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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Monero on the Recovery Track

Monero (XMR) is climbing 2.3% to $145.80 this week and is very close to the support of the uptrend established on June 18, 2022. This proximity to the uptrend support fuels hopes that the token will continue to rise.

However, Monero has faced significant pressure from U.S. regulatory actions, particularly because it is a privacy-focused cryptocurrency. Recently, the peer-to-peer trading platform LocalMonero announced it would stop trading the token. Although the platform did not specify the reasons, it is likely influenced by American regulators' scrutiny of privacy coins.

Despite this ongoing regulatory pressure, Monero surged by 21% in May, indicating it still has a dedicated user base. If the price crosses the $150.00 barrier, it is likely to continue rising to $175.00.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Dogecoin May Resume Climbing after an End of the Mourning for Kabosu

Dogecoin (DOGE) is down 4.8% to $0.1590 this week, performing worse than Bitcoin (BTC), which lost 0.7% to $68,000. DOGE prices stumbled after the death of Kabosu, the Shiba Inu dog whose quizzical expression became the face of the "doge" internet memes. Kabosu's image is featured on DOGE avatars, and the current decline in prices could be seen as a symbolic mourning for the iconic face of the cryptocurrency.

Once this period of mourning ends, prices may resume climbing towards the nearest resistance at $0.1800. This scenario is supported by technical analysis, which indicates that a rebound is likely. Further confirming this outlook, a significant investment was made by an investor who bought 2 million call options with a strike price of $0.2200 expiring on June 14.

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Salesforce is Waiting for its Proper Time to Recover and Grow

The market value of Salesforce (CRM) frustratingly plunged by nearly 17% in extended trading on May 29 to echo the cloud computing service company's quarterly numbers as well as its forward guidance for the rest of the year. In particular, the current quarter's projections of Salesforce management have been lower compared to Wall St consensus expectations. Adjusted equity per share (EPS) is expected within a range between $2.34 and $2.36 on revenue of $9.20 billion to $9.25 billion. Thus, both top and bottom figures clearly missed analyst pool bets, with investment houses representatives betting on EPS of $2.40 based upon revenue of $9.34 billion on average. The company's remaining performance obligations (cRPO) annual growth in constant currency was reported at 10% against the previously foreseen 12%. Subscription and support revenues for Q1 were at $8.59 billion to mark a 12% increase for the last 12 months.

As to the full fiscal year of 2025, Salesforce has only slightly corrected its expected subscription pace forecast to "around 10%" from the previous "10%+" potential. Yet, the speed and size of asset's fall seems very excessive. And this crash mostly happened due to overoptimistic mood in the recent months, when the crowd preferred to ignore signs of more or less unharried scenarios for Salesforce business instead of fast joining the AI revolutionary rally. This was probably the case when unrealistic dreams may rather lead to sad surprise and disappointment. And so, the market isn't happy to deal with smooth evolution instead of revolutionary growth. Some analysts even began to doubt the SaaS (software as a service) model of business, used by Salesforce, when cloud-based software programs just deliver all applications to end users in an internet browser.

Such conclusions seems to be premature after Q1 EPS number of $2.44 on revenue of $9.13 billion was still better in terms of money return than consensus estimates at $2.37 for EPS on revenue of $9.15 billion. EPS jumped 44% YoY, which cannot be characterized as moving ahead with slow pace. Another positive argument is that Salesforce CEOs are keeping intact their revenue guidance for the whole fiscal year of 2025. The company's mission of managing customer relationships, integrating the business segments and building applications is still in demand. CRM has been actively investing into AI features and this would pay off handsomely one day. Higher-for-longer interest rates are the same for the cloud service segment, yet the weaker forward guidance by CRM is in contrast with solid numbers from cloud giants like Amazon Web Service and Microsoft's Azure service as both are expecting higher customer spending soon. Therefore, Salesforce's cloudy income looks rather postponed for a while.

The share price of about $230 at the moment, instead of the recent $270+ highs is discounted and potentially advantageous from this point of view. All the growth of the last six months faded, and so the inertial decline may continue up to any of $200+ levels, but buying activity from current prices is already attractive to us. CRM business scaling is only waiting for its next-after-covid and proper new time for recovery and further growth.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
REN is Striving Towards $0.1000

Ren (REN) has surged by 6.7% to $0.0750 this week, outperforming major crypto assets. In comparison, Bitcoin (BTC) has only added 0.7% to $68,000. However, Ren needs to break through the resistance at $0.0750 to climb further.

Notably, the token has surged by 30% over the past 10 days amid speculation about the SEC's approval of spot ETH-ETFs. Additionally, the bankrupt crypto exchange FTX announced that it would pay its creditors the dollar value of their deposits at the time of bankruptcy. Ren, being closely associated with FTX, could benefit from this news.

If Ren manages to climb above the $0.0750 resistance, it could potentially reach $0.1000. This represents a tempting 33% upside.

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