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11.01.2023
Advanced Crypto Assets: dYdX

DYDX tokens suffered a lot during the ongoing market correction and lost over 95% off their peak prices. dYdX is an advanced decentralised exchange, where clients can exchange cryptocurrencies and derivatives with marginal collateral. There are no KYC procedures to be followed within the exchange, as well as no need to disclose your personal data.

dYdX is runs on the Ethereum blockchain, known for its expensive transaction fees. However, StarkWare solution allows for lower fees as only commissions for trading are charged. The platform now runs on Layer 2 protocol which is incorporated into Ethereum’s  main network. This solution allows for transactions to be conducted instantly, while traders do not have to pay miners for validating transactions.

Market players are closely monitoring the dYdX V4 vehicle, which is  a standalone Cosmos blockchain, featuring a fully decentralised, off-chain, orderbook and matching engine. In other words, developers are going to create the entire trading infrastructure to scale up processes without involving any third-party applications. The service  cancelled two stimulus programs in order to lessen the effects of inflation within the dYdX platform and to support token prices.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

06.10.2022
Top 3 Financial Stocks: CME Group

CME Group is the largest market place for derivatives. CME stocks dropped by 25% from the beginning of 2022. The only reason for such a decline is the overall market correction and not any business issues. High volatility is a benefit for the company as it offers the most important derivatives to mitigate financial risks. Among those are the most popular S&P 500 index futures and other indexes linked to derivatives, agricultural products, gold, silver, and crude derivatives. So, the company continues to receive decent profit that allows for the payment of high dividends to its investors.

Free Cash Flow (FCF) of the company in 2022 is expected to hit $2.8 billion. CME is improving its efficiency as every Dollar received in 2021 was converted into $0.48 of FCF, while this year this figure is expected to rise to $0.55, and in 2023 to $0.57. Regular annual dividends is at $4 or 2.3% of share value. CME is also paying interim dividends. By doing so, it paid $3.6 regular dividend and $3.25 interim dividends in 2021, or $6.85 per share, slightly above FCF per share at $6.77.

CME has a solid business model and sound financials without substantial debt. These facts allow the management to take more care of the company’s shareholders. The current overall downside configuration offers great opportunities for investors to add CME stocks to their long-term investment portfolios.

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

15.12.2022
Three Undervalued Value Stocks: Costco

Costco Wholesale Corporation has presented quite disappointing earnings report for the Fiscal Q1 2023. Revenues were reported up 8.1% year-on-year to $54.44 billion missing expectations of $54.65 billion. This is obviously not the reason for long-term investors to remove COST stocks from their portfolios as the company is set to maintain strong financial discipline and cost structure, not to stimulate high growth in the short term at any cost.

The operational margin in financial Q1 2022 was at 3.4%, and in Q1 2023 it was 3.2%. Costco is aiming to provide the most reasonable prices on their products to keep their clients loyal. That is why the operational margin is suffering. Meanwhile, EPS was up by 4.4% to $3.1, and membership fees rose by 6% year-on-year. So, the strategy seems to be buying itself.

Inflation in the United States is expected to return under control over the next year. So, there will be no need to deliver various marketing activities like coupon sales and others while loyal clients will be grateful for the support during the period of uncertainty. Costco is planning to open 24 new stores in 2023, increasing its potential to generate revenues.

Top 5 Losers of 2022: XLY

The consumer discretionary sector suffered greatly in 2022 as the demand for cars, apparel, luxuries, hotels, and restaurants dropped dramatically. During hard times people try to diminish  all unnecessarily spending and focus primarily on food and other everyday goods. Fears about high inflation and a nearing recession crushed ETF prices by 40% by the end of 2022.

Nonetheless, it could be a good buy opportunity now as ETF consists of stocks of companies like Nike, Toyota, Home Depot, and some others that are now trading way below their peek values. The recent macroeconomic data in the United States point to the fact that fears over stalling consume demand were strongly exaggerated. Retail sales in the U.S. during the Christmas season were surprisingly strong. According to Mastercard, spending of Americans during November 1 through to December 24 rose 7.6% year-on-year, and now companies are looking to hire new staff to catch up with consumer activity.

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Top 5 Losers of 2022: PayPal

PayPal stocks lost 64% in 2022 amid general market correction. However, the service has strong fundamentals as it is the most popular tool for online transactions in the United States. Revenues rose significantly after lockdowns were set in the U.S. The Q3 2022 revenues rose by 11% year-on-year to $6.85 billion, while the number of transactions was up by 9% YoY to $337 billion. The company generated $1.788 billion of free cash flow, up by 37% YoY. All these achievements were made during the time of great uncertainties.

PayPal, which has Google Pay and Apple Pay as its peers, reacted negatively  to the emergence of Early Warning Services, a fintech company that announced the launch of its own digital wallet to get its share of online payments. This service is supported by Wells Fargo, the Bank of America, JPMorgan, and some other American financial giants, which means a real threat for PayPal has been created, despite its solid market positions now.

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Top 5 Losers of 2022: Meta

Throughout the entire year of 2022, the IT sector was under pressure after tech giants enjoyed rapid growth during the pandemic in 2020-2021. Large companies had better opportunities than their smaller peers, but there were some exclusions. Stocks of Meta Platforms, owner of Facebook and Instagram, lost 65%, which is an absolute record for the FAAMG group of companies (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Google).

Facebook has slowed down its expansion as the number of active users on the platform are now close to three billion. Management therefore shifted gears and bet on new Metaverse development as a new growth engine. These bets failed as Q3 2022 revenues performed a decline for the second time in the company’s history. As a result, management was forced to fire 11,000 employees or 13% of the overall staff. Nevertheless, the valuation of the Metaverse could be overestimated. The resistance from Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg to recognise these facts may prove to be a dirty to keep further company information from surfacing. Thus, investments in Facebook are still considered to be very risky.

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Top-5 Gainers in 2022: the Dollar

The money market in 2022 witnessed severe currency wars as major central banks were rushing to raise interest rates and deliver other measures to strengthen their currencies to confront high inflation. The Federal Reserve (Fed) certainly had the largest arsenal of measures to fight against inflation and the U.S. economy is in much better shape than the rest of the world. Thus, the U.S. Dollar index rose by 10% by the last autumn.

The Dollar has lost its momentum since then as the economic situation is evolving. Gas prices in Europe fell dramatically below the levels seen before the Russian-Ukrainian war started in February 2022, and the German economy has avoided a technical recession so far. China’s economy is reopening after continuous isolation. Investors fearfully hope that the global economy will demonstrate higher growth in 2023 above 1.7% forecasted by the World Bank.

Wall Street is debating the U-turn of the Fed’s monetary policy this year despite no assurances from the Fed itself. However, slowing down inflation and recession fears would force the Fed to change its monetary stance, according to some Wall Street analysts. This is why the stock market in the U.S. has performed its best rally for the last two months. If such a sentiment will continue to dominate the market, we may see capital flows reversing from the safe haven Dollar to more risky and perspective assets like U.S. stocks.

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