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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

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Tesla Would Be Traded Up to $255

Shares of Tesla bounced up again above $225. A second attempt since August 20 is likely to become more successful. Technically, one more local low at nearly $202.60 has already been shaped between these two highs. Fundamentally, the current move just has a much more defensible ground as newswires broadcasted today that the hyping EV maker newly got a necessary approval from regulators in the EU and China to roll out its full self-driving (FSD) advanced assistance software. An encouraging news is coming a month before Tesla would supposedly give additional information on the so-called Cybercab, which is a robotaxi. The FSD technology is vital for driving robotaxi in cities, being probably used in highways with human supervision. Tesla CEOs previously said that the FSD approval was expected in both regions by the end of the year, and now things are going ahead of schedule. The leader and mastermind of the company, Elon Musk, commented today that the FSD software could be launched in right-hand drive markets in "late first quarter" or "early in the April-June period". As some of his optimistic targets for FSD, as well as for Cybertruck, were missed in the past, today's dating looks unchangeable, given the regulatory circumstances, especially since his gigafactory in Shanghai already used a test mode for the FSD assistance at least on ten electric cars to make the possible mass launch of the product much easier. In my estimate, Tesla would be traded within the higher range from $227 to $255 through September and October, giving a chance to raise some money for short-term traders. The nearest stop could be between $235 and $238.5 per share. However, its principal framework on the one-year or two-year horizon may remain the same, with possible mid-term gains being rather limited by this summer's hurried peaks around $270.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
NEM Is Struggling to Keep Its Upside Momentum

NEM (XEM) is down by 3.6% this week, trading at $0.0162, while Bitcoin (BTC) has declined by 2.8% to $56,721. XEM managed to break through the resistance of its descending channel in late July and attempted to push higher, despite being delisted from Binance. The token tested the resistance level at $0.0250 but has since retraced to $0.0150.

The overall deteriorating sentiment in the crypto market is likely to keep XEM prices near this level. It's crucial for prices to hold steady around this range to potentially develop an uptrend during the next rebound.

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A New Wave of the Rally Could Be Delayed

It feels like a new wave of Wall Street rally is now postponed. The AI-related focal point, NVIDIA, suddenly turned into a leading contributor to the lower quotes of the US stock indices. That happened after the chipmaker got a "burn notice" in the form of a subpoena sent by the U.S. Department of Justice. The federal body launched a deepening probe on claims that NVIDIA allegedly is making it harder for AI chip buyers to change suppliers and even penalizes those who do not exclusively use its AI-optimized processors, if we are to believe several whistleblowers including Bloomberg sources.

NVIDIA stock immediately lost more than 10% of its market caps to plunge from a previously sustainable footing above $120 to the current underwater below $105. The crowd is spooked even though NVIDIA representatives are calm when commenting that buyers can easily "choose whatever solution is best for them," while also adding that all of NVIDIA's recent blockbuster chips' sales convincingly showed that the firm's business "wins by merit". The range of estimates for NVIDIA's future dynamics widened, yet other chip and cloud depending stocks also fell, with AMD touching the levels below $140 after today's opening bell (but facing a more than 3.5% recovery at the moment already) and Broadcom (AVGO) practicing in diving to depths below $150 for the first time since the end of the overall market correction in early August. In my humble opinion, all of them will jump out of their corresponding lows. Needless to say, NVIDIA will surely go dry out of this absurd investigation case, so that dips in the vicinity of $100 per share, or any double-digits equity valuations for the AI monster, would be a strong buy with a very fast return of the invested capital.

Meanwhile, the US500 broad indicator slipped to 5,500 on this background but later tried its best to keep a straight face by rebounding to 5,550 within the first two hours of the regular session in New York on Wednesday. The lower than anticipated JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) freshly marked an ongoing cooling of the U.S. labour conditions, as the number of vacancies fell from 8.184 million in June (now revised downward to 7.910 million) to 7.673 million in July, while average expert forecasts pointed to a potential of 8.090 million. When combined with the much-worried nonfarm payrolls report which is scheduled on Friday, September 6, this may be a precursor of delivering a bigger half-a-percentage-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in two weeks, which itself is clearly positive for the bullish trend, while the facts of job market slowdown is surely negative.

However, uncertain factors continue to create nervousness on global markets, which may postpone the bullish moment of truth, which I bet will ultimately lead the S&P 500 to new historical highs above 5,850. Yet, the route may be indirect to pass through 5,300-5,400 ravines once again before a new wave of the rally would prevail, because minor reasons are stealing the crowd's attention repeatedly.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
NEO Shows Resilience

Neo (NEO) is down by 1.0% this week, currently trading at $9.34, though it was as low as $8.87 earlier on Wednesday. The quick recovery in prices is providing some optimism. It's crucial for NEO to maintain its position near the $10.00 support level in order to sustain its upward momentum.

The token has broken through a negative trend that began on April 11 and another one from May 21, demonstrating its resilience. Prices are now retesting the resistance level, which is critical for the continuation of the recovery. If the $10.00 resistance holds, NEO could potentially rise to $12.50. In this scenario, the token could reclaim its uptrend.

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