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14.01.2025
Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

14.01.2025
Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

16.01.2025
Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

23.01.2025
Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

09.01.2025
VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Cardano Has a Strong Upside Momentum

Cardano (ADA) is trading neutral at $0.7215 this week, slightly underperforming the broader market, where Bitcoin (BTC) is up 1.5% to $82,381. The token faces additional pressure following the SEC's decision to delay its ruling on an ADA-ETF until May 29. While this news has minimal impact in a rising market, it weighs heavily on ADA during corrections.

Despite this, Cardano's technical outlook remains strong. The token recently dipped below the $0.8000 support level and could decline further to $0.6000, presenting potential buying opportunities. ADA has proven its resilience, and its inclusion in discussions about a Federal crypto reserve adds fundamental support to its long-term prospects.

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A Higher Jump of Intel: Episode III

Intel Corp's share jump to $27.55 in mid-February turned out to be short-lived and was replaced by a retest of the technical support area around $20 in early March. However, investors in Intel have new hope after a nearly 13% spike well above $23 per share during the pre-market trading activity on March 13. In order not to rush to further mid-term conclusions, now we just need to wait until at least the end of the current week, and better yet, the dynamics of the first two days following the weekend. However, the reason for higher excitement this time seems worth attention.

A joint venture to operate Intel’s business in the United States is ultimately formed, according to Reuters sources, with a deal struck by the wide pool of great chip makers, led by Taiwan Semiconductor, with all grands including NVIDIA, AMD, Broadcom participating as Intel’s biggest potential manufacturing customers and Qualcomm "being approached". Joint venture drive for additional income and rising U.S. market share is clear but talks are still in an early stage. The only thing that looked known was that Trump's White House administration allegedly approached the Taiwan-rooted company to help rescue Intel. Such news looks more than plausible, considering Intel was suffering from technology gaps in the face of the AI chip domination. Intel missed the revolution in GPUs (graphic processing units). Republicans are ambitious for not to come to terms with Intel's loss-making factories which they consider as a national treasure. Therefore, making more efforts for a spin-off of Intel's foundry units is a reasonable step.

Another sign of a possible sanitation is Lip-Bu Tan's fresh appointment as Intel's head at this supposedly pivotal moment. To give you a small background, Lip-BuTan is a 65 yo Malaysian-born executive who grew up in Singapore, holding degrees in both physics and nuclear engineering. He initially joined Intel's board in 2022, and he led a chip design software company named Cadence before that. Cadence was among Intel's suppliers for more than a decade. Cadence stock actually climbed over 4,000% under his direct guidance. However, he had to quit Intel's board in summer 2024 due to reported disagreements with Intel's former CEO's Gelsinger's plans, as Tan got frustrated by Intel’s risk-averse and bureaucratic culture. When Gelsinger took the reins four years ago, Intel stock was trading above $60, but times are changing.

In early March, TSMC officially said at a press event with Trump that it plans to make a $100 billion investment to build five additional chip facilities in the U.S. Trump has yet to approve TSMC's proposal, but the same sources said the U.S. President is going to allow TSMC to operate former Intel’s factories under the condition that TSMC will not own more than 50% in the joint venture. Help is on the way. If so, Intel's comeback is somewhere around the corner, even though any real business transformation would take years, so that the crowd of investors should be patient anyway.

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Adobe Breaks Out of Rising Sentiment Again

Markets just got indulged into a renewed scepticism about the proper, or quick enough, speed of monetization for artificial intelligence (AI) features developed by Photoshop creator Adobe. For the previous quarter, Adobe actually sold $5.71 million worth of its services, beating estimates of $5.66 billion. This was a record achievement for the entire existence of Adobe's business, but performed only 1.8% better quarter-on-quarter and 10% higher year-on-year. Consensus earnings were beaten by even a wider margin, as the company earned $5.08 per share, compared with estimates of $4.97 per share and against $4.81 in the previous quarter (+5.6%) and $4.48 in the same period one year ago (+13.4%). However, the crowd, spoiled by the overall AI segment success, is no longer satisfied with these current Adobe growth numbers and is thirsty for more. Recent weeks' pullback in tech stocks played, of course, its role in the negative reaction to the report, which was compounded by Adobe's relatively modest forecast for the rest of the year.

Thus, shares of the company lost almost 5% in the extended trading this Wednesday, March 12, following Adobe's current quarter's revenue projection, set between $5.77 billion and $5.82 billion, even though this clearly continued an uptrend in sales and was basically in line with Wall St analyst pool's numbers, according to data compiled by LSEG. The last wave of the rising market sentiment in Adobe started exactly two months ago, on January 13, when the stock bounced from its 18-month local dips below $404 per share to reach the levels above $465 in mid-February. AThen the growth potential became exhausted, and now it was not restored by the reaffirming statement from Adobe management on its annual revenue forecast as the company is "well positioned to capitalize on the acceleration of the creative economy driven by AI".

Annual "recurring revenue" for Adobe’s "AI and add-on offerings" was $125 million only, as its CFO Dan Durn expects it may double in the next three quarters, which was not enough for the crowd's satisfaction. People want even higher sales numbers instead of eloquence, and are willing to postpone the next wave of Adobe's rally until better times. A return to the major technical support around $400 looks quite possible, as does a slide even somewhat lower for a while. Yet, a move to the average analyst target around $560 promised 27.7% of potential income even before the overnight decline began, and it could give even more to patient investors who are going to wait for lower levels to pick up the stock which is still cheapening. Tough competition from newly born startups is here, but for me, Adobe looks stronger than most newcomers.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Maker Is Setting Stage for an Upside

Maker (MKR) is down 6.2% this week to $1,120, underperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) has gained 1.6% to $83,261. MKR surged by 39.6% to $1,599 in February, fuelled by strong market activity. Whale Alert recently reported a significant burn of MKR worth $156.7 million, a bold move that temporarily pushed prices above key resistance levels. However, a proper retest of the $1,000 support is necessary to confirm stability. If this level holds, the bullish scenario could regain momentum, making further upside the likely outcome.

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