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24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

06.10.2022
Top 3 Financial Stocks: CME Group

CME Group is the largest market place for derivatives. CME stocks dropped by 25% from the beginning of 2022. The only reason for such a decline is the overall market correction and not any business issues. High volatility is a benefit for the company as it offers the most important derivatives to mitigate financial risks. Among those are the most popular S&P 500 index futures and other indexes linked to derivatives, agricultural products, gold, silver, and crude derivatives. So, the company continues to receive decent profit that allows for the payment of high dividends to its investors.

Free Cash Flow (FCF) of the company in 2022 is expected to hit $2.8 billion. CME is improving its efficiency as every Dollar received in 2021 was converted into $0.48 of FCF, while this year this figure is expected to rise to $0.55, and in 2023 to $0.57. Regular annual dividends is at $4 or 2.3% of share value. CME is also paying interim dividends. By doing so, it paid $3.6 regular dividend and $3.25 interim dividends in 2021, or $6.85 per share, slightly above FCF per share at $6.77.

CME has a solid business model and sound financials without substantial debt. These facts allow the management to take more care of the company’s shareholders. The current overall downside configuration offers great opportunities for investors to add CME stocks to their long-term investment portfolios.

11.01.2023
Advanced Crypto Assets: dYdX

DYDX tokens suffered a lot during the ongoing market correction and lost over 95% off their peak prices. dYdX is an advanced decentralised exchange, where clients can exchange cryptocurrencies and derivatives with marginal collateral. There are no KYC procedures to be followed within the exchange, as well as no need to disclose your personal data.

dYdX is runs on the Ethereum blockchain, known for its expensive transaction fees. However, StarkWare solution allows for lower fees as only commissions for trading are charged. The platform now runs on Layer 2 protocol which is incorporated into Ethereum’s  main network. This solution allows for transactions to be conducted instantly, while traders do not have to pay miners for validating transactions.

Market players are closely monitoring the dYdX V4 vehicle, which is  a standalone Cosmos blockchain, featuring a fully decentralised, off-chain, orderbook and matching engine. In other words, developers are going to create the entire trading infrastructure to scale up processes without involving any third-party applications. The service  cancelled two stimulus programs in order to lessen the effects of inflation within the dYdX platform and to support token prices.

15.12.2022
Three Undervalued Value Stocks: Costco

Costco Wholesale Corporation has presented quite disappointing earnings report for the Fiscal Q1 2023. Revenues were reported up 8.1% year-on-year to $54.44 billion missing expectations of $54.65 billion. This is obviously not the reason for long-term investors to remove COST stocks from their portfolios as the company is set to maintain strong financial discipline and cost structure, not to stimulate high growth in the short term at any cost.

The operational margin in financial Q1 2022 was at 3.4%, and in Q1 2023 it was 3.2%. Costco is aiming to provide the most reasonable prices on their products to keep their clients loyal. That is why the operational margin is suffering. Meanwhile, EPS was up by 4.4% to $3.1, and membership fees rose by 6% year-on-year. So, the strategy seems to be buying itself.

Inflation in the United States is expected to return under control over the next year. So, there will be no need to deliver various marketing activities like coupon sales and others while loyal clients will be grateful for the support during the period of uncertainty. Costco is planning to open 24 new stores in 2023, increasing its potential to generate revenues.

To The Moon Stocks: Toyota

Toyota stocks are trading 20% off their peaks. The company has made a strategic target hybrid, electric and hydrogen vehicles manufacturing. EV makers are now experiencing some issues with the production of batteries. So, prices on new electric vehicles rose sharply. Car makers and battery producers are working together to increase production, but this is not a one time story and may have an effect in a few years.

Electric vehicles are considered to be rather luxury cars, but they are even more expensive now. Tesla has recently raised its prices for some models by $6,000. Whatever the case, EV production is expensive and prices start at $50,000 per car. Hybrids are more affordable as it may cost around $30,000 for Toyota’s popular RAV4 model, while the same model with the combustion engine would cost $27,500. But the Hybrid version can make up to 51% more miles and leave a significantly lower carbon footprint.

Humanity is moving toward electric transport, but now they are considered to be more of a status vehicle. So, hybrids will be in demand for now and that would allow Toyota to raise its revenues along with improving electric vehicle technology.

Toyota has EV / EDITDA ratio at 11.8 while Tesla has it at the sky-high level of 32 with the same comparable business margins. So, TM stocks are a long term perspective bet.

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To The Moon Stocks: Lockheed Martin

Lockheed Martin is another U.S. military tycoon that is heavily dependent on U.S. military contracts. Financial results of the company for Q3 2022 are very strong. Free Cash Flow (FCF) rose by 62% year-on-year to $3.13 billion. So, it is no surprise that LMT shares have traded close to their all-time highs. Moreover, they have a lot of growth drivers, including a long-term contract with Pentagon on F35 deliveries. The management even considered to increase its own buyback program from $4 to $8 billion.

Such stocks could be considered to be safe haven shares in times of a crisis amid geopolitical tensions. The company also has lasting contracts for Sykorsky helicopter deliveries, anti-missile defence systems, and space equipment.

Companies like Lockheed Martin have secured contracts for many years to come that would continue to generate cash even in times of crisis. Even more military contracts are expected like the one made by the U.S. Navy for aircraft carrier equipment for $765 million. The U.S. government is committed to increasing military spending, which may mean a golden age for military contractors. In such circumstances LMT stocks may add another 10% in the near future.

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To The Moon Stocks: Northrop Grumman

Northrop Grumman stocks are trading close to their highs. That is a very impressive achievement  considering the current general market correction. The company presented a new B-21 Raider, a stealth strategic bomber. This aircraft could be compared to the introduction of a Boeing 787 that was a true milestone in aviation history.

This bomber is projected to replace the B-2 and B-52 models and cost much less that an average $2 billion per one B-2. B-21 is scheduled to fly in 2023, but not many details about the aircraft’s construction has been disclosed. Cloud computing was reported to be used to enhance the control over military objectives achievement.

Analysts suggest that the cost of each B-21 aircraft will not exceed $550 million, while the U.S. Air force is planning to buy from 100 to 175 units. This may bring the Northrop Grumman $55-96 billion, with some revenues to be received in 2023. Revenues from this project are expected to grow significantly in 2024. The company has many military orders, so the price target of $700 per NOC stock seems to be quite achievable.

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Aircraft Makers Pitch Up to Prepandemic Skies: Airbus

Boeing’s major peer, European Airbus, is seen to be in a slightly better condition as the latter has more diversified aircraft deliveries. The company’s management is aiming to increase production to 75 commercial aircraft a month with Airbus A320neo as a flagship. The company is moving deliveries for next year as it simply could not produce the number of aircrafts needed to meet  demand.

The company does not have enough qualified employees and is facing a lack of components needed to establish a steady production. Management has revised the production plan from 720 to 700 commercial aircrafts for the year of 2022. Even with this decrease, the plan is questionable as the company produced 495 aircrafts by the beginning of November. During some months production slowed down to 30-40 units, while during some other month is was above 50 units. The peak month for production is usually the last month of the quarter. But there are some positive developments now, as Airbus produced 60 aircrafts in October, beating September by 55 units.

Nevertheless, Airbus must produce 205 aircrafts in the last two months of this year in order to stick to the plan and this seems to be very complicated. The company has 61 aircrafts in production for November and has not managed to produce more than 89 units during the month of December over the last three years.

In order to push stock prices up, Airbus needs to restore production to prepandemic levels. The company delivered 863 commercial aircrafts in 2019, 566 in 2020, and 611 in 2021 and it seems that for 2022 the production figures will not exceed the levels of the past two years by very much. But even if production is above 650 aircrafts, it would be a positive signal for AIR stocks.

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