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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

Dividend Downfalls: Alphabet

Google stocks have gained 130% over the last five years, but went into correction in 2022 together with other Tech stocks after the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced an uncompromised battle with soaring inflation by rising interest rates. Nevertheless, Alphabet shares may experience minor losses during interest rates hiking cycle as the company has a strong net cash flow, diversified business, and a large buyback program. 

Advertising incomes are still dominating Google’s revenues (around 80% in the Q2 2022), but some new segments are gaining strength too. Google Cloud revenues were reported to be up by 36% year-on-year at $6.28 billion, although slightly missing analysts’ expectations of $6.4 billion. Google is the third largest Cloud business with 10% of market share after Amazon with its massive 35% share and Microsoft with 20%. Google is pressing on as its cloud revenues accounted for only 6% a year before. The company spent $180 billion for Cloud services development in 2021, or 40% above 2020 figures. This may indicate a potential in this segment that the company is counting on.

Google has a vast $70 billion payback program, or 5% of its market cap. The company does not pay dividends but generates a huge amount of cash that is enough to cover development and support share prices in the market. Google shares may regain their price at $160 in the near future and climb by 40% from current levels.


311
Dividend Downfalls: Meta

Meta (Facebook) stock prices have risen by 130% over the last five years to a record level of $380. However, this year stocks plunged to $160 amid market correction and some bad news for the company itself. Meta’s Facebook and Instagram have lost part of the young audience that moved to TikTok. Nevertheless, Meta stocks are seen to be heavily undervalued as the company continues to introduce new services such as Quest Pro AR, which has to do with virtual reality equipment, in October 2022. 

Meta is betting on the Metaverse segment development. The company changed its name to Meta to show that it is going to expand beyond Facebook and other social media platforms. That is how significant the metaverse segment is for Meta. The company plans to launch a high-end headset for virtual and augmented reality, which altogether with controllers, virtual reality glasses, batteries, and cables are estimated to cost around $1500. Virtual reality glasses alone would cost a minimum of $799.

Meta is surely ahead of its rival Apple that is planning to launch it virtual reality headset in 2023 at much higher prices of around $2000. Nevertheless, Apple is a serious competitor that may nudge Meta to lower its end prices for Quest Pro AR. Meta may lower its prices during the Christmas sales. So. It may be well ahead of Apple to win consumer hearts and eyes to become a leader in the premium VR devices segment.


317
Dividend Downfalls: Amazon

Amazon stocks have surged by 170% over the last five years. In the beginning, Amazon was just a marketplace, but now it has a very diverse business ranging from a streaming service, Amazon Prime Video, to Cloud Amazon Web Services (AWS). Moreover, it would be absolutely wrong to only consider  Amazon as a marketplace. The AWS segment of the company alone may count for over $1.4 trillion, which is currently the overall Amazon market cap.

AMZN stocks have lost 25% since the beginning of 2022 due to the disruption of supply chains and a very strong U.S. Dollar. Q2 2022 revenues of Amazon only rose by 7% year-on-year to $121.2 billion, while operating income dropped by 57% year-on-year to $3.3 billion. Over the last 12 months the company has increased its capital spending and, therefore, its net cash flow has gone down from $4.2 billion to -$26.1 billion.

AWS net sales jumped by 33% year-on-year to $19.7 billion in the Q2 2022, while sector operational income rose by 36% year-on-year to $5.7 billion. The net margin of Amazon.com is close to 10% amid a widening cooperation with third-party sellers, but the AWS net margin has already jumped to 30% and may grow to 40% soon. Cloud segment revenues not only compensated for the slowdown of retail sales, but allowed for the invest in new segments like Zoox autonomous vehicles. 


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Dividend Aristocrats: Walmart

The dividends of the Walmart, one of the world’s largest retail corporation with a huge chain of hypermarkets, are growing for the last 49 years. The company develops its own e-commerce segment to resist the pressure from on-line retail market players. This development is suggested to be a key driver for Walmart’s growing business. Walmart+ clients would also be granted an access to Paramount+ streaming service.

Walmart Q2 2022 net sales rose by 8.2% year-on-year. On-line sales were up by 12%, which is a pretty good result given the last-year COVID-19 restrictions that boosted on-line sales in 2021. The company has spent $3.1 billion on dividends and $5.7 billion on buybacks in the first half of 2022. 

Walmart stocks are considered a safe haven asset. The demand for company’s services is intact despite negative economic developments, prompting investors’ interest. WMT stock prices are 6% down from the beginning of 2022.


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