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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

B
Building Wall Street’s Stairway to Heaven

NVIDIA's Zeppelin continues to build the stairway to heaven for the rest of the IT segment. Its share price hit the next $1150 sky this week. The leading AI chipmaker's market value is approaching $2.8 trillion, being only at a $100 billion distance from the current capitalisation of Apple, which is the second-most valuable company on Wall Street after Microsoft. As a result, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index closed the regular session of May 28 above 17,000 for the first time ever, creating a solid basis for more rallies to the upside. New highs on both Nasdaq 100 (USTech100) and S&P 500 (US500) contracts are only a matter of time and probably a short wait, even though the price charts for Nasdaq 100 futures adjusted by nearly one percentage point down in the pre-market trading on Wednesday. So, any temporary dips above 18,500 could be used to open new long positions in USTech100, with an initial target price being placed in the direct vicinity of 20,000. For the S&P 500 futures, 5,500 points are considered as the next reasonable target.

Then came remarks by Minneapolis Federal Reserve chief that interest rate hikes are not completely ruled out when he said yesterday during an event in London that "the odds of US raising rates are quite low, but I don’t want to take anything off the table”, as "many more months of positive inflation data" are needed to give confidence that "it’s appropriate to dial back”, according to his recent interview with CNBC. If one would only ask my opinion, this kind of rhetoric may be good to postpone the effects of growing bullish appetite but far from being enough to cancel our hearty dinner.

As to another loud informational occasion behind this round of NVIDIA rally, the AI indisputable leader soared by 6.98% in one trading day, additionally boosted by a blog post of Elon Musk’s startup xAI, which raised $6 billion in a bid to challenge OpenAI. Several months ago, Elon Musk launched Grok to create a potentially strong rival to OpenAI’s ChatGPT, currently a partner of Microsoft. Grok has been trained on to be integrated into X.com, the social network formerly known as Twitter, led by executives with previous experience at Alphabet’s DeepMind, Microsoft and Tesla. Elon Musk had been an early supporter of OpenAI but later withdrew his capital from OpenAI, citing potential dangers of the technology. Later, Musk called for a pause in AI development.

Now the newly raised funds will be reportedly applied to bringing xAI’s first products to market, building advanced infrastructure, and accelerating work on future technologies. In a partnership with Oracle, xAI is planning to make a massive supercomputer, having it operational by fall 2025 to power the next version of Grok. And clusters of NVidia’s flagship H100 graphics processing units (GPUs) would be at least four times the size of the largest GPU clusters currently in existence.

This intensifies the competition for NVidia chips between giant companies such as Meta, Google and Microsoft, but this completion will ultimately push all of them higher and higher. The demand for the chips would grow bigger, while the increasing highs example of NVidia stock is contagious in and of itself. This means that any technical breakthrough to be performed (almost inevitably) by Microsoft (MSFT) share price, above the nearest and historical resistance of $430 per share, would show it the highway to the next $480 to $500 area.

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Volkswagen Is Getting Higher On Lamborghini's Hybrid Engines

A rather inspiring news came from Stephan Winkelmann, Lamborghini's CEO, as he clearly noticed the brand is currently focused on plug-in hybrid powertrains for its supercars while it is still taking a wait-and-see approach to potential production of purely electric machines, as Lamborghini keeps abreast of the demand and doesn't think completely electric supercars will catch on. Instead, Winkelmann prefers designing combustion engines to run on e-fuels as well.

A well-known and originally Italian manufacturer of luxury sports cars and SUVs (sport utility vehicles) is now owned by the Volkswagen Group through its subsidiary Audi. The share price of Volkswagen AG (VOW3) added nearly 3.5% on Xetra DAX to bounce from its below €120 technical support level to €123.50, which could be associated with the direction of its constituent brands' policy, including Lamborghini management's openness in its sympathy to hybrids. The company that specializing in off-roaders, speedy and powerful cars admits the segment's customers want "emotions" which "only a large-displacement ICE" (internal combustion engine) can deliver. Winkelmann said using EVs may not be as thrilling in such types of cars at least as a high-revving gas engine mounted behind the seats. Again, when one is riding an off-road car, the driver may face lack of electric car charge stations nearby somewhere in a mountainous area. Such places could also be busy with other EV owners or it may take too much time to refuel electric cars.

High-end purchasers don't want electric supercars. That's why Nevera electric supercar, which is designed, engineered and handcrafted in Croatia, is still for sale, despite it looks simply perfect in terms of technical implementation. The hype around Nevera was so loud, but the limited production run of only 150 cars, and the price of the 2022 Rimac Nevera car just started above $2,000,000.

Lamborghini’s first EV would not arrive until 2028, and it's not going to be a supercar, they say. The pioneer EV model may take the shape of a lifted 2+2 grand tourer with four seats. The Huracan model successor will have gas power as well, while something like Lamborghini's Revuelto is demanded in hybrid engine configuration. So, this is exactly what is on the agenda. Why? There's just no business case. This is the most realistic approach to business. Lamborghini engineers may also take advantage from the progress of another Volkswagen Group's brand Porsche in the field of using nearly carbon-neutral synthetic fuels. So, it's only wise that Volkswagen brands are still keeping the internal combustion engine alive, being ready to bet on reality rather than science fiction.

From the point of view of technical analysis, each subsequent wave of price correction on Volkswagen was weaker than the previous one and failed to touch previous lows, since the beginning of 2024. This fact also makes an inertial re-test of the nearest €128 three-month resistance a very likely scenario, with better chances to break through this barrier to a €140+ area, which was last seen in February-March of 2023.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
ATOM is Stuck Flat

Cosmos (ATOM) rose by 3.7% to $8.660 this week, outperforming Bitcoin (BTC), which remained relatively flat around $68,400. However, despite this upward movement, ATOM has been stuck in a flat range for the past six weeks. This suggests a lack of clear directional movement in the near term.

If positive market sentiment prevails, ATOM could rise to a maximum of $10.00, but it is likely to remain within its current flat range for a few more weeks. Conversely, if market sentiment turns negative, the token may dive below the support level at $7.50.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Western Union Right in the Sweet Buying Spot

Western Union (WU) stocks have been in a stable uptrend since March 15, 2023. Each time prices hit the trend's support line, they bounced back, a pattern observed seven times in the past seven months. Following each bounce, the price increased by 10-15% within 2-3 months, reaching at least the middle of the ascending channel.

Currently, another buying opportunity has emerged as prices dipped slightly below the uptrend's support. The suggested entry point for a long trade is between $12.50 and $13.00, targeting a price of $15.00, which is 17% above the entry point. A stop-loss order is recommended at $10.60, below the lows seen last October.

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