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15.12.2022
Three Undervalued Value Stocks: Costco

Costco Wholesale Corporation has presented quite disappointing earnings report for the Fiscal Q1 2023. Revenues were reported up 8.1% year-on-year to $54.44 billion missing expectations of $54.65 billion. This is obviously not the reason for long-term investors to remove COST stocks from their portfolios as the company is set to maintain strong financial discipline and cost structure, not to stimulate high growth in the short term at any cost.

The operational margin in financial Q1 2022 was at 3.4%, and in Q1 2023 it was 3.2%. Costco is aiming to provide the most reasonable prices on their products to keep their clients loyal. That is why the operational margin is suffering. Meanwhile, EPS was up by 4.4% to $3.1, and membership fees rose by 6% year-on-year. So, the strategy seems to be buying itself.

Inflation in the United States is expected to return under control over the next year. So, there will be no need to deliver various marketing activities like coupon sales and others while loyal clients will be grateful for the support during the period of uncertainty. Costco is planning to open 24 new stores in 2023, increasing its potential to generate revenues.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

11.01.2023
Advanced Crypto Assets: dYdX

DYDX tokens suffered a lot during the ongoing market correction and lost over 95% off their peak prices. dYdX is an advanced decentralised exchange, where clients can exchange cryptocurrencies and derivatives with marginal collateral. There are no KYC procedures to be followed within the exchange, as well as no need to disclose your personal data.

dYdX is runs on the Ethereum blockchain, known for its expensive transaction fees. However, StarkWare solution allows for lower fees as only commissions for trading are charged. The platform now runs on Layer 2 protocol which is incorporated into Ethereum’s  main network. This solution allows for transactions to be conducted instantly, while traders do not have to pay miners for validating transactions.

Market players are closely monitoring the dYdX V4 vehicle, which is  a standalone Cosmos blockchain, featuring a fully decentralised, off-chain, orderbook and matching engine. In other words, developers are going to create the entire trading infrastructure to scale up processes without involving any third-party applications. The service  cancelled two stimulus programs in order to lessen the effects of inflation within the dYdX platform and to support token prices.

06.10.2022
Top 3 Financial Stocks: CME Group

CME Group is the largest market place for derivatives. CME stocks dropped by 25% from the beginning of 2022. The only reason for such a decline is the overall market correction and not any business issues. High volatility is a benefit for the company as it offers the most important derivatives to mitigate financial risks. Among those are the most popular S&P 500 index futures and other indexes linked to derivatives, agricultural products, gold, silver, and crude derivatives. So, the company continues to receive decent profit that allows for the payment of high dividends to its investors.

Free Cash Flow (FCF) of the company in 2022 is expected to hit $2.8 billion. CME is improving its efficiency as every Dollar received in 2021 was converted into $0.48 of FCF, while this year this figure is expected to rise to $0.55, and in 2023 to $0.57. Regular annual dividends is at $4 or 2.3% of share value. CME is also paying interim dividends. By doing so, it paid $3.6 regular dividend and $3.25 interim dividends in 2021, or $6.85 per share, slightly above FCF per share at $6.77.

CME has a solid business model and sound financials without substantial debt. These facts allow the management to take more care of the company’s shareholders. The current overall downside configuration offers great opportunities for investors to add CME stocks to their long-term investment portfolios.

The Most Generous Corporates: Vodafone

Vodafone Group is a British multinational telecommunication company whose stock prices are at 50% off their 2021 peak prices amid fabulous dividend yield at 9.1% and a buyback yield at 7.6% (16.7% overall). Prices of VOD shares are close to 1997 levels and is seems that there is almost no room for them to decline any further.

The company is very vulnerable to the rising U.S. Dollar and overall weakness of the European economy. The negative factor is that telecom companies are inclined to borrow in order to finance their current operations. Rising interest rates and expensive borrowings are  the major worries in this regard. However, these factors have already been priced in.

On a positive note, Vodafone is expanding in Africa and revenues per user are expected to rise worldwide so this is expected to create a rise in overall revenue. The partial sale of the Vanta Towers lowered the company’s overall debt, while consolidation with the rival Three UK may increase domestic profits. There are many debates within the European telecom industry on whether the companies have come together in order to unite their efforts to lower their costs and redirect this saved capital towards 5G network development. After Brexit British Telecom (BT) has been given the chance to decide on its own fate while  European regulators insist on completion at any cost.

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The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

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Positive Outlook: Delta Air Lines

Delta stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices. The airline has greatly suffered from the effects of COVID-19 and is now gradually recovering. Delta has recently presented a positive forward guidance for 2023-2024. If the expectations of the company’s management become a reality, DAL stock prices may rise significantly.

Market cap of Delta is rising ahead of the market as fuel prices are going down and travel activity is rising. However, there is plenty of room for stock prices to go up. One of the major drivers is rising passenger traffic that is expected to add 8-9% this year compared to the prepandemic 2019. The company expects that the demand for business travel will expand despite recession expectations. So, Delta expects to get EPS at $5.5 in 2023 and $7.00 in 2024 that is above Wall Street expectations at $4.80 and $5.60 respectively. These expectations are strongly linked to new airliners purchases like Airbus A321 and Boeing 737 MAX 10, and also to the increasing number of intercontinental flights.

The company is planning to reduce costs by 5-7% in 2023 and by 2-3% more in 2024. The efforts are extremely valuable considering persisting high inflation that is likely to prompt the revision of contracts with pilots in terms of higher salaries.

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Positive Outlook: Adobe

Adobe stocks are trading 50% below their peak prices despite strong financials. The company received 33 cents profit from every $1 dollar revenue in Q3 2022, which is 10% above the same period for 2021. This allowed Adobe to approve a buyback of $6.3 billion.

“We delivered record operating cash flows with a focus on profitability,” CEO Shantanu Narayen told analysts on a conference call. He said the company is remaining cautious and won’t be immune to a worsening economy. Software developers are the main beneficiaries of the digital transformation of businesses. Adobe’s CFO Dan Durn said the past year was a record one in terms of new commercial subscribers, and many new subscribers are not professionals.

Wall Street believes in the “Rule of 40” that states a software company's combined revenue growth rate and profit margin should equal or exceed 40%. Adobe reached 54% up for the revenues which is extremely attractive in the current environment when others are diving into negative territory. Adobe’s operational margin at 33% looks impressive on this background.

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