• Metadoro
  • Products
  • News and analysis

News and analysis

Check market insights shared by our community members
11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

Bitcoin Is Booming Over the Top

Bitcoin price was spotted less than $100 away from visiting $90,000 this morning. Its skyrocketing to nearly 30% within only one week after getting beyond $70,000 looks amazing, even compared to our previously forecasted focus on a target range between $80,000 and $100,000 in case of Donald Trump's comeback to the White House, as we supposed this upside move may take 9 to 12 months. The begetting excitement in the crowd fuels the crypto demand much faster than anybody could expect. With the current market caps estimates over $1.75 trillion, Bitcoin now occupies the 8th place among all assets, surpassing overall volume of global Silver investments and perfectly steering in a tight turn next after Google, Amazon and Saudi Aramco. Who would have guessed it 14 years ago when the new-born Bitcoin was trading at just $0.50.

The go-ahead for further promotion of digital assets by the president-elect and the clear prospect of appearing legislators' majority in the U.S. Congress to supporting cryptocurrencies did the whole job. Trump promised to lop off the unneeded parts of a hyper-care in regulatory architecture and make the U.S. a unique centre of the crypto asset industry, including creating a strategic reserve consisting of Bitcoins to partially pay the American public debt in a still inexplicable and surely unprecedented way. Even if he turns out to be far from succeeding in this ambitious task, he will try and try to give this business a green street as soon as possible, whereas the sitting administration slowed down the processes, feeling the Bitcoin as an unwanted rival to the Dollar-based monetary system. The Democrats often described the sector as being rife with fraud and misconduct. Thus, chest-thumping from the digital-asset industry looks natural and very logical, especially after reportedly spending over $100 million to back crypto-friendly politicians.

The growing bullish sentiment helped altcoins as well. The brightest example was Dogecoin, spiking from $0.16 on November 5 to above $0.42 today, on November 12. A remarkable 2.65x growth took place for this meme-crowd favourite of Trump supporter Elon Musk, who automatically became the world’s richest man when the multibillionaire’s brainchild Tesla soared from about $250 to almost $350 per share even though the dust after election mostly settled down. Surely, it was only a matter of time before a speedy rally of some sort occurred. With it now exceeding most expectations, some temporary stop around $90,000 before conquering the next peaks is possible, yet only as the proverbial calm before the new storm of applause across the entire spectrum of the crypto world. The nearest six weeks before Christmas are going to bring even more joy to Bitcoin holders, and selectively to some altcoin fans, as a more careful approach in choosing particular and proper altcoin tools to trade, with broader diversification, is advisable. Remember that all is not gold that glitters.

9
Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
I See Disney Further Up by 25-30%

Walt Disney (DIS) shares were in a downtrend from March 2021, declining by 61.0% to $78.69 in October 2023. Since then, they mostly traded sideways, but in April 2024, share prices rose to $123.90, marking a notable jump; however, the downtrend resistance held firm. Prices then dropped to $83.86 before rebounding to $97.53. Finally, they have broken through the trend resistance and are now on an upward trajectory. Shares gained 4.8% to reach $100.83 in November, with further potential for growth of 25.0-30.0% to $125.00-130.00 per share.

I am planning to open a long position from $97.0-102.0, with a stop set at $77.00.

11
Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
LTC May Continue Up to $90 with Bitcoin Rally

Litecoin (LTC) is up 0.7% at $76.20 today, slightly off its intraday high of $77.95, nearing the critical $80.00 resistance. This recent momentum, driven by broader crypto gains following Donald Trump’s election, has lifted LTC by 18% and Bitcoin (BTC) by 22.05% since November 5.

For Litecoin to advance toward the $90.00 mark, a 10% increase, sustained strength in Bitcoin is essential. A BTC rally above the $80,000-82,000 range could catalyze this move, with baseline projections supporting the probability of this upward breakout. Bitcoin's trajectory, especially if it holds above key levels, will likely reinforce LTC’s rally potential toward $90.00.

12
B
Stocks to Buy After Elections. Part III

The outlook for the so-called "Magnificent Seven" stocks now becomes even brighter due to the overall market euphoria of Donald Trump's second term, with a widely anticipated corporate tax reform and supposed rigidity towards unnecessary bureaucratic temptations to overregulate the AI industry. For anybody familiar with the subject, it was not a secret that the governing policies were inclined to meet complex challenges from rapidly developing technologies through the prism of growing restrictions and changing rules of the game, which were not fully transparent for businesses. Captains of the big tech industry would become much more influential in taking reasonable steps with a great promotion by Elon Musk as a high-ranked staffer in this new Republican team.

There is also much hope that Trump will put an end to harmful bids to break up Google over its dominance in online search. "If you do that, are you going to destroy the company? What you can do without breaking it up is make sure it's more fair," Trump said at an event in Chicago just several weeks ago. He could also get rid of regulatory hurdles from the wheels of potentially useful mergers and acquisitions like in the case of NVIDIA's intention to buy chip designer Arm Holdings. I guess you may have noticed a 15% spike in Tesla stock price amid Elon Musk's immense help for Trump's campaign, but I expect more gains above $300 per share because of Tesla's huge robotaxi projects. Yet, nearly 4% of market price gains were also performed by Google, Amazon and NVIDIA at the very first trading session when the election trail was still so hot. And now is the proper time to clarify the background under a clearly accelerated bullish race of Google and Amazon.

Google was on track to meet $200+ targets even without political support. However, the powerful DOJ (U.S. Department of Justice) has as many as two anti-monopoly cases against its parent Alphabet, one over search and another one over advertising technology, as well as pursuing a case against Apple. It tries to make Alphabet divest parts of its business such as Google Chrome Web browser and terminate the agreement, which makes it the default search engine on iPhones, as only one example. I feel the DOJ course can be changed in early 2025 under the pressure of new inhabitants of the White House, as this may allow U.S.-rooted giants to address competition problems against Chinese rivals which were already unlovely during the first presidential term of Trump.

The Federal Trade Commission is also suing Meta Platforms and Amazon. Coincidentally, a multibillionaire and Amazon's head Jeff Bezos hastily issued "big congratulations" to Trump via X platform on his "extraordinary political comeback", while wishing "all success in leading and uniting the America we all love" and saying that "no nation has bigger opportunities". The praise was probably sincere to follow the billionaire's previous decision to block The Washington Post, which he owns, from issuing a presidential endorsement. This ended the newspaper's practice when its publication previously endorsed candidates since the 1980s, consistently backing Democrats.

Anyway, Amazon's Q3 strong earnings release on the last night of October beat consensus forecasts by far, and so its shares already resumed the rally one week before election impact. Amazon posted its EPS (earnings per share) of $1.43 vs the average analyst estimates of $1.14. Sales in Amazon's cloud division, globally increased by 19% YoY. Total sales for the quarter marked an 11% increase YoY, with Amazon CEOs highlighting the holiday season with "biggest-ever Prime Big Deal Days" and the high pace of investment into generative AI capabilities for sellers and advertisers like its famous shopping assistant, Rufus, with the service to be expanded to more countries. But it was only yesterday, when Amazon stock eventually managed to reset its all-time highs well above $200, and I personally bet for the next target being located somewhere within a $240 to $260 range in nearest months. You know that I bought more Amazon for my stock portfolio at the end of July, and now I become even more optimistic to add more to my previous position in the e-commerce and cloud computing giant. And the latest news for Amazon on November 5 was that it just got approval by the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration for its newer and smaller delivery drone to fly. Now Amazon is going to ramp up deliveries, starting with a test city area of Phoenix, Arizona, but its Prime Air drone program has been slowly moving forward for more than 10 years. The new drone would reportedly "fly through light rain and have twice the range of earlier models".

Meanwhile, I am not so sure that Meta and Apple would get preferences under the new Republican administration, even though I have both stocks in my portfolio and keep higher targets for both of them, which I already described before.

12
5

Join our community

Share your professional and amateur observations, exchange experiences, anticipate developments

Category
All
Stocks
Crypto
Etf
Commodities
Indices
Currencies
Energies
Metals
Instruments
Author
All
Metadoro
Contributors