• Metadoro
  • Products
  • News and analysis

News and analysis

Check market insights shared by our community members
14.01.2025
Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

16.01.2025
Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

23.01.2025
Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

14.01.2025
Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

09.01.2025
VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Litecoin Is Rushing to $160

Litecoin (LTC) is up 6.6% this week to $132, outperforming the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has gained just 0.7% to $119,693. The rally is fuelled by a 12% monthly surge in active addresses on the Litecoin network and a growing share of long-term holders, which adds to the coin’s stability. Open interest in LTC futures has also peaked at $1.2 billion, providing additional support. Prices broke above the $120 resistance in early August and are now approaching the key $140 level. A breakout here could pave the way for a move toward $160, although strong pullbacks are likely at that point.

569
U.S. Inflation Pressure Fades Feeding Stock Rally

The Federal Reserve can now clearly burn itself the looming victory over inflation into an asset. The recent data by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ on CPI (consumer price index) contains its annual indication at 2.7% on August 12, which matches its level in June exactly. Wall Street expert estimates suggested some faster pace of 2.8%. On a monthly basis, the CPI only rose by a modest 0.2%, which was slower than 0.3% in June. Thus, month-on-month inflationary pressure for the end consumer, if we multiply this 0.2% rate by 12 months, does not go beyond 2.4% in total. This level of 2.4% already corresponds to the annual figure shown during a three-month period from April to June, and apparently, the CPI statistics will return to this 2.4% station soon.

The S&P 500 immediately soared by 0.85% to touch and retest its historical highs' area above 6,430 to keep the mid-term rally stage in play. The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite already surpassed its all-time high by 150 points in the first half hour to follow the CPI release. It is now set above 21,600, and is unlikely to be stopped somewhere on the way to its first power point of 22,000. That corresponds to 23,775 for the USTech100, a select index for a group of largest companies on Nasdaq, keeping 25,000 and then 27,500 further in mind. The U.S. Dollar Index against a basket of other reserve currencies has acquired a very distinct negative momentum, so far limited within a 0.5% slide, but more speculative deals until the end of August may promise more profit in the bearish bet here for the Greenback short-term. A test of at least 95.50 support for USD seems inevitable over time as well as the continuing Wall Street climb. The extension of no extra tariff trade pass for China by U.S. president Trump for another 90 days will add much to the bullish pattern for stocks.

A 73,000 jobs in the Nonfarm payroll report on August 1, with as much as 258,000 downward revision to June and July numbers already led to a nearly 80% bets for the Fed's rate cut two times in a row, in September and December. If we take into consideration today's weak CPI data, then the coming Fed's gathering on September 17. CME FedWatch tool shows this chance is approaching 95%. The market also estimates the chance of a bold 0.5% reduction in borrowing costs by December at only 40%, while more than 50% of traders expect a 0.75% rate cut. In fact, this means either two cuts of 0.25%, or one of 0.25% plus one of 0.5%. The second scenario sounds extreme, however. Anyway, the Fed has nowhere else to go. They will simply have to bite the bullet and cut rates, otherwise they will be the ones to blame for the slowdown in the economy or for the stock market fall which could be provoked if the regulator's steps would not match at all the crowd's expectations which are clearly formed. Again, any future heads of the Fed to replace Jerome Powell are unlikely to want to ruin their odds by voting against rate cuts while waiting for a possible appointment next spring.

Fed's chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues will, of course, say that they achieved this by keeping interest rates high to keep price pressure in check, even though inflation has been more likely restricted due to natural economic causes as well as slowing consumer spending. The Fed will now have a harder time in terms of further insisting on elevated rates drug for the imaginary economic stability, since the central bankers' endlessly vocal worries that Trump's tariff wars might fuel inflation have proven unfounded. While they won't admit it, they will stand there in anti-inflation victory laps whether they are its architects or not. In the end, the reason for Fed's future actions is not so important. What actually matters is only that the already stagnating or probably even cooling labour market, now combined with declining consumer price indicators, give them reason to launch the rate cut cycle with their heads held high. The Fed's new dovish stance could be carved in granite as early as the Jackson Hole policy symposium, scheduled on August 21-23.

470
Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
VeChain Is Losing Momentum

VeChain (VET) is down 3.2% this week to $0.0242, underperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) has slipped a marginal 0.1% to $118,500. The market is cooling after Monday’s jump, when Bitcoin spiked 3.1% to $122,300 before closing at $118,670. That surge was fuelled by increased capital inflows from pension funds following U.S. President Donald Trump’s executive order allowing digital assets in retirement plans. However, the optimism was tempered by expectations of rising U.S. inflation.

VET attempted its own rally, climbing 3.5% to $0.02593 on Monday, but ended the day down 1.8%. Prices are now hovering near recent lows, casting doubt on any near-term upside. From a technical perspective, the token would need to reclaim and hold above $0.0300 to join any broader market rally, which could then carry it towards $0.0400. At present, however, there are few signs pointing to such a move.

585
Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Apple Could Continue Up to $250

Apple (AAPL) rebounded from trend support at $190–200, surging 14.2% last week to $229. The move places the stock in the middle of its upward channel, with momentum strengthened by news that part of iPhone production will be relocated to the United States. This development adds a long-term bullish impulse, increasing the likelihood of continued gains toward trend resistance.

Buying at the current $225–230 range remains attractive, even though the stock is approaching its all-time high of $259, as it is still well below the trend resistance at $280. A reasonable stop-loss level could be placed at $199 to manage downside risk.

436
8

Join our community

Share your professional and amateur observations, exchange experiences, anticipate developments

Category
All
Stocks
Crypto
Etf
Commodities
Indices
Currencies
Energies
Metals
Instruments
Author
All
Metadoro
Contributors