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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
USDJPY Chase Continues to the Downside

The USDJPY is wiggling like an attacking snake around 150.00. The pair has signaled a possible breakthrough last week and failed to do so. The Yen has strengthened to below 150.00, and is now flagging a downside towards 145.00 against the Dollar.

Markets have become more unpredictable recently. The uncertainty is high to detect a beginning of mid-term moments. I don’t want to miss out a good opportunity too. With the USDJPY it is a downside impulse below 150.00 and a breakthrough of the middle of the ascending channel. I plan to open short trades from 149.00-150.00 with a target at 145.00, which is the support of the channel. The stop-loss will be hidden above the recent high at 152.70.

56
B
The Dollar May Recover After FOMC Minutes Disappointment

The Greenback may partially recover, as investors have not found any clues to the end of the interest rates hike cycle in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes. Many currency traders were placing their hopes on a chance for more clear signs that chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues had eventually finished their rate hike marathon. U.S. central bankers left interest rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50%. However, those much esteemed gentlemen and ladies are trying not to hint directly on any potential turn around in their policy as they want to avoid mitigating effects of their previous actions.

Investors’ disappointment may result in covering sell positions in the U.S. Dollar ahead of the Thanksgiving holidays. As the Japanese Jen is probably the weakest link among reserve currencies, USD/JPY could test a range between 150.30 and 151.50 at least, as it is already knocking the 149.50 door. Yet, even some extended weakness in the single currency, as well as Kiwi and Aussie may follow the Yen's example, if the market loses faith in the Fed's verbal capacities to give exactly what investors want to receive.

33
Stocks to Benefit from a Tech Rally: Palo Alto

This is a California-based company, which sells firewall appliances, domain name system (DNS) security software; and other protection management solutions to cover threat prevention, malware and persistent threat, URL filtering, laptop and mobile device protection etc. Government entities operating in education and energy, financial services and healthcare, Internet and telecommunications are also among its clients' base.

The company already released its solid Q3 numbers about a week ago, on November 15. Its EPS (equity per share) of $1.38 much exceeded consensus expectations of $1.16, even though it was little less than $1.44 in the previous quarter. A similar situation was for revenue of $1.9 billion compared to consensus estimates of $1.84 billion, yet lower than $2.0 billion in Q2.

This news pushed its stock prices down by 8.5% to $242.30 from its November high at $264.75. Some analysts, including the Bank of America's (BofA), downgraded Palo Alto Networks shares from Buy to Neutral. The BofA lowered its target price by $25 to $265 per share, citing a risk of additional pressure on billings and further shortening of debt burden duration. A solid increase in vendor financing activities was partially based on provision of financing in exchange for long-term commitments and larger deal sizes, they said, while watching a 36% QoQ decline in billings.

A progress of many IT companies follows a similar scenario, which does not prevent the explosive growth of their market values in 2023. Shares of Palo Alto Networks gained nearly 89% YTD and already closed a November 15-16 gap with a full comeback to the stock's former positioning. These developments may point to a further rally in Palo Alto Networks, as its shares could join many other favourites of the optimistic tech segment before the year end. Short covering may boost the stock higher in the short-term, at least.

48
Stocks to Benefit from a Tech Rally: CrowdStrike

NVIDIA's strong Q3 report and upbeat guidance that was released on November 21 shore up investors' confidence in other companies of the segment, related to artificial intelligence, big data, chip and cloud technologies. CrowdStrike Holdings Inc, headquartered in Austin, Texas, could be included in a broader range of well-established business projects. A 12-year-old provider of cloud protection across endpoints and workloads offers managed security and vulnerability control services, identity and log protection, selling corporate and individual subscriptions to its Falcon platform and modules through its sales team and a global network of channel partners. With its nearly $50 billion of market caps CrowdStrike is an important player of the IT industry.

The nearest quarterly report from CrowdStrike is expected on November 28. Its share prices climbed from $149 in late August to $209, a record 40% increase this autumn and more than 95% performance year-to-date. However, there is still space for an upside considering performance of some other technology companies over the same period, as well as a 30% discount vs the company's own record two years ago, when CrowdStrike has been traded just a dollar and a half below $300 per share. Therefore, it has a further significant growth potential.

Continuation of a powerful rally looks as the major scenario for the stock, when the world's economy faces digital transformation. Many companies, as well as governments, are ready for extended cyber spending. CrowdStrike's strong fundamentals in top and bottom lines, most probably, would find more confirmations of their high altitude, yet some part of market optimists may provide additional rise of the stock even before the quarterly report on expectations, based on positive results for other IT companies. Consensus calls for Q3 EPS (earnings per share) of $0.74, which would be 85% better than $0.40 in Q3 2022, against $0.17 two years ago. Average sales' forecast is +34.8% YoY at $777.33 million. CrowdStrike has topped Wall Street’s consensus in every quarter since it went public in June 2019.

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