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14.01.2025

Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

20.01.2025

Investment Banks Are Ahead of Lenders

An advance guard of the U.S. banking segment has reported for the ending quarter of 2024 ahead of the corporate earnings season's major chapters, which are still coming in and are supposed to make an overall positive contribution. But what's interesting is, the variety of lending institutions performed a solid organic growth in terms of both revenue and pure income, while the essentially investment giants like Goldman Sachs (GS) and BlackRock (BLK) grew up on a much firmer foundation. There is an impression that well-organised asset management, based on proper contextual ad hoc and mid-term stock transactions, is still producing enhanced results when compared to the returns of somewhat shabby loan portfolios at still quite heavy interest rates.

A temporary increase in Blackrock market value was up to 6.5% at its highest intraday point on January 15, following its record ever $11.93 of equity per share (EPS) on an also absolutely highest number of $5.68 billion in quarterly sales. Blackrock's three-month achievements provided a 23.5% annual boost in EPS vs nearly14% expected at EPS of $11.06 per share, which was supposed in analyst pool projections in reputable news outlets like Bloomberg and Reuters. Many investment houses quickly adjusted their price target areas for Blackrock shares, while also keeping Outperform ratings on the stock. As an example, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW) revised its price goal for Blackrock to $1,180, citing the investment bank's diversified inflows and global expansion growth initiatives which made the company favorably positioning in the eyes of analysts and investors alike. Blackrock is currently traded around $1000 per share.

However, the Goldman Sachs (GS) effect even surpassed the previous case, with an emergence of totally new peaks above $625 on GS charts, where the shares of this widely recognized investment giant had never been before. The weekly gain was more than 11.5% from $560 per share at the closing price on January 10. Goldman Sachs provided last quarter's EPS at $11.95 per share, beating a $8.12 consensus forecast, with its revenue achieving as high as $13.87 billion vs $12.15 billion previously estimated on average. This means that GS net revenues are up 7% YoY but its adjusted income soared by 54%, so that the firm maintains its clear leadership in global investment banking, including merge and acquisition advisory and wealth management services. Such a strong kind of resilience revived inner projections for EPS of $47.50 for fiscal year 2025 and $52.50 for fiscal year 2026. Isn't this a ready-made reason for targets above $650, or even $700 per share in the coming months, or at least before the end of 2025? By the way, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon was freshly rewarded by an $80 million stock bonus to stay at the helm for another 5 years, and John Waldron, a chief operating officer who is seen by many as a successor to Solomon, who is 63 now, was also awarded with his retention bonus of the same $80 million in restricted stock. However, the huge crowd of Goldman Sachs investors on Wall Street is hardly feeling offended or sad either, given the stock's crazy growth pace by the banking segment's standards.

The very fact that a cycle of lower borrowing rates has started in 2024 on both sides of the pond is helping the banking environment tremendously, which may in turn expand into a real business so soon, but the process may be happening more slowly than many Wall Street inhabitants would like to see due to a pause in the dovish shift by the Federal Reserve and other financial regulators. Wells Fargo (WFC), which also has an increasingly advanced investment focus among its recovering lending business, gained more than 8% since last week's earnings' report, coming very close to all-time peaks around $78 per share. Shares of JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Morgan Stanley (MS) also broke their previous price records, but gained within 5% and 7%, while the Bank of America (BAC) failed to add more than 2% for the reporting week, while its quarterly profits and sales were high but still within its previous lofty standards. The smaller part of investment business versus the credit component for the last three banks mentioned above seems like a reasonable justification for this tendency.

09.01.2025

VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

16.01.2025

Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

14.01.2025

Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

Rafael Quintana Martinez

Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/

19.09.2025

Ontology Is Still Struggling

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.1% to $0.1393, trailing Bitcoin (BTC), which is up 0.4% to $116,400. The token continues to struggle at the $0.1500 support level, with momentum showing signs of fading. Price action has repeatedly slipped below this mark, even approaching $0.1000 in June, suggesting weakness despite some positive project developments, such as its recent listing on the QuickEx platform.

For a recovery scenario, ONT must reclaim and sustain levels above $0.1500, which could open the way toward $0.2000. If not, the $0.1000 zone should be viewed as the next major support.

ONTUSD

452

Bash

18.09.2025

The New Agenda For Not-Being-Loved-Enough Stocks

Hidden from hot rays of the investment sun beneath the canopy of huge mega cap trees, the previously dejected undergrowth of the broader class of temporarily unwanted assets has perked up noticeably in response to last night's unveiling of the Fed's more dovish policy outlines. I watched very closely since the beginning of this Fed-marked week on how the first buds tried to open even on hopes for further rate cut confirmations, and now I am ready to take a more proactive stance in some of those stocks in response to their rising green shoots and step-by-step flourishing. Fed' slashing rates are here to support most of those "not-being-loved-enough", or you can call them "previously emotionally abused", but still fundamentally strong businesses.

Applied Materials (AMAT), which I set initial price targets of around $175 for back in mid-July on its recovering fundamentals, surpassed that barrier by more than $3 already on Wednesday US morning before the Fed's announcement, adding more than 5% since the beginning of the week ahead of rate cut release. I'm sure, it will add an additional 5-7% in the next couple of days, following the same "rising undergrowth" agenda I just described here. For me, the next target for AMAT is well above $200.

Talking head Jerome Powell's routine remarks at yesterday's press conference a clearly updated macroeconomic projection by the Fed (with two more rate cuts welcomed by the majority of voting officials) could dampen initially dovish sentiment in the currency market to prompt some repositioning before the next wave of selling USD. However, this mentally manipulative trick for instantly taking profits in a number of currency pairs and then buying the USD back, with also buying time to think more, did not mislead the greedy crowd of equity investors, so that the S&P 500 index futures just ticked up to reach its new historical high above 6,650 points already on today's pre-market. If so, for now, I'm only talking about AMAT, but I hope to share my observations on several more Wall Street stocks soon, confirming their exposure to the fast-rising investment sun.

AMAT

646

Rafael Quintana Martinez

18.09.2025

BAT Is Preparing a 24% Jump

Basic Attention Token (BAT) is up 0.5% to $0.1601, underperforming Bitcoin (BTC), which gained 1.0% to $117,200. The broader crypto market is finding strong support after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday and signalled two more reductions in 2025. Lower rates are a key tailwind for risk assets, helping digital currencies push higher.

BAT’s technical setup remains constructive. The token broke above the $0.1500 resistance in July with a 23.9% rally and has since held that level through August and September, showing resilience. With this base in place, BAT looks well-positioned for a potential 24% move higher toward the next resistance at $0.2000.

BATUSD

502

Metadoro内部分析

17.09.2025

Weak Payrolls + 0.4% CPI Spike → 0.25% Rate Cut

The bullish rally on Wall Street remains in progress, with the U.S. Dollar continuing to lose weight against the basket of rival reserve currencies. This happens with the clear understanding among the market community that the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision today is essentially predetermined by the whole set of recent economic data. We are confident in the small first step reduction for the U.S. borrowing costs, from 4.25-4.50% to 4.00-4.25% on Wednesday.

The so-called Fed's "dual mandate" from the Congress includes only two goals, which are supporting maximum employment and stable prices. Weak U.S. jobs data of September 7, meaning only 22,000 new non-farm payrolls in August, and updates to the downside for the two previous months were well below average economists’ forecasts. Fed officials cannot remain inactive, as they need to cover their asses under those weakening conditions. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has already expressed their common concern about the U.S. labour market. But a sudden 0.4% MoM spike in the consumer price index (CPI) last week will help in justifying a small 25 bp slash instead of a larger 50 bp step down. In-line slice of the U.S. inflation pressure especially point to only a moderate rate cut by the Fed as the consumer inflation pace was much faster than 0.2% a month ago and also slightly above average forecasts of 0.3%. The annual inflation gauge came out at 2.9% for the last 12 months from September 2024 to August 2025, compared to 2.7% released in the previous month.

Weak jobs and persistent inflation are the two reactants that necessarily lead to a chemical reaction with a 0.25% rate cut in the sediment. The remaining space in the Fed decision vessel can be taken up by rhetorical water, which the markets are no longer of much interest to. Again, what the vast majority of the market expects from the Fed, the Fed always performs, so as not to rock the boat. The U.S. central banker's verdict couldn't be any different, because they are barely aimed at showing signs of panic like being ahead of entering recession. Indeed, any larger rate cut is relevant only in a near-recession scenario. Well, when this is highly likely confirmed by the Fed official statement in just a few hours, some minor technical volatility may take place on some stocks and major indexes, but no fundamental shake-ups or shake-downs are expected. After all, when the dust is settled, most market tools will continue to drive in the same direction they used to do it during the last several weeks.

The key role, therefore, is mentioned for the dot plot projections of the Federal Open Market Committee. As to the crowd's expectations, it should indicate two more interest rate cuts before the end of 2025. In fact, the same FedWatch tool demonstrates that 80% are expecting a second 0.25% slash at the end of October, and over 70% are betting on a potentially third rate cut move in mid-December as well. So, this so-far empty field in the Fed's statement seems pre-filled already, favouring the hand-rubbing bulls on Wall Street and the Dollar bears on major foreign exchange pairs.

If the Fed pledges two additional rate cut slashes on its dot plot for the remainder of 2025, then next and bigger objectives down to 92.50 for the U.S. Dollar Index (DX) vs the majors basket in for the next 4-6 weeks, will become quite realistic, with DX being traded at nearly 96.50 at the moment. Nearest target prices like 144 and even well below are possible for USDJPY in this scenario, as the slide of the Greenback against the Japanese currency has so far remained far behind the Dollar selling mood in US-European pairs like EURUSD, GBPUSD and USDCHF. Meanwhile, the prospects of 1.20 for the single currency or 1.40 for the Cable will depend mostly on the corresponding synchronous or asynchronous interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England soon. Anyway, the door for the Greenback weakness would be wide open if the Fed becomes more dovish.

Meanwhile, the current rally in equity markets may be challenged by a very short-time correction, because of a "bought expectation, sold facts" scenario in some clearly overbought stocks. We expect that the Big Long mood will generally continue, as mid-caps are already supporting the AI flagships and other blue chips and may even further be encouraged with softening monetary conditions.

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