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09.01.2025

VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

14.01.2025

Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

20.01.2025

Investment Banks Are Ahead of Lenders

An advance guard of the U.S. banking segment has reported for the ending quarter of 2024 ahead of the corporate earnings season's major chapters, which are still coming in and are supposed to make an overall positive contribution. But what's interesting is, the variety of lending institutions performed a solid organic growth in terms of both revenue and pure income, while the essentially investment giants like Goldman Sachs (GS) and BlackRock (BLK) grew up on a much firmer foundation. There is an impression that well-organised asset management, based on proper contextual ad hoc and mid-term stock transactions, is still producing enhanced results when compared to the returns of somewhat shabby loan portfolios at still quite heavy interest rates.

A temporary increase in Blackrock market value was up to 6.5% at its highest intraday point on January 15, following its record ever $11.93 of equity per share (EPS) on an also absolutely highest number of $5.68 billion in quarterly sales. Blackrock's three-month achievements provided a 23.5% annual boost in EPS vs nearly14% expected at EPS of $11.06 per share, which was supposed in analyst pool projections in reputable news outlets like Bloomberg and Reuters. Many investment houses quickly adjusted their price target areas for Blackrock shares, while also keeping Outperform ratings on the stock. As an example, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW) revised its price goal for Blackrock to $1,180, citing the investment bank's diversified inflows and global expansion growth initiatives which made the company favorably positioning in the eyes of analysts and investors alike. Blackrock is currently traded around $1000 per share.

However, the Goldman Sachs (GS) effect even surpassed the previous case, with an emergence of totally new peaks above $625 on GS charts, where the shares of this widely recognized investment giant had never been before. The weekly gain was more than 11.5% from $560 per share at the closing price on January 10. Goldman Sachs provided last quarter's EPS at $11.95 per share, beating a $8.12 consensus forecast, with its revenue achieving as high as $13.87 billion vs $12.15 billion previously estimated on average. This means that GS net revenues are up 7% YoY but its adjusted income soared by 54%, so that the firm maintains its clear leadership in global investment banking, including merge and acquisition advisory and wealth management services. Such a strong kind of resilience revived inner projections for EPS of $47.50 for fiscal year 2025 and $52.50 for fiscal year 2026. Isn't this a ready-made reason for targets above $650, or even $700 per share in the coming months, or at least before the end of 2025? By the way, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon was freshly rewarded by an $80 million stock bonus to stay at the helm for another 5 years, and John Waldron, a chief operating officer who is seen by many as a successor to Solomon, who is 63 now, was also awarded with his retention bonus of the same $80 million in restricted stock. However, the huge crowd of Goldman Sachs investors on Wall Street is hardly feeling offended or sad either, given the stock's crazy growth pace by the banking segment's standards.

The very fact that a cycle of lower borrowing rates has started in 2024 on both sides of the pond is helping the banking environment tremendously, which may in turn expand into a real business so soon, but the process may be happening more slowly than many Wall Street inhabitants would like to see due to a pause in the dovish shift by the Federal Reserve and other financial regulators. Wells Fargo (WFC), which also has an increasingly advanced investment focus among its recovering lending business, gained more than 8% since last week's earnings' report, coming very close to all-time peaks around $78 per share. Shares of JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Morgan Stanley (MS) also broke their previous price records, but gained within 5% and 7%, while the Bank of America (BAC) failed to add more than 2% for the reporting week, while its quarterly profits and sales were high but still within its previous lofty standards. The smaller part of investment business versus the credit component for the last three banks mentioned above seems like a reasonable justification for this tendency.

14.01.2025

Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

16.01.2025

Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

MetadoroIn-house analytics

30.07.2025

Visa Down Despite Record Profits and Revenues

Payment services group Visa set its all-time record on both the bottom and top lines of its quarterly report released late July 29. For the three months from April to June, the firm generated $2.98 of EPS (earnings per share) on revenue of $10.2 billion, while the Wall Street pool of analysts suggested $2.84 per share on $9.84 billion. This is an additional increase of almost 5% and 3.6% compared to 17% and 10.5% YoY, respectively, already included in the consensus forecast. With such amazing financial results, it seems so that any other stock would be doomed to grow. Yet, that's the way it goes sometimes, when your favourite cookie crumbles despite you least expect it. Visa shares have remained in their consolidation phase since mid-June.

An initial 3% slide down in extended trading during the first minutes after earnings came out, from $351.3 to $340 per share, was then rewarded by a partial recovery to $344.5, so that losses shrank to 1.8% in the pre-market trading on July 30. The June 20 low around $335 and the April 30 low at $333.24 are still the two major pillars of technical support for Visa that are encouraging bulls, so we figure that the overly rapid previous Visa run from $299 to $375.5 this spring simply needed a breather for a while. Nominally, a good excuse for taking some extra time to catch a breath may be that Visa just kept its full-year guidance for net revenue pace unchanged in the "low-double-digits" and a diluted EPS increase in the "low-teens", which could be a simple way of conservatism, especially given the macro environment of tariff wars to potentially boost some prices and limit consumer spending.

None of this is noticeable or even close yet, however. But the earnings beat is great and already here, and cross-border payment volume even accelerated by 12% YoY or 11% YoY if excluding intra-Europe, according to Visa's Q2 report. Its card business is still expanding as well to 4.8 billion cards worldwide, a 7% higher than in the same period of 2024, while the key metric of credit cards grew 8% to 1.4 billion. More details for revenue structure show that its data processing segment led with 15% growth to $5.15 billion, followed by international transactions at 14% to $3.63 billion, while service revenue added 9% to $4.33 billion and the other and smaller revenue parts (up to $1 billion or so) even performed particularly strong with 32% growth. The company also continued its attractive capital return program to distribute as much as $6 billion to shareholders through $4.83 billion in share repurchases and $1.15 billion in dividends during the last quarter. We generally do not see any weak spots in Visa business and expect a gradual return to active purchases from current dips, especially when tariff-driven uncertainty fades further, with the first target price of $375 and the subsequent one of about $400 per share.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez

Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/

30.07.2025

Chiliz Is Seen Weak Struggling to Surpass the Resistance at $0.0500

Chiliz (CHZ) declined by 10.3% to $0.0404 this week, significantly underperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) dropped by just 1.0% to $118,150. CHZ lacks any internal catalysts to fuel a rebound, and its failure to break above the $0.0500 resistance during the recent crypto upswing highlights its relative weakness. This resistance level remains a critical threshold; unless CHZ can decisively reclaim and hold above $0.0500, further upside appears unlikely. In the current context, the token remains technically vulnerable, and it may be prudent for traders and investors to stay on the sidelines until a clear bullish signal emerges.

CHZUSD

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Rafael Quintana Martinez

29.07.2025

Graph Is Ready to Rise to $0.1500

Graph (GRT) is losing 3.5% to $0.1054 this week, underperforming the benchmark Bitcoin (BTC), which has declined by only 0.3% to $118,850. GRT had previously broken above the resistance at $0.1000 in mid-July, reaching a high of $0.1206. Since then, prices have pulled back to retest the $0.1000 support level and are now establishing a foundation for a potential rally toward $0.1500. The token has some positive momentum of its own following the launch of the Hypergraph Developer Preview on July 3. Additionally, StakeNova announced an integration with The Graph Protocol to process blockchain data. While this may seem like a minor development, it still offers support for further gains in token prices.

GRTUSD

959

MetadoroIn-house analytics

29.07.2025

The US & EU Deal Made an Inspiring Splash in Markets

U.S. president Donald Trump ultimately pushed his trade deal through the old Europe's resistance. The big announcement of the tariff framework agreement from Turnberry, Scotland on July 27 after his round of golf with the European Commission's president Ursula von der Leyen had a very positive effect on the further development of the Wall Street stock rally. It is clear because together the EU and the U.S. form a market of 800 million people to cover nearly 44% of the global gross domestic product (GDP). $600 billion of the $3.3 trillion in goods imported by the U.S. in 2024 came from the EU.

The S&P 500 broad barometer beat its all-time record moving above 6,420 points, while this record-breaking run immediately led the EU Stoxx 600 index to its 4-month high at 555 points. The optimistic upside gap and an extra move later proved to be, of course, somewhat hasty, or one may truly call it premature, causing an almost equally fast downward corrective pullback long before the closing bell of all trading sessions on Monday, July 28. However, a fresh impressive jump to new heights certainly points to the further trajectory for the composite indices in both America and Europe. Although to a greater extent, bullish efforts can now be expected on the U.S. side of the Atlantic since the agreement looks an order of magnitude more favourable for Washington dwellers, and Brussels seems to have been forced just to accept the conditions with the least damage before Trump's August 1 deadline. So, it could be considered a great success that Germany's DAX 40 lost only just over 1% by the end of Monday, while France's CAC 40 and the UK's FTSE 100 ended the day 0.43% lower than last Friday.

With some exceptions like steel, the deal includes a 15% tariff on EU goods entering the U.S. but zero levies for imported U.S. goods when coming to Europe. This is understandable, since it would be simply impossible to cover the ever-growing trade deficit in favour of Europe, which is driving the U.S. into soaring debt. For this solid reason, Trump could never agree to a better deal for Europe. That's also why the EU committed to purchasing $750 billion worth of various energy resources from the U.S., and to make $600 billion in investments in America. This also follows Trump's generally agreed deal with Japan, which cut tariffs on U.S. auto imports and other goods with a $550 billion package of Japan's U.S.-bound investment and loans.

As strange as it might seem to some, we considered the EU and U.S. trade disputes to transform potentially into the most controversial point, most difficult to overcome in the tangle of all the trade talks with other countries. Here, all those newly emerged political contradictions between essentially former ideological allies still stood at the forefront. For us, this means that global trade wars have now passed a real turning point, with no return to confrontational trends that became so much visible in the beginning of spring. Wall Street was already standing like an unbreakable rock while multiple uncertainties persisted, even despite trade headwinds or sometimes stormy weather. Bulls clearly outnumbered bears climbing each time higher. We estimated that the S&P500 has recently set as much as 25 consecutive sessions when it has not fallen more than 1% intraday, while closing most of those days in positive territory. Now, when most parts of the problem are nearly solved and notable framework trade deals have been accomplished, the stock investment business should do even better.

Since tariff threats' elimination is not the only bullish driver for Wall Street, a moderate pullback from new historical peaks is quite natural and probably very short-lived. Major funds and banking institutions are already updating their forecasts in their most optimistic mood. Equity strategist Michael Wilson at Morgan Stanley figures the S&P 500 could rally to 7,200 by mid-2026, due to a “rolling recovery” in earnings and supportive macro trends, pointing to "mid-teens" growth estimates for EPS (equity per share). As another good example, Oppenheimer has already raised its year-end estimates to 7,100 in S&P 500 terms. The analyst house had previously lowered its projection to as low as 5,950 points in early April but now see a clearer path for gains. “With the announcement of trade deals by President Trump and his administration … we believe that enough ‘tariff hurdles’ have been overcome for now to reinstate our original price target for the S&P 500 of 7,100 by year-end,” Oppenheimer noted.

When mentioning the resilience of the U.S. economy and the Fed’s progress in pushing inflation down from 9% in June 2022 to 2.7% last month “without thus far causing a recession”, they are feeling important for investors to seek out "babies that get tossed out with the bathwater’ in market downdrafts”, probably meaning some underestimated quality assets. “Corporate revenue and particularly earnings growth for Q4 and Q1 for firms in the S&P 500 surprised well to the upside,” analysts added. 84% of S&P 500 companies manage to exceed consensus estimates” for Q2. “Magnificent Seven” firms, including Facebook and Instagram owner Meta Platforms (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) will report on Wednesday night, Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) will follow them the next evening after the regular market's close. It will most likely be possible to make good money right from trading in after-hours on these reporting Wall Street nights.

US500

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