDITDA to go up by 25% to $5.6 billion. Broadcom has great experience in expanding its product portfolio by M&A operations, and apparently it will continue on this way. The company is also expected to benefit greatly from the $52.7 billion CHIPS bill in the United States.


11.01.2023
Advanced Crypto Assets: dYdX

DYDX tokens suffered a lot during the ongoing market correction and lost over 95% off their peak prices. dYdX is an advanced decentralised exchange, where clients can exchange cryptocurrencies and derivatives with marginal collateral. There are no KYC procedures to be followed within the exchange, as well as no need to disclose your personal data.

dYdX is runs on the Ethereum blockchain, known for its expensive transaction fees. However, StarkWare solution allows for lower fees as only commissions for trading are charged. The platform now runs on Layer 2 protocol which is incorporated into Ethereum’s  main network. This solution allows for transactions to be conducted instantly, while traders do not have to pay miners for validating transactions.

Market players are closely monitoring the dYdX V4 vehicle, which is  a standalone Cosmos blockchain, featuring a fully decentralised, off-chain, orderbook and matching engine. In other words, developers are going to create the entire trading infrastructure to scale up processes without involving any third-party applications. The service  cancelled two stimulus programs in order to lessen the effects of inflation within the dYdX platform and to support token prices.

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

B
GBPUSD is Likely to Rise

Most traders may believe that the Pound is doomed and will never recover. This belief stems from the rise of the US Dollar, loose monetary signals from the Bank of England (BoE), and the expected easing of inflation in April. Although labour market data indicates to some improvement in the conditions of the UK economy, I expect the Pound to surge to 1.28. We can see it on the weekly chart, where the 200 period EMA is located, which is the strongest resistance. In terms of timing, I expect the start of an upward movement by May 24, when inflation data for the UK will be released. But the market is very speculative, even though volatility is falling, it is better to look for the 1.25 level for GBPUSD to open long trades. In the alternative scenario, the Pound may go down to 1.2280 from the current level of 1.2450.

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Undervalued Value Stocks: Royal Caribbean Cruises

Cruise liners operators are one of the market segments that greatly suffered during the pandemic. But the situation has improved, as the World Health Organisation (WHO) recently declared that the pandemic is over. So, Royal Caribbean could now recovery. RCL stocks dropped to $20 in 2020 and have recovered to $75 since then, but prices are still lower than $135 that were recorded in 2019. The Q1 2023 made losses to the company but they are much less than before. RCL revenues were recorded at $2.9 billion compared to $2.5 billion in Q1 2019, while EPS was negative at -$0.23, beating analysts’ expectations of -$0.69.

Such developments are pointing to the fact that the company is on its way to a recovery much faster than expected. The management expects EPS at $4.60 in 2023 and at $10 by the end of 2024, while analysts’ consensus is at $8.4. This target could be upgraded when the company delivers its new earnings report.

Royal Caribbean has reported bookings during Q1 2023 at $5.3 billion compared to $4.2 billion at the end of 2022. The management expects a record operational profit in 2023 that will allow the company to cover most of the losses caused by the pandemic.

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Undervalued Value Stocks: Suncor Energy

Suncor Energy is a Canadian energy company that specialises in production of synthetic crude from oil sands. Its stocks are trading around the same level as a decade ago. The reason for this is a lack of investors’ satisfaction as the firm delivers low incomes. Operational income was down by 29% as EPS tumbled to $1.36, and the Free Cash Flow was down by 21% to $2.26 per share.

It is worth remembering that energy companies are cyclical, and the sector is now recovering. Most of the companies from the sector have rewarded their shareholders, including Suncor. It spent $874 million for buy back of its shares and $690 million on dividends during the last quarter.

The management is planning to spent $5.8 billion on Capex and acquisition of TotalEnergies SE Canadian-based assets. This acquisition is very promising as Suncor will increase its oil sands reserves by 10% immediately after the deal is closed. This deal is largely financed by borrowed funds, which is the only risk factor. However, the company is planning to pay off $9 billion of its $15.7 billion debts by the end of 2024. It is also planning to spend half of its FCF on buy backs, and increase this buy backs to 75% of FCF in 2025.

Investors that are prepared to act against the market by adding SU stocks to their portfolios with a huge discount could be largely rewarded when the market sentiment changes.

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Undervalued Value Stocks: Dropbox

Dropbox is a file hosting service company. Its stocks lost 33% for their peak prices. Investors were lacking excitement over this stock during the recent mini-rally as the company presented quite moderate revenue growth in Q1 2023 as the firm has become a value company. Even the AI-driven segment is unlikely to dramatically boost the company’s revenues . Key drivers for the stock could be rather found in the stable continuous income and higher margins. The company has decided to lay off 16% of its staff so this may help to improve margins. It is also a signal from the management that it will continue to raise margins and the company’s effectiveness.

The company’s management is expecting to increase Free Cash Flow (FCF) to $1 billion in 2024. Why is this so important? The company, unlike many other tech firms, has already found its source of stable income and is trying to increase it. Investors themselves are not prone to overpay for risky growth stocks at the moment, and are seeking out value stocks that could bring them stable income. Dropbox is expecting revenues at $2.470-2.485 billion and FCF at $820-840 million in 2023 with an operational margin at 33-34%.

Management has spent $570 million during Q1 2023 to buy back 8% of the company’s stocks. If it succeeds to receive FCF as planned, its stocks may easily recover losses and continue to gain momentum.

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