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06.10.2022
Top 3 Financial Stocks: CME Group

CME Group is the largest market place for derivatives. CME stocks dropped by 25% from the beginning of 2022. The only reason for such a decline is the overall market correction and not any business issues. High volatility is a benefit for the company as it offers the most important derivatives to mitigate financial risks. Among those are the most popular S&P 500 index futures and other indexes linked to derivatives, agricultural products, gold, silver, and crude derivatives. So, the company continues to receive decent profit that allows for the payment of high dividends to its investors.

Free Cash Flow (FCF) of the company in 2022 is expected to hit $2.8 billion. CME is improving its efficiency as every Dollar received in 2021 was converted into $0.48 of FCF, while this year this figure is expected to rise to $0.55, and in 2023 to $0.57. Regular annual dividends is at $4 or 2.3% of share value. CME is also paying interim dividends. By doing so, it paid $3.6 regular dividend and $3.25 interim dividends in 2021, or $6.85 per share, slightly above FCF per share at $6.77.

CME has a solid business model and sound financials without substantial debt. These facts allow the management to take more care of the company’s shareholders. The current overall downside configuration offers great opportunities for investors to add CME stocks to their long-term investment portfolios.

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

15.12.2022
Three Undervalued Value Stocks: Costco

Costco Wholesale Corporation has presented quite disappointing earnings report for the Fiscal Q1 2023. Revenues were reported up 8.1% year-on-year to $54.44 billion missing expectations of $54.65 billion. This is obviously not the reason for long-term investors to remove COST stocks from their portfolios as the company is set to maintain strong financial discipline and cost structure, not to stimulate high growth in the short term at any cost.

The operational margin in financial Q1 2022 was at 3.4%, and in Q1 2023 it was 3.2%. Costco is aiming to provide the most reasonable prices on their products to keep their clients loyal. That is why the operational margin is suffering. Meanwhile, EPS was up by 4.4% to $3.1, and membership fees rose by 6% year-on-year. So, the strategy seems to be buying itself.

Inflation in the United States is expected to return under control over the next year. So, there will be no need to deliver various marketing activities like coupon sales and others while loyal clients will be grateful for the support during the period of uncertainty. Costco is planning to open 24 new stores in 2023, increasing its potential to generate revenues.

11.01.2023
Advanced Crypto Assets: dYdX

DYDX tokens suffered a lot during the ongoing market correction and lost over 95% off their peak prices. dYdX is an advanced decentralised exchange, where clients can exchange cryptocurrencies and derivatives with marginal collateral. There are no KYC procedures to be followed within the exchange, as well as no need to disclose your personal data.

dYdX is runs on the Ethereum blockchain, known for its expensive transaction fees. However, StarkWare solution allows for lower fees as only commissions for trading are charged. The platform now runs on Layer 2 protocol which is incorporated into Ethereum’s  main network. This solution allows for transactions to be conducted instantly, while traders do not have to pay miners for validating transactions.

Market players are closely monitoring the dYdX V4 vehicle, which is  a standalone Cosmos blockchain, featuring a fully decentralised, off-chain, orderbook and matching engine. In other words, developers are going to create the entire trading infrastructure to scale up processes without involving any third-party applications. The service  cancelled two stimulus programs in order to lessen the effects of inflation within the dYdX platform and to support token prices.

Top-5 Gainers in 2022: Cotton

Prices of cotton futures rose by 40% by the summer of 2022 but by December they fell 20% lower than the levels at the beginning of 2021. The major upside driver for cotton prices is the reopening of China’s economy as the country is a major importer of cotton. Weaving factories in China consumes more than a third of the global output. Other large consumers are Bangladesh, Vietnam, and Turkey.

The upcoming recession may hamper the demand for cotton as the demand for new clothing mostly drove cotton sales in the first half of 2022. Several Chinese corporations were closed due to pandemic prevention reasons last year and this slashed cotton imports in China by half. Many investors are afraid that China’s isolation could prompt cotton overstocking and falling prices. But the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has forecasted that cotton harvest for 2023 will come to 82.8 million bales, the lowest since the 2018-2019 season. Moreover, the American harvest is expected to drop by 5 million bales to 12.6 bales. This may cause cotton shortage in the United States as the country needs 18 million bales to meet internal demand.

1022
Top-5 Gainers in 2022: Soy Beans

Prices of soybeans futures rose by 35% to reach their peak values in summer, 2022. Soybeans are primarily used in the food industry, including it being used as a fodder and also for biodiesel production. This crop is similar to maize which is also among exchange tradable goods.

Prices of soybeans were driven by high inflation, a lack of fertilisers, and weather uncertainties in several agricultural regions where soya is harvested. Latin America harvested 163 million tons of soybeans in 2022, primarily in Brazil and Argentina. This is more than in the United States, China, and India combined. Some agricultural brokers expect food prices to continue rising. Record crops are needed to satisfy the current demand, while bad weather and high fuel prices limit the supply.

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Top-5 Gainers in 2022: Deere & Company

The agricultural sector is the second one to greatly benefit during 2022. The demand for food is dramatically rising ahead of the supply. This trend even increased after the war broke out in Ukraine so farmers have to increase their efficiency. Stocks of Deer & Company rose by 25% in 2022. The company is investing in precision technologies and automation to improve farmers’ performance. Last year the company began to use automated tractors that can pinpoint specific weeds and spot-spraying machines that can separate crops from weeds.

Deer & Company reported $14.35 billion revenues in the Financial Q4 2022, beating Wall Street expectations by $890 million. Net income rose by 75% year-on-year to $2.2 billion. It is important to  highlight that sales only rose by 40% year-on-year. That mean that the rest of net income growth came from improved profitability. Considering the global demand picture, the upside potential for the company is clear. Positive developments of the company would certainly attract investors to DE stocks.

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Top-5 Gainers in 2022: Exxon Mobil

The year 2022 could be officially called the year of the energy companies as they were the true  beneficiaries of rising energy prices. Prices recovered most of the pandemic losses during the previous two years, ahead of expectations. Sanctions against Russia’s oil allowed market players, such as ExxonMobil, to boost their revenues. XOM stocks rose by 80% by the end of 2022.

The company’s management has ambitious plans to increase crude production from the current 3.7 million barrels per day to 4.3 million over the coming years. It seems that the company has incentives and the necessary infrastructure to do so. ExxonMobil has also announced a massive buyback program of $50 billion that will run over the next three years. If its stock prices remain in the range of $80-100 per share, the amount of stocks in circulation may decrease by 13-15%. This would allow for $2.3 billion a year to be saved on dividend payments and this may prompt rising dividends more easily in the future. This would certainly attract more attention to XOM stocks.

The company has recently optimised its structure and operational spending.

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