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09.01.2025
VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

16.01.2025
Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

14.01.2025
Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

14.01.2025
Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

23.01.2025
Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

B
Texas Instruments Is Out on a More Solid Ground

For the first time ever I am making a turning glance to this chipmaker, which didn't set the world alight unlike some others did. What led me to look over there, being rather excited with my find, was alleviating tariff concerns by the company, which predicted the current quarter's delivery well above estimates. Texas Instruments (TXN) has climbed as much as 8.5% in the pre-market trading on April 24 to touch $165 a share, with a bottom at $140 this April to follow its mid-February highs above $205, offering a nice reward/risk profile of 1.6:1. This is now a prominent ratio even for the attractive semiconductors equipment industry, with room for growth of approximately 25% upwards. Even the downtrend line readings, if plotted for the entire downward correction since early November 2024, are at almost $195 per share, which is about $30 per share from today's opening price.

When analysts pressed CEO Haviv Ilan on whether customers may be stockpiling chips ahead of higher levies barriers, his answer was "I would guess that at times like this, when there is a little bit of anxiety, do you want to have a little bit more inventory on your shelves?" He believes that customer inventories are "at low levels across all end markets" while "the industrial market increased upper single digits after seven consecutive quarters of sequential decline" and the automotive market also "increased low single digits" to offset mid-teens decline in the personal electronics segment. "We are in an up cycle... there is nothing I would call specifically versus Q1 other than the continued strength in industrial... The industrial signal is now, I would say, probably five months or so... I don’t see right now at least any slowdown there", Haviv Ilan, when answering a clarifying question. His business typically gets nearly a fifth of its total sales from China, so that it could be potentially exposed to tit-for-tat tariff battle between Beijing and Washington, but the company is relying on its fabrication facility based in China if needed, Ilan added. This may help Texas Instruments to properly address China's domestic demand in case of high import levies for US-rooted chips when brought in China.

With a market cap above $135 billion, Texas Instruments not only reported much better-than-expected earnings per share for the first three months of 2025, hitting $1.28 vs the average analyst estimate of $1.06 (i.e. beating forecast by 20.75%) on quarterly revenue reaching $4.1 billion instead of $3.91 billion in consensus opinion, but also projected its Q2 profit between $1.21 and $1.47, on revenue between $4.17 billion and $4.53 billion, compared with analyst pool’s $4.10 billion. The company's CEOs marked robust demand on analogue chips to keep a strong competitive position, including China's market, a moderate level of debt but strong liquidity with a current ratio of 4.12. During the earnings call, questions were raised, of course, to know more about potential tariff impacts and Texas Instruments’ potential of adjusting its supply chain because of this challenge, but the company's management reassured that flexible manufacturing allows quick adjustments to minimize immediate tariff damage, at least.

As Haviv Ilan said on Wednesday, they "spent some time looking at previous events, including the global financial crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic... while no two scenarios are identical, these recent examples help inform our decisions as we prepare for a range of market scenarios", so that Texas Instruments "will adapt and succeed in a world that is ever changing". Well, as a very adoptable investor, I too will likely try to adapt and thrive in the rapidly changing market dynamics and will be willing to buy this stock happily if the high prices are sustained and not wasted by this week's close.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Coin 98 Is Likely to Bounce off $0.0500

Coin 98 (CNE) is up 5.0% this week to $0.0583, underperforming the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has gained 8.6% to $92,238. While the crypto space remains in rally mode, momentum has paused slightly following Bitcoin's breakout above the critical $90,000–92,000 resistance. The move to $94,618, driven by easing U.S.-China trade tensions, is now being tested. A successful retest would likely renew bullish momentum, supporting further gains across altcoins.

CNE, however, is showing relative weakness. It’s hovering near key support at $0.0500, a level that has historically provided a floor but offers little cushion should prices fall further. The lack of strong support below this threshold is concerning, though it may also signal the formation of a bottom if the token stabilises here.

The Coin 98 community remains on alert amid concerns surrounding the DeFusion sell-off between April 24–25. However, there is no current indication that this event will materially impact CNE prices. For now, holding above the $0.0500 level remains critical.

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It’s Never a Dull Moment With Tesla

Tesla stock is picking up steam, adding nearly 12% over the past 24 hours. A 4.6% gain on growing hopes before the EV maker's quarterly earnings and web call during the regular session on April 22, was followed by over 7% more in the afterhours and pre-market trading the next Wall Street morning, to touch $255 per share. However, this still leaves 22% headroom for a further highly likely upside move, even if we measure the potential by the modest standards of Reuters' average expert estimates of $311 only the day before, while targets in the $400+ range seem more realistic, even abandoning claims for re-testing historical peaks around $480, which were on the table before a general correction in tech assets.

The market crowd responded enthusiastically despite a nominal miss on both the top and bottom lines after electric car sales dropped as much as 20% QoQ vs the same period a year ago. Tesla's EPS (earnings per share) from January to March was $0.27 on revenue of $19.34 billion, while analyst pool "officially" anticipated EPS of $0.42 per share on revenue of $21.4 billion. The main point was that the numbers were substantially better than deep-end estimates, based on irrational fears.

Concerns around brand damage lessened when Tesla CEO Elon Musk commented on a web call that he would cut back his occupation in the so-called Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, as a close adviser to U.S. president Donald Trump. DOGE was designed "in addressing waste and fraud" to downsize the federal government but also caused a backlash to Musk's business interests sometimes, when Tesla cars encountered widespread vandalism at its showrooms, slowing normal sales. "If the ship of America goes down, we all go down with it, including Tesla and everyone else. So I think this is critical work... Those who were receiving the wasteful dollars and the fortunate dollars will try to attack me and [the] Doge team and anything associated with me... the protests that you’ll see out there, they’re very organized. They’re paid for...", Musk said, adding that his time with DOGE will "drop significantly" in the coming months. So, he is going to spend just a day or two per week on government matters "to make sure that the waste and fraud that we stop does not come roaring back" during the remainder of the president’s term, yet being more focused on Tesla "probably in next month, May". Starting next month, Musk would be "allocating far more of my time to Tesla", now that "the major work of establishing the Department of Government Efficiency is done". Many breathed a sigh of relief at these words, so that Tesla share price immediately began to move confidently upwards.

Tesla's founding father also verbally reassured the doubters: "At Tesla, we’ve gone through many crises over the years and actually been through many near death experiences... We’re probably on the ragged edge of death at least on maybe a dozen times. It’s been so many times. This is not one of those times. We’re not on the ragged edge of death. Not even close". Still, we would pay more attention to strategic announcement on product innovation and market expansion, like launching Tesla's Robotaxi in Austin, Texas, as early as in June, related to targeting millions of FSD (full self-driving) autonomous vehicles by the second half of 2025 "at scale at low cost" and 1 million Optimus humanoid robots annually by 2029. Tesla expects to have "thousands" of these Optimus robots working in Tesla factories by the end of 2025. Further localizing supply chains on the continent in which the car is built and would be sold, in both America, Europe, and Asia, is another top priority to remain the least affected car company with respect to tariffs. Musk will continue "to advocate for lower tariffs rather than higher tariffs", even though "this decision is fundamentally up to the elected representative of the people being the president of The United States".

Besides, Tesla's energy business is doing well, with the Megapack system buffering the energy at night to enable utility companies, which are buying the system to output far more total energy than would otherwise be the case. Tesla said many orders in the hopper for gigawatt and beyond batteries, but the exact number was not named, Musk only mentioned that the stationary energy storage business would scale ultimately "to terawatts per year".

In terms of robotaxis, the whole system should ultimately work in a way where a customer can pay rides fully autonomously with no one else in the car in one city, which later becomes a very scalable thing in other places. What is important, the "prosperity" of autonomous rides "move the financial needle in a significant way" is going to take effect in a material way "around the middle of next year", according to a web call transcript. That's probably why Musk also mentioned some sort of bumps and potholes of Tesla's road "immediately ahead of us", but keeping his gaze "to the bright shining, you know, sort of down on a hill". As for more precise growth figures, here's another helpful quote from Musk that sheds some light on the matter: "It’s difficult to predict the exact ramp sort of week by week and month by month, except that it will ramp up very quickly. So it’s gonna be like some basically an “S” curve where it’s very difficult to predict the intermediate slope of the s curve, but you kinda know where the s curve is gonna end up, which is the vast majority of the Tesla fleet being autonomous". You won’t find more specifics in the entire transcript.

In our view, this could mean in practice that the annual low for Tesla's stock price has probably passed, with higher peaks ahead: well above $300, but possibly below $400 for a while and bouts of increased volatility in this midterm journey as it happened many times with Tesla stock before. What Tesla has also managed to do over Q1 2025, and what can be called an outstanding achievement, which at the same time explains some decline in business for a while, was updating all its factories in the world for producing its best-selling and rather affordable car, Model Y. And this could also point to a fast increase in sales volumes soon. Well, "it’s never a dull moment these days", but "every day is gonna be exciting", according to Elon Musk, and it's hard to disagree with him at least in this matter.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Ripple Is Catching Up with the Broader Crypto Market

Ripple (XRP) is up 9.1% this week to $2.2632, slightly underperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) has surged by 11% to $94,204. The rally is fuelled by improving macroeconomic sentiment and bullish technical signals across the sector.

Bitcoin's breakout followed a shift in tone from U.S. President Donald Trump, who hinted at reducing the steep 145% tariffs on Chinese imports, stating they would “come down substantially, but it won’t be zero.” This softening stance is seen as an effort to re-engage China in trade talks, calming investor nerves. Trump also scaled back his criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, confirming he had “no intention” of removing him despite recent tensions.

These signals have triggered a wave of optimism in financial markets, particularly in crypto. Bitcoin’s decisive move above the $90,000–92,000 resistance zone marks a critical technical breakthrough. If the price holds above this level, it would open the path to a potential surge towards $150,000–200,000.

XRP is benefiting from this positive momentum. In addition to broader market gains, XRP is drawing strength from growing speculation that a spot XRP-ETF could be approved soon. These expectations are helping drive the token toward the key resistance at $2.5000. If confirmed, the ETF approval could serve as a significant catalyst for further upside.

 

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