• Metadoro
  • Products
  • News and analysis

News and analysis

Check market insights shared by our community members
26.11.2024
Meta Could Score 18% in the Next Few Months

Meta Platforms (META), the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, has been trading sideways within the $550-600 range since late September, underperforming the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, which has gained 6.0% during the same period.

While META shares remain within an ascending channel, they are currently resting at the support of the uptrend. Historically, each time the stock reached this level, it rebounded upwards by 15-18%. Consequently, the share price is likely to rise to $650-670 over the coming months. I plan to open a long trade at $550-570, targeting a potential upside of $185. A stop-loss could be placed below recent lows at $480.

12.05.2022
Perspective ETFs in the ESG energy segment: Invesco Global Clean Energy Portfolio ETF

This ETF invests in green energy ventures. The pandemic led to a 300% increase of its share price. But since the beginning of 2022 they have lost 30%, twice as much as the S&P 500 SPY ETF. The net capital which has outflown from the Fund has reached $31.5 billion over the last 12 months, while the major outflow was recorded in December 2021. However, its shares are still seen to be overbought as P/E multiplier is at 24 that is well above the average of 20 for the EFT’s that are linked to the S&P 500, while the dividend yields are above PBD’s numbers.

Inflation in the United States is rising negatively affecting all shares with a high P/E ratio. So, we may expect a further decline of the PBD share price and other similar assets that cannot be protected from rising risks. Traditional energies are looking more attractive on this background and could be a perfect hedge asset amidst geopolitical uncertainties. 

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

12.04.2024
CarMax Is More Committed to Innovations But Market Conditions Make It Sinking

CarMax (KMX) quarterly report came out on April 11, vividly displaying why any immediate investment into the used car market still sounds like not a good idea. The stock quickly lost ground, wasting a double-digit number of percentage points as a response to its net income drop to $0.32 per share against $0.44 cents per share a year ago, also compared to much stronger $0.52, $0.75 and $1.44 per share in the previous three quarters. Analyst polls estimated a net income per share at about $0.50, which would be 56% better than the reality.

This almost looks like a financial fiasco in the company's efforts to withstand slowing demand in the segment. CarMax Q4 2023 revenue decreased by 1.7% to $5.6 billion, slightly below consensus expectations of $5.8 billion, indicating the lack of gross marginality of the business. This happened even though the total supply of unsold used vehicles on dealer lots grew by 9% YoY to 2.27 million units in March, according to Cox Automotive data. CarMax CEOs delayed their own goal of selling over 2 million units annually, when measuring combined retail and wholesale actions, to between 2026 and 2030, from its prior target of 2026.

A "higher-for-longer" Fed fund rates is demonstrably bad for car sales volumes, be it new generation Tesla cars or just pre-owned vehicles, while operating costs for warehouses are growing. Besides, easing some semiconductor constraints in North America may help marginally improving orders for new cars, leaving used-car sales under the same pressure. Meanwhile, the entrance of Asia players offered significant discounts. Therefore, North American and European operators of the used car market need to sell many great cars at cheaper prices. CarMax already posted its official warning of a potential "hit to profit-sharing revenue" due to inflationary impact to its partners, before last Christmas. "While affordability of used cars remains the challenge for consumers, pricing improved during the quarter," Enrique Mayor-Mora, executive vice president and CFO admitted.

It was only a smaller division of CarMax Auto Finance, which managed to get a 19% better income due to "a lower provision for loan losses" and an increase in average managed receivables. Yet, this was rather news from the side business, which was clearly not enough to be optimistic. The company added that it is now focused on enhancing its omni-channel experience and leveraging data science and automation. Carmax said it delivered "strong retail and wholesale" graphic processors, which helped to increase "used saleable inventory units" more than 10%, but used total inventory units was unchanged despite innovations. The company seeks to achieve efficiency improvements in its core operations, believing that they "are well-positioned to drive growth as the market turns", according to Enrique Mayor-Mora. This may be useful to strengthen competitiveness in better times for the segment. Yet, the current challenges are too heavy to be ignored by market crowds.

15.09.2022
Safe Haven Assets for Long-Term Investments: Broadcom

Broadcom is an American semiconductor and infrastructure software development company. Soon it is expected to close a merger deal with VMware, a cloud computing and visualization company, that will open new cross-sales opportunities for Broadcom to boost its revenues. Broadcom stocks are now 25% off their peak values.

According to the Q3 FY 2022 financial report that ended July 31, consolidated revenues grew by 25% year-over-year to $8.46 billion, and EPS went up by 40% to $9.73 per share. The semiconductors segment, that added 32% year-over-year, was the primary driver for the company’s profit. The company’s free cash flows (FCF) topped $4.3 billion, allowing it to spend $1.7 billion on dividends and 1.5 billion on the shares repurchase program. The company is planning to continue spending at least 50% of FCF on dividends that added 43% every year on average since 2016. 

According to the Q4 FY 2022 forward guidance, the company is expecting its revenues to go up by 20% year-over-year to $8.9 billion and for EDITDA to go up by 25% to $5.6 billion. Broadcom has great experience in expanding its product portfolio by M&A operations, and apparently it will continue on this way. The company is also expected to benefit greatly from the $52.7 billion CHIPS bill in the United States.


B
The Pound Looks Towards 1.18-1.20

The British Pound would unlikely to hold above its major 1.25 psychological and technical support. A reasonable short positioning in GBP/USD could have its first target between 1.2330 and 1.2390. This range was already achieved on September 20 even before the Fed’s hawkish comments. Therefore, the Pound slipped to 1.2230-1.2280. Yet, a further drop to ultimately test the next stronger support area at 1.18-1.20 looks almost inevitable this autumn, as the Bank of England could not have such a strong impact compared to the U.S financial regulator. Again, the Greenback usually plays a safe-haven role when Wall Street indexes waxing the skies to roll downhill, which is exactly what's happening when Fed's plans were unveiled.

4900
A Proper Time For Repositioning: Apple

A temporary profit taking approach at the particular moment could be applied to stocks like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta and Google. Growth stocks are now victims of a fast and accelerating sell-off, as many fund managers are betting on saving essential parts of income against a generally deteriorating markets. As to Apple stocks, its price seems incapable of climbing the nearest technical resistance of $180 per share. Weak attempts to return to testing that level from the downside are manifesting a lack of demand. A long-awaited Apple event in Cupertino on September 12 to unveil its new iPhone 15 line-up failed to impress investors, while the Chinese ban on using Apple gadgets for government employees hampered demand in the company's largest sales market. Thus, testing the levels which are at least $10-15 lower for Apple stocks now looks like a baseline scenario, as higher for longer borrowing costs of the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks will do more harm than good to the overall market sentiment on Wall Street. Some profit now and then picking up the stock at lower levels once again could be a smart strategy on this type of an increasingly negative market sentiment.

5613
A Proper Time for Repositioning: NVIDIA

It looks like a right moment for repositioning in many major growth stocks, including tech giants like NVIDIA or Microsoft, as the S&P 500 and other stock indexes of Wall Street are quickly losing their previous upside momentum. A partial fixing (up to two-thirds) of the remaining profit could be a wise decision. Indeed, current quotes around $412-415 per share (on the pre-market trading) offer nearly 280% of investors' income since last Christmas, or at least 45% compared to the beginning of the AI-fuelled rally in mid-May. However, the price corrections for NVIDIA stocks is picking up steam to reach a 18% discount vs its highest points of the end of August when it just briefly tested the area above $500 per share.

Better a fowl in hand than two flying, especially since it rather looks as three or four of them now in hand, with only an extra one has gone into the sky. The low-closing candle on Wednesday, September 20, with zero activity in attempts to rebound and a strongly bearish night, may indicate higher chances for a further decline, with prices to drop to the lower areas between $350 and $400, and a set of negative scenarios that could not be excluded. Later, it is always possible to rebalance you portfolio using more aggressive buy strategies any time when the technical correction would be exhausted.

The recent broad market recovery seems to be over after the U.S. Federal Reserve's (Fed) officials sent its most hawkish message they were able to send considering a rate hike pause. The Fed's open market committee clearly paved the way to another rate hike in November or December and pointed to a longer regime of elevated borrowing costs by reducing the number of potential rate cuts in 2024 on its dot plot projections. Additional signs of stronger economic activity would mean that "we have to do more with rates," the Fed's talking head Jerome Powell commented at a press conference.

If so, then any AI boost may have only a delayed impact on financial results, including this segment's recognized leader. Slowing demand effects are possible, if we take into account a possibility of more affordable budgets of its corporate clients for immediate developing and testing new technologies.

4714
Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
BAT is Losing Traction on General Negative Sentiment

Basic Attention Token prices performed a recovery during first half of September. The token added 10% in a serious effort to break through the downside trend.

The network development activity of the project’s network has increased substantially during this month; the number of active network addresses is rising too despite low activity from the whales. Such network activity supported primarily by small investors is a good sign of network’s development and attraction of the project.

However, most of this positive vibes were derailed by general negative sentiment as all risky assets went on sell-off after hawkish comments of the Fed’s Chair Jerome Powell. BAT has lost more than 3% on the news and continues to retreat from the resistance of $0.171 towards the support at $0.150.

4491
268

Join our community

Share your professional and amateur observations, exchange experiences, anticipate developments

Category
All
Stocks
Crypto
Etf
Commodities
Indices
Currencies
Energies
Metals
Instruments
Author
All
Metadoro
Contributors