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15.12.2022
Three Undervalued Value Stocks: Costco

Costco Wholesale Corporation has presented quite disappointing earnings report for the Fiscal Q1 2023. Revenues were reported up 8.1% year-on-year to $54.44 billion missing expectations of $54.65 billion. This is obviously not the reason for long-term investors to remove COST stocks from their portfolios as the company is set to maintain strong financial discipline and cost structure, not to stimulate high growth in the short term at any cost.

The operational margin in financial Q1 2022 was at 3.4%, and in Q1 2023 it was 3.2%. Costco is aiming to provide the most reasonable prices on their products to keep their clients loyal. That is why the operational margin is suffering. Meanwhile, EPS was up by 4.4% to $3.1, and membership fees rose by 6% year-on-year. So, the strategy seems to be buying itself.

Inflation in the United States is expected to return under control over the next year. So, there will be no need to deliver various marketing activities like coupon sales and others while loyal clients will be grateful for the support during the period of uncertainty. Costco is planning to open 24 new stores in 2023, increasing its potential to generate revenues.

11.01.2023
Advanced Crypto Assets: dYdX

DYDX tokens suffered a lot during the ongoing market correction and lost over 95% off their peak prices. dYdX is an advanced decentralised exchange, where clients can exchange cryptocurrencies and derivatives with marginal collateral. There are no KYC procedures to be followed within the exchange, as well as no need to disclose your personal data.

dYdX is runs on the Ethereum blockchain, known for its expensive transaction fees. However, StarkWare solution allows for lower fees as only commissions for trading are charged. The platform now runs on Layer 2 protocol which is incorporated into Ethereum’s  main network. This solution allows for transactions to be conducted instantly, while traders do not have to pay miners for validating transactions.

Market players are closely monitoring the dYdX V4 vehicle, which is  a standalone Cosmos blockchain, featuring a fully decentralised, off-chain, orderbook and matching engine. In other words, developers are going to create the entire trading infrastructure to scale up processes without involving any third-party applications. The service  cancelled two stimulus programs in order to lessen the effects of inflation within the dYdX platform and to support token prices.

15.09.2022
Safe Haven Assets for Long-Term Investments: Broadcom

Broadcom is an American semiconductor and infrastructure software development company. Soon it is expected to close a merger deal with VMware, a cloud computing and visualization company, that will open new cross-sales opportunities for Broadcom to boost its revenues. Broadcom stocks are now 25% off their peak values.

According to the Q3 FY 2022 financial report that ended July 31, consolidated revenues grew by 25% year-over-year to $8.46 billion, and EPS went up by 40% to $9.73 per share. The semiconductors segment, that added 32% year-over-year, was the primary driver for the company’s profit. The company’s free cash flows (FCF) topped $4.3 billion, allowing it to spend $1.7 billion on dividends and 1.5 billion on the shares repurchase program. The company is planning to continue spending at least 50% of FCF on dividends that added 43% every year on average since 2016. 

According to the Q4 FY 2022 forward guidance, the company is expecting its revenues to go up by 20% year-over-year to $8.9 billion and for EDITDA to go up by 25% to $5.6 billion. Broadcom has great experience in expanding its product portfolio by M&A operations, and apparently it will continue on this way. The company is also expected to benefit greatly from the $52.7 billion CHIPS bill in the United States.


06.10.2022
Top 3 Financial Stocks: CME Group

CME Group is the largest market place for derivatives. CME stocks dropped by 25% from the beginning of 2022. The only reason for such a decline is the overall market correction and not any business issues. High volatility is a benefit for the company as it offers the most important derivatives to mitigate financial risks. Among those are the most popular S&P 500 index futures and other indexes linked to derivatives, agricultural products, gold, silver, and crude derivatives. So, the company continues to receive decent profit that allows for the payment of high dividends to its investors.

Free Cash Flow (FCF) of the company in 2022 is expected to hit $2.8 billion. CME is improving its efficiency as every Dollar received in 2021 was converted into $0.48 of FCF, while this year this figure is expected to rise to $0.55, and in 2023 to $0.57. Regular annual dividends is at $4 or 2.3% of share value. CME is also paying interim dividends. By doing so, it paid $3.6 regular dividend and $3.25 interim dividends in 2021, or $6.85 per share, slightly above FCF per share at $6.77.

CME has a solid business model and sound financials without substantial debt. These facts allow the management to take more care of the company’s shareholders. The current overall downside configuration offers great opportunities for investors to add CME stocks to their long-term investment portfolios.

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

Tech Giants’ Troubles: Meta

Meta stocks surged more than twice their value since November 2022, but are trading 45% below their peak prices. Meta’s management has declared 2023 as “the year of effectiveness” adding positive sentiment to investors. The company announced $40 billion buyback. There are more reasons to watch the stock closely. Meta’s staff increased by 20% compared to last year’s numbers, making operational spending rise dramatically. Management already announced layoffs of 11,000 employees, but this will only have a financial effect at the end of Q1, or even Q2 of 2023. The company reported that it expects its active users to rise by 4.2% year-on-year to 3.74 billion, despite its significant user base. The rise of capital expenditures by 67% year-on-year to $32 billion is seen to be mixed as most of this funding goes to Reality Labs, a warm hole that is developing Metaverse and has recorded $4.3 billion losses during Q4 2022. Sooner or later this division has to deliver a profit, or it will likely be shut down by Mar Zuckerberg himself. Both scenarios would be a strong driver for Meta stocks. The company could spend the money more wisely, but no serious damage to its financials has been made so far. The Q4 2022 resulted in net cash inflows of $10 billion. Meta has survived the change of Apple’s iOS privacy policy that limited the abilities of apps to track investors that were estimated to wipe off $10 billion of Meta revenues. So, the company will also survive a possible failure of the Metaverse.   

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Tech Giants’ Troubles: Google

Google stocks are trading 30% off their peak prices. The recent earnings report for the Q4 2022 was mixed as advertising revenues dropped by 3.5% amid a poor economic environment. However, cloud services rose by 32%. The division is not profitable yet, but is gradually improving its margins, and may become a key revenue source in the future. The company received $60 billion in cash in 2022, and delivered a buyback of its shares of $59.3 billion. So, the company is handing over the cash received to investors instead of accumulating it as it did in the past. The fact that worries the company the most is the newly emerged ChatGPT neural network sponsored by Microsoft. Such networks may change the entire search business. Google has its own Bard neural network, but it is too far from the effectiveness presented by ChatGPT. Nonetheless, Google management expect the Bard to optimise various processes, including raising monetisation of Shorts and some other business processes. All these expectations are more related to 2024. Investors are not rushing to buy stocks amid promises, even if they are made by a giant like Google. The neural networks search abilities battle is far from being over, so it is very difficult to judge who is the leader. First financial results should be delivered to make a preliminary opinion on this. Vast research abilities of Google are univocal, and the company has been developing its product for several years. So, the sentiment could make a U-Turn, rewarding early bird investors generously.   

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B
Brent Is Heading to New Lows

Brent prices are moving within the downward channel and it is too early to talk about an upside reversal. Although, the RSI indicator with a period of 14 on the daily timeframe chart has reached the oversold zone, and may signal a buy action. The entry points seem not to be bad. However, a divergence may appear that will only strengthen the buy signal. So far, no divergence has been seen. Within the H4 timeframe, we cannot observe an increase of extremum in the indicator. This means that the current price rollback, which may happen after the US Federal Reserve rate decision, is only a rollback, not a reversal. Technical support is located at $65 per barrel.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Important day for the Euro

The interest rate decision from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) on March 22 is seen to be of paramount importance as it will guide investors through the future of the interest rate hiking cycle. Whatever the case may be, we can expect strong volatility. For the Euro, this news may be a reason to breakthrough the technical level of 1.08. In this case, the EURUSD may rise towards 1.0900 - 1.1230. Everyone is now concerned about whether the Fed will continue with its hawkish course in the fight against high inflation, or if it takes a pause in interest rate hikes, given the recent banking problems in the United States. In case of a potential hawkish decision by the Fed, we may see the decline of the Euro to 1.0640.

https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/  

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