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23.01.2025
Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

14.01.2025
Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

14.01.2025
Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

09.01.2025
VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

16.01.2025
Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

Berkshire's Trip to Cash and Japan

Berkshire Hathaway, the holding company founded years ago by the "Oracle of Omaha", legendary Warren Buffett, has once again reset its all-time high. Berkshire's stock price has broken historical records as much as three times during this month, while the broad S&P 500 barometer of Wall Street, as well as the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, continued to plummet. A remarkable reference, Buffett company's market caps has increased by more than 50,000% over the past 40 years, significantly outpacing the growth of American and global benchmarks.

He was one of the first buyers of a huge stake in Apple Co, which at some point reached almost 30% of his portfolio, and he was right, but then he began to reduce this share when others were still increasing it. Time has proven right about the further slowdown of Apple's growth in favour of other companies. Buffett has also made headlines from his selling spree before the market corrections started, as Berkshire substantially raised its cash position to over $325 billion as dry powder, and these are just two examples. When Warren Buffett speaks, the market listens.

According to his firm's recent filings, Berkshire decided to increase its share in Japanese stocks. While many investment flows have been replaced out of America, and many traders have been making and discussing purchases of valuable assets in Europe, the indices of the Old World may also be close to peaking values, which is probably not the case in Asia. And when talking about Asia, it's not necessary to think only of heavily regulated China. The iShares MSCI Japan ETF outperformed U.S. indices in mid-March, trading up 6% vs the S&P 500, which is down nearly 3.5% year-to-date.

In particular, Berkshire Hathaway’s subsidiary in Japan, National Indemnity Company, raised its stakes in five of the country's largest trading houses to just below the 10% threshold. Official filings disclosed raising stakes of: Mitsui & Co., Ltd. (increased from 8.09% to 9.82% last month), Mitsubishi Corp. (increased from 8.31% to 9.67%), Sumitomo Corp. (increased from 8.23% to 9.29%), Itochu Corp. (increased from 7.47% to 8.53%), Marubeni Corp. (increase from 8.3% to 9.3%). However, the shares of stocks in certain companies can change dynamically, and the watching crowd will always learn about this after the fact. Investing directly in Berkshire shares seems a more reasonable decision than trying to copy-paste its activities across all markets and continents, which is most likely an impossible task.

Finally, let's just mention here one fundamental principle of Buffett, which apparently is useful for everyone to follow: when we buy a specific stock, we think of it as if we were buying an entire business, which allows us to think like a businessmen, instead of thinking of ourselves as stock speculators. But this does not mean that such a principle would not allow us to earn like speculators in the end.

1744
Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Dash Is Likely to Rebound

Dash (DSH) is down 1.2% this week to $22.95, closely mirroring the broader market, where Bitcoin (BTC) remains neutral. Market sentiment worsened after Donald Trump announced tariffs on imported cars and auto parts, alongside reciprocal tariffs on global trade starting April 2. These developments have intensified pressure on risky assets, counteracting the Federal Reserve’s monetary easing efforts.

DSH tested support at $22.00 in early March, rebounding to $25.20 before retreating again. Historically, this level has triggered strong upward moves over the past two years, suggesting it could hold once more. If support remains intact, Dash may be poised for a rally toward $40.00.

1744
B
Tesla's Chinese Rival Is on the Wing

With so much attention being paid to Tesla stock a couple of days before, as this Elon Musk's brainchild has just begun to take off after a lasting correction phase, it's high time to look back at Tesla's main Chinese competitor, also involved in the EV and battery business, the BYD Corporation. Besides automobiles and related products, another widely known segment of its activity is production of mobile handset components. If so, it's a well-diversified business. And its stock price, unlike Tesla, reached a fresh historical high on March 20, putting its icing on a 65% growth cake since the beginning of the year. That's impressive, but doesn't promise a long stop on an ascending road.

A small pullback from 426 HKD to just below 400 HKD (all price levels here are from the Hong Kong exchange) has already sparked interest in new purchases, following a clearly bullish earnings release this Monday. In terms of U.S.-listed BYD ADR assets, the company generated $1.42 per share vs the market consensus estimate of $1.09, on record sales of $37.84 billion in the U.S. currency. On March 27 BYD ADR assets added another 2.5% at the Wall St opening, totally unaffected by President Trump's announced plan tonight to implement 25% tariffs on all imported cars and light trucks. The decision is effective next week and put the suffering General Motors (GM) stock sliding more than 6% down, while both Ford (F) and Stellantis (STLA) lost nearly 3%. It is obvious that the American market is not yet an important target niche for BYD, which is reflected in the comparative market dynamics in its favour.

Meanwhile, in the China region, the company is promoting ultra-fast charging capabilities and, including a nationwide charging network of over 4,000 units in mainland China. BYD just unveiled its "super e-platform" with a 1,000-volt architecture, so that it becomes possible to reach its maximum charging speeds up to 1,000 kilowatts to grant its EV cars approximately 400 kilometres of range with just a five-minute charge. A game changing project starts by early April with the first batch of about 500 charging units, which was exactly the reason behind this new upside wave in BYD stock. BYD strongly relies on plug-in hybrids for sales, but increased its efforts in the EV area to compete with Tesla for dominance in Asian markets. For me, both Tesla stock and BYD stock will grow faster in the nearest two or three months, with the next target price for BYD holding well above 450 HKD per share.

1829
Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Ethereum Is under Pressure

Ethereum (ETH) is up 1.8% this week to $2,022, lagging behind the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) is rising by 2.6% to $87,403. ETH briefly hit $2,102 on Monday, boosted by optimism surrounding Donald Trump’s tariff policy. However, market sentiment shifted sharply on Wednesday after Trump announced a 25% tariff on U.S. car and auto parts imports, triggering a broad pullback.

Additional pressure on ETH comes from internal challenges related to the troubled Pectra update, which was activated on the Holesky testnet. While these issues are expected to be resolved, they have added to the headwinds facing Ethereum in the near term.

1811
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