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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

12.05.2022
Perspective ETFs in the ESG energy segment: Invesco Global Clean Energy Portfolio ETF

This ETF invests in green energy ventures. The pandemic led to a 300% increase of its share price. But since the beginning of 2022 they have lost 30%, twice as much as the S&P 500 SPY ETF. The net capital which has outflown from the Fund has reached $31.5 billion over the last 12 months, while the major outflow was recorded in December 2021. However, its shares are still seen to be overbought as P/E multiplier is at 24 that is well above the average of 20 for the EFT’s that are linked to the S&P 500, while the dividend yields are above PBD’s numbers.

Inflation in the United States is rising negatively affecting all shares with a high P/E ratio. So, we may expect a further decline of the PBD share price and other similar assets that cannot be protected from rising risks. Traditional energies are looking more attractive on this background and could be a perfect hedge asset amidst geopolitical uncertainties. 

12.04.2024
CarMax Is More Committed to Innovations But Market Conditions Make It Sinking

CarMax (KMX) quarterly report came out on April 11, vividly displaying why any immediate investment into the used car market still sounds like not a good idea. The stock quickly lost ground, wasting a double-digit number of percentage points as a response to its net income drop to $0.32 per share against $0.44 cents per share a year ago, also compared to much stronger $0.52, $0.75 and $1.44 per share in the previous three quarters. Analyst polls estimated a net income per share at about $0.50, which would be 56% better than the reality.

This almost looks like a financial fiasco in the company's efforts to withstand slowing demand in the segment. CarMax Q4 2023 revenue decreased by 1.7% to $5.6 billion, slightly below consensus expectations of $5.8 billion, indicating the lack of gross marginality of the business. This happened even though the total supply of unsold used vehicles on dealer lots grew by 9% YoY to 2.27 million units in March, according to Cox Automotive data. CarMax CEOs delayed their own goal of selling over 2 million units annually, when measuring combined retail and wholesale actions, to between 2026 and 2030, from its prior target of 2026.

A "higher-for-longer" Fed fund rates is demonstrably bad for car sales volumes, be it new generation Tesla cars or just pre-owned vehicles, while operating costs for warehouses are growing. Besides, easing some semiconductor constraints in North America may help marginally improving orders for new cars, leaving used-car sales under the same pressure. Meanwhile, the entrance of Asia players offered significant discounts. Therefore, North American and European operators of the used car market need to sell many great cars at cheaper prices. CarMax already posted its official warning of a potential "hit to profit-sharing revenue" due to inflationary impact to its partners, before last Christmas. "While affordability of used cars remains the challenge for consumers, pricing improved during the quarter," Enrique Mayor-Mora, executive vice president and CFO admitted.

It was only a smaller division of CarMax Auto Finance, which managed to get a 19% better income due to "a lower provision for loan losses" and an increase in average managed receivables. Yet, this was rather news from the side business, which was clearly not enough to be optimistic. The company added that it is now focused on enhancing its omni-channel experience and leveraging data science and automation. Carmax said it delivered "strong retail and wholesale" graphic processors, which helped to increase "used saleable inventory units" more than 10%, but used total inventory units was unchanged despite innovations. The company seeks to achieve efficiency improvements in its core operations, believing that they "are well-positioned to drive growth as the market turns", according to Enrique Mayor-Mora. This may be useful to strengthen competitiveness in better times for the segment. Yet, the current challenges are too heavy to be ignored by market crowds.

26.11.2024
Meta Could Score 18% in the Next Few Months

Meta Platforms (META), the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, has been trading sideways within the $550-600 range since late September, underperforming the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, which has gained 6.0% during the same period.

While META shares remain within an ascending channel, they are currently resting at the support of the uptrend. Historically, each time the stock reached this level, it rebounded upwards by 15-18%. Consequently, the share price is likely to rise to $650-670 over the coming months. I plan to open a long trade at $550-570, targeting a potential upside of $185. A stop-loss could be placed below recent lows at $480.

15.09.2022
Safe Haven Assets for Long-Term Investments: Broadcom

Broadcom is an American semiconductor and infrastructure software development company. Soon it is expected to close a merger deal with VMware, a cloud computing and visualization company, that will open new cross-sales opportunities for Broadcom to boost its revenues. Broadcom stocks are now 25% off their peak values.

According to the Q3 FY 2022 financial report that ended July 31, consolidated revenues grew by 25% year-over-year to $8.46 billion, and EPS went up by 40% to $9.73 per share. The semiconductors segment, that added 32% year-over-year, was the primary driver for the company’s profit. The company’s free cash flows (FCF) topped $4.3 billion, allowing it to spend $1.7 billion on dividends and 1.5 billion on the shares repurchase program. The company is planning to continue spending at least 50% of FCF on dividends that added 43% every year on average since 2016. 

According to the Q4 FY 2022 forward guidance, the company is expecting its revenues to go up by 20% year-over-year to $8.9 billion and for EDITDA to go up by 25% to $5.6 billion. Broadcom has great experience in expanding its product portfolio by M&A operations, and apparently it will continue on this way. The company is also expected to benefit greatly from the $52.7 billion CHIPS bill in the United States.


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Stellar is Set to Go Down

Stellar is moving alongside a downtrend since September 10, and may continue to do so after a short correction that has started on October 12. The XLMUSD is rapidly moving towards the resistance of the downtrend, and may hit it at 0.1097-0.1109. This is where short trades with a target at 0.1020 could be considered. The stop-loss could be set at 0.1135, the low of October 4.

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GALA is Nearing a Strong Resistance

GALA prices are moving in a downtrend since October 3. The altcoin went into correction on October 11, and is now moving towards the resistance at 0.0140-0.0141. This is where the GALUSD is likely to reverse to the downside. Thus, it would be wise to consider short trades from this resistance with a target at 0.0128, which is the low of October 11. The stop-loss could be set slightly above 0.0145, the high of October 9.

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Stocks To Watch This Week: Delta Air Lines

Delta Air Lines stock lost 4.5% on October 9 after all American carriers suddenly halted or reined in flights to Israel following an escalated violence breakout between the country's military forces and Palestinian terrorist group Hamas. Suspended services were announced "until conditions allow them to resume". Companies including Delta, United Airlines, American Airlines etc are clearly losing money on cancelled flights, yet it has only a temporary and very limited effect on their worldwide businesses. So, stock prices of Delta bounced by more than 1.5% as soon as on the next trading day. The stock even recovered by nearly 3% at some moment.

Delta Air Lines is set to report during the week, as earnings number release is scheduled on October 12, before the opening bell on Wall Street. Recent attempts to diversify the company's revenue sources to boost long-term growth deserve investors' attention, while geopolitical and other forms of uncertainty represent only short-term risks for the travel industry. The crowd and experts may be even ready to forgive some temporary losses, for the sake of the longer-term expansion, which is clearly more promising. Only a set of some new and now hypothetical pandemic shutdowns may have the ability to potentially delay the rise of aviation segment stocks for a long time. Such a possibility cannot be ruled out in the future, but there are no threats of that sort right now at least.

With the stock's price soaring high in late spring and in the first half of summer, from below $33 to nearly $50 per share, it had been adjusted to its pre-rally level during general market correction. This allows to hope for a launch of a recovery process ahead of the next summer season in 2024.

As to the earnings report, it is worth noting that Delta Air Lines beat consensus estimates in its Q2 report three months ago, with an 11.6% beat on EPS, which was $2.68. The consensus is $1.97 per share for Q3, so that any better numbers for the July-September period may give a positive impulse for the bull's camp. Delta Air Lines faced an improving trend in the recent months, while only the 30% decline in free cash flow compared to 2022 could be considered as a major obstacle for a positive perception of the big picture.

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Stocks To Watch This Week: PepsiCo

A globally recognizable brand for beverages and snacks reported third quarter on October 10. Its equity per share (EPS) was $2.25, $0.10 better than expert consensus. Q3 sales totalled $23.45 billion, which slightly beat average estimates of $23.43 billion. The number was by $1.13 billion higher than in Q2 and adder more than $5.5 billion compared to Q1. More importantly, the company's management raised its forecast for annual return for the third time in 2023, with a view to further lifting its selling prices, even though PepsiCo successfully undertook similar moves on its major markets, based on resilient demand on packed food. Average prices for a range of PepsiCo products rose by 11% from early June to early September, while organic volume fell 2.5%. Nevertheless, there will be some modest level of price increases coming when the company will get into next year.

"I do think that as a company we are executing better and better", based on both "the raise and guidance", and as "we have made investments in manufacturing capacity", PepsiCo CFO Hugh Johnston said. Go to market systems, supply chain, these all seem like ways of running the business better in terms of costs. "We reinvest back in the business... but I wouldn't dismiss the role of innovation... and things we have got going on in Quaker [oats] and in Funyuns [onion flavoured chips] and in Doritos [tortilla chips]", Hugh Johnston added, listing a set of snacks.

Snacks business helped counter falling demand in the beverages unit, as the Frito-Lay North America, a subsidiary of PepsiCo that manufactures, markets and sells corn chips, potato chips etc, gained 7% in terms of organic revenue, despite pure physical volumes slightly fell. PepsiCo also focused on selling more "profitable volume", feeling that consumer preferences are evolving towards some smaller packages amid inflation pressure and lessened real income of households. Spending on natural products categorized as "affordable luxuries" is limited in favour of cheaper food and carbonated drinks.

As a result, shares of PepsiCo gained 1.88% on October 10, soon after the corporate news. Rival Coca-Cola was also up 2.17%. PepsiCo is still down by more than 16% compared to 2023 peaking prices of mid-May, and there is enough space for a potential recovery during the nearest 3-6 months.

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