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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

Tech Giants Are Sliding into a Correction: Meta

Meta Group, the parent company of Facebook, has suffered badly recently as its stocks are trading 75% off their peak values. Despite such a big discount buying Meta stocks could be a very risky venture as expenses continue to rise.

The number of employees in the company rose by 28% to 87 314 during the last year. It is likely management will not do any more hiring any time soon but nevertheless  spending is expected to rise to $94-99 billion in 2023 from the forecasted $85-87 billion in 2022.

Mark Zuckerberg, the founder and CEO of Meta, said spending on Metaverse would rise dramatically. Reality labs, which are responsible for its development, have posted $3.7 billion of spending in Q3 2022, or $2/5 billion more than in the same period of 2021, while revenues are at the same level. Some hopes are pinned on the virtual reality devices of Oculus but this segment is very unstable and highly dependent on new equipment deliveries.

META enthusiasts hope the company will manage to increase revenues to $124 billion in 2023 to compensate Metaverse losses and to push earnings per share to $11 vs $9.2 expected in 2022. Brad Gerstner, a head of Altimeter Capital, one of the major Meta shareholders, has expressed the opinion that Metaverse should cut spending to $5 billion a year while reducing financing Reality Labs staff by 20%.

319
Three Different Ways to Earn with the Retail Industry: Best Buy Co

Best Buy co is a U.S. consumer electronics retailer. Its stocks are trading 50% off their peak values primarily thanks to the general market correction. BBY shares gained 19% every year in the last decade, while the S&P 500 broad market index performed 10% on average. So, the current sell off of the company’s stocks could be considered as a good opportunity to buy them at attractive prices for long-term investments.

Home appliances were in great demand during the pandemic. So, it is hard for the retailer to post additional profits amid already elevated demand. However, the entire model of consumption has changed during the pandemic. People are more inclined to invest in home entertainment and upgrade their appliances and this trend is likely to continue into the foreseeable future.

Best Buy management is constantly reducing the free flow of its shares in the market. It spent $3.5 billion on buy backs during the fiscal year of 2022. Moreover, investors will get $3.52 per share as a dividend.

363
Three Different Ways to Earn with the Retail Industry: JD.com

Alibaba Group and JD.com, Chinese e-commerce giants have lost over a third of their market cap during the last two months. The recent renomination of Xi Jinping for the third term as the Secretary General of the Communist Party of China and his efforts to put his fellow comrades in to  key positions of leadership, has hit the Chinese stock market badly. The third ruling of comrade Xi is seen to be a bad sign for Chinese market developments. Investors are panicking and many are selling off their assets.

But the good news is that nobody wants to rock the economic system of China. The Chinese government is in close cooperation with the U.S. Administration in order to avoid the delisting of Chinese corporation stocks from U.S. exchanges. Walmart is the owner of 13% of JD.com stocks and is likely to put extra efforts into stabilising its stock prices. One of the ways to exercise these efforts could be a buy back of JD.com shares as the company has accumulated more than 35 billion yuan in Free Cash Flow (FCF) during the last twelve months. No U.S. retail corporations are close to such a profitable performance. Nonetheless, the shares of U.S. retail corporations cost more.

JD is estimated to have Price to FCF Ratio above 13 for the Q3 2022. This is twice as low as average U.S. peers. So, this may mean that JD stock prices may be up by 100%. This is not going to happen soon, as the recovery of share prices will require some time. But in the long-term JD.com stocks are seen to be an excellent addition to the investment portfolio.

347
Three Different Ways to Earn with the Retail Industry: Simon Property Group

This is a real estate investment fund that operates on commercial property rentals, including restaurants, stores, and recreation centers. SPG shares reacted badly to the pandemic in 2020 but recovered quickly in 2021. This year they were hit by the general market correction and are trading 40% off their peak prices of 2021.

However, the business of Simon Property Group has completely recovered after the pandemic now. During 2021, 91.85% of all available spaces were rented while during the first half of 2022 93.9% of spaces were taken. These numbers are down from the first month of 2020 when the result was 94%. The major threats for the business now are high inflation and a possible recession. Some experts believe that the pandemic has kicked out weak peers from the market, so a warning to anyone left, you better be prepared for any challenges.

Strong financials allow the company to pay dividends and conduct buy backs of its own shares from the market. The fund spent $144 million over the last quarter to conduct these operations. The dividend yield is at 7%. It is a nice bonus and provides motivation for the addition of SPG shares with significant discount to the portfolio.

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