Metadoro
Products
News and analysis

News and analysis

Check market insights shared by our community members

16.01.2025

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

14.01.2025

Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

23.01.2025

Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

09.01.2025

VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

14.01.2025

Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

MetadoroIn-house analytics

25.08.2025

Fed's September Rate Cut Is Almost Here

The Federal Reserve's annual symposium at Jackson Hole became a perfect place to put the final line under the doubts of Wall Street sceptics. Its chair Jerome Powell used a gas pedal on August 22, citing "downside risks to employment" in the U.S. economy. At the same time, he simply neglected to mention inflationary pressures that had previously peppered most of his previous speeches.

Powell clearly opened his set of remarks by offering an unequivocal sign to businesses and investors that the U.S. central bankers are going to reverse their too hawkish monetary course very soon. “The shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance", while labour markets remain "a curious kind of balance that results from a marked slowing in both the supply of and demand for workers”, he said, adding that this "unusual situation" suggests that more downside risks may materialize "quickly in the form of sharply higher layoffs and rising unemployment”. So the Fed showed that it didn't crack under U.S. president Donald Trump's public threats, but it is going to change its stance to show that the policy makers simply can't ignore the more than 250,000 payrolls revision over the past two months accompanied by weak, barely double-digit fresh Nonfarm payrolls.

The stock investors are just quick on the uptake when hearing exactly this type of language used by Fed officials. The S&P 500 major barometer had been on a slow and slight decline but for the four straight trading sessions from Monday to Thursday last week, something it hadn't done since early April's tariff worries, but briskly erased and covered all those losses in less than one hour, jumping 1.5% to respond to Powell's comments. Eventually, the index closed at 6,467.70, its highest level ever. The move opens the door to the new sky-high records.

Three weeks ago, the same crowd considered weak jobs as a blessing for earlier rate cuts. CME FedWatch tool showed a nearly unanimous opinion of futures traders who were clearly betting on the first rate cut in a new cycle as soon as the September meeting. That conviction was still strong but fell to 75% before Powell's speech because of some other Fed member's remarks and mixed producer price data. But this bet for at least 0.25% cut on September 17 comes to about 98% once again after the clearly dovish Powell. By mid-December, the crowd is confidently expecting a rate of 0.5% lower than now, i.e. within the range of 3.75% to 4.25%. "This is about as explicit a ’we’ll probably cut in September’-type statement as one can expect from the Fed chair," said analysts at Vital Knowledge. That's one perfect sentence for what actually happened.

As we've been talking for many months about price targets like 6,850 or even 7,000 for trading S&P 500 futures, right now even the most cautious representatives of the expert camp are agreeing with this concept of a large rally extension. And so, we have a rising bullish environment. As a good example, the UBS investment bank, which had previously held estimates around 6,500, is shifting its year-end S&P 500 target to 6,600 as a starter, with its renewed June 2026 target at 6,800. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, are talking about over 6,850 before the end of 2025 already. More rate cut expectations also switch a green light to the further weakening of the Greenback vs other reserve currencies, including the Euro.

US500

170

Rafael Quintana Martinez

Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/

22.08.2025

Ontology Is Struggling at $1.500 with a Downside Potential

Ontology (ONT) is down 6.1% this week to $0.1305, broadly in line with the wider crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen 4.0% to $112,700. Markets are focused on today’s speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole, with U.S. President Donald Trump expected to make a bold statement immediately afterwards. Speculation is mounting that Trump could even call for Powell’s resignation if the Fed maintains a hawkish stance. This backdrop is weighing heavily on crypto assets, though they could find some relief if Powell unexpectedly strikes a dovish tone. ONT has formed a negative technical pattern this week and risks sliding sharply to $0.1000 should hawkish rhetoric persist.

ONTUSD

215

Rafael Quintana Martinez

21.08.2025

BAT Is Ready To Continue Up

Basic Attention Token (BAT) is down 5.7% this week to $0.1505, underperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) has slipped 3.2% to $113,797. BAT has shown resilience. In mid-July, it broke above the $0.1500 resistance and successfully retested this level. The token then rallied by 18.8% to $0.1782 in August, though the move was cut short by negative market sentiment. Even so, BAT is holding firmly above $0.1500, a sign of underlying strength. If market sentiment improves, this base could provide the momentum for a push towards the $0.2000 resistance.

BATUSD

363

Rafael Quintana Martinez

20.08.2025

Synthetix Is Unlikely to Dive below $0.500

Synthetix (SNX) is down 6.7% this week to $0.655, underperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) has slipped 3.3% to $113,771. Investors are on edge ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday, fearing he may double down on a hawkish stance after disappointing U.S. inflation data.

Despite the drop, SNX remains technically resilient above the $0.500 support level, which has held firm since October 2019. Sentora data shows that 100% of current SNX holders are sitting on losses, which paradoxically signals a potential bottom. Historically, such capitulation phases have marked exhaustion in selling pressure, making it less likely that prices will dive below this long-term threshold.

SNXUSD

342