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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Trading Christmas Rally Safe with Johnson & Johnson

Chances for a Christmas rally this December are high. Anyway, I want to trade it safe with Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) stocks that are going up traditionally with the rally. I like that JNJ prices are at the lows of the ascending channel, so I have a more chances for a rebound. I will open long trade at $152 with a maximum target at $170-175 per share, which is also the resistance of this channel. The stop-loss would be placed at $140.

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Retail Stocks to Recover: Foot Locker

This footwear and athletic apparel seller surprised investors with its Q3 results on November 29. The stock immediately soared by more than 12.5% in a pre-market. Foot Locker reported much better earnings on a less-than-feared slide in revenue numbers YoY. Q3 2023 sales rose to $1.99 billion vs consensus estimates of $1.96 billion, compared to $1.86 in Q2 2023. The retailer's EPS was $1.27 on sales of $2.17 billion in the same season of 2022, and now it is $0.30, yet this is 38% above Wall Street analysts’ estimates of $0.22.

The company's management emphasized that heavier discounts helped kick off strong holiday sales among budget-conscious shoppers. Most of them looked for deals on brands like Nike and Adidas, which led to a 470-basis-point decline in quarterly margins, but provided better total earnings. Gross margin was 27.5%, down from 32% in the same quarter of 2022, while same-store sales declined by 8%. Store locations came to 2,607 at the end of the quarter, down by 187 over the last 12 months. So, uncertainty in further consumer behaviour is still here, yet bets on a robust sale-off season worked out. The company's own calculations revealed that more than 200 million people dug into deals during the five-day long Thanksgiving weekend.

It's logical that the company's stock lost more than 40% of its market value in 2023, yet a stronger recovery could also be projected. Foot Locker also expects its Q4 comparable sales to decline between 7% to 9%, compared with previous analysts' estimates of a 10.5% drop, according to LSEG data. The next Foot Locker's business goal is to reduce reliance on particular apparel makers including Nike, which currently supplies about 65% of Foot Locker's merchandise. The store chain is putting its own ad banners under focus to converse across supply and sales channels. Even with inventory levels flat or slightly down, compared to the prior year, a test of summer highs at $28 per share looks as a possible scenario due to the force of extended technical inertia of the price rebound.

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Software Stocks to Recover: Zoom

As an online provider of video communication platforms, Zoom felt nearly irreplaceable in the pandemic times. The company became a symbol of life transformations in how co-workers and business partners may interact via secured meetings and chats using content sharing and many more useful features for remote management access and solving problems. Its IPO starting price in 2019 was at $65 per share, yet later it soared to $588 at some point of the corona-related boom in autumn of 2020. Yet, it was difficult to properly monetize this very popular service's advantages in a short time, as most Zoom users were not used to pay much for a software. Therefore, a fortunate trend faded even before lifting corona restrictions globally.

Yet, the company tried to adapt to the changing world slowly and steadily, reducing costs and raising revenues. Its management resorted to cutting more than 15% of its workforce and improving multifunctionality and comfortability of all services. “We worked tirelessly and made Zoom better for our customers and users. But we also made mistakes. We didn’t take as much time as we should have to thoroughly analyse our teams or assess if we were growing sustainably, toward the highest priorities,” Zoom CEO Eric Yuan wrote in February 2023.

Zoom shares’ prices were stagnating near their lows during the year, but may have finally reached a bottom by early November. Zoom stock bounced by 12.5% this month, including more than 6% of a price rebound when the upside move accelerated to follow the company's upbeat Q3 report on November 20. Zoom Video Communications revealed a noticeable increase in its earnings, with net income exceeded $400 million, or $1.29 per share vs consensus estimates of $1.08. The company presented its earnings above market estimates in each quarter of 2022 and 2023, which may produce a cumulative effect at some moment. At least, this may allow extending a range market oscillations of Zoom share price with a possible test of a $75.90 peaking price of September compared to nearly $68 per share as November 29. This may also correspond with broader Wall Street cycling, which is probably on its rallying stage right now. The stock had three consecutive days of gains this week already.

The company's sales is approaching $1.15 billion, up by 3.5% of currency-adjusted growth. The enterprise segment of Zoom's business grew by 7.5%, based on a 5% expansion of its customer base, while high-revenue customers added 13.5%. Its customer retention rate is 105%. Operating cash flow surged by 67%, the balance sheet shows $6.5 billion in assets against less than $2 billion in liabilities. Zoom AI Companion may also enhance the platform's value in the near future. Therefore, Zoom raised its full-year guidance to 13% for free cash flow, annual revenue between $4.506 billion and $4.511 billion, and EPS (earnings per share) outlook between $4.93 and $4.95.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
A Whale Sells Out XRP to Probe $0.60 Support

Ripple (XRP) slid 1.3% to $0.6090 this week. The token is trading close to the strong support at $0.6000 since mid-November. The token came under pressure as a whale that sells out XRP for tens of millions Dollars is spotted. This is potentially raise XRP offering. On the other hand, the $0.6000 level seems to be solid and is likely to sustain. If this whale ceases it sell out before prices would dive below this support the token will prove its strength, and its prices may rebound soon.

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