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24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

11.01.2023
Advanced Crypto Assets: dYdX

DYDX tokens suffered a lot during the ongoing market correction and lost over 95% off their peak prices. dYdX is an advanced decentralised exchange, where clients can exchange cryptocurrencies and derivatives with marginal collateral. There are no KYC procedures to be followed within the exchange, as well as no need to disclose your personal data.

dYdX is runs on the Ethereum blockchain, known for its expensive transaction fees. However, StarkWare solution allows for lower fees as only commissions for trading are charged. The platform now runs on Layer 2 protocol which is incorporated into Ethereum’s  main network. This solution allows for transactions to be conducted instantly, while traders do not have to pay miners for validating transactions.

Market players are closely monitoring the dYdX V4 vehicle, which is  a standalone Cosmos blockchain, featuring a fully decentralised, off-chain, orderbook and matching engine. In other words, developers are going to create the entire trading infrastructure to scale up processes without involving any third-party applications. The service  cancelled two stimulus programs in order to lessen the effects of inflation within the dYdX platform and to support token prices.

15.12.2022
Three Undervalued Value Stocks: Costco

Costco Wholesale Corporation has presented quite disappointing earnings report for the Fiscal Q1 2023. Revenues were reported up 8.1% year-on-year to $54.44 billion missing expectations of $54.65 billion. This is obviously not the reason for long-term investors to remove COST stocks from their portfolios as the company is set to maintain strong financial discipline and cost structure, not to stimulate high growth in the short term at any cost.

The operational margin in financial Q1 2022 was at 3.4%, and in Q1 2023 it was 3.2%. Costco is aiming to provide the most reasonable prices on their products to keep their clients loyal. That is why the operational margin is suffering. Meanwhile, EPS was up by 4.4% to $3.1, and membership fees rose by 6% year-on-year. So, the strategy seems to be buying itself.

Inflation in the United States is expected to return under control over the next year. So, there will be no need to deliver various marketing activities like coupon sales and others while loyal clients will be grateful for the support during the period of uncertainty. Costco is planning to open 24 new stores in 2023, increasing its potential to generate revenues.

06.10.2022
Top 3 Financial Stocks: CME Group

CME Group is the largest market place for derivatives. CME stocks dropped by 25% from the beginning of 2022. The only reason for such a decline is the overall market correction and not any business issues. High volatility is a benefit for the company as it offers the most important derivatives to mitigate financial risks. Among those are the most popular S&P 500 index futures and other indexes linked to derivatives, agricultural products, gold, silver, and crude derivatives. So, the company continues to receive decent profit that allows for the payment of high dividends to its investors.

Free Cash Flow (FCF) of the company in 2022 is expected to hit $2.8 billion. CME is improving its efficiency as every Dollar received in 2021 was converted into $0.48 of FCF, while this year this figure is expected to rise to $0.55, and in 2023 to $0.57. Regular annual dividends is at $4 or 2.3% of share value. CME is also paying interim dividends. By doing so, it paid $3.6 regular dividend and $3.25 interim dividends in 2021, or $6.85 per share, slightly above FCF per share at $6.77.

CME has a solid business model and sound financials without substantial debt. These facts allow the management to take more care of the company’s shareholders. The current overall downside configuration offers great opportunities for investors to add CME stocks to their long-term investment portfolios.

Top-7 Anti-crisis Stocks at Wall Street: Netflix

Both of the two world's most popular streaming services mentioned above, Netflix and Disney+, deserve their places among this set of successful and fast growing businesses, at least for better balance of risks and potential profits. Netflix stocks already lost more than half of its record value of $700 per share, reached in November 2021. However, the main reason was a logically irrational but fast downward movement in January after the company collected the maximum revenue of $7.7 billion in its history but failed to please the public by the number of new subscribers. Just in one night, the capitalization of Netflix sank more than 20%, as the streaming service added 8.28 million new customers from October to December, but estimated it would be able to attract "only" 2.5 million subscribers for the next three-months period. For some reasons, polls showed average expectations of more than twice better prognoses of about 5.9 million subscribers expected in the first quarter of 2022. It would be strange to keep such a high pace after a prosperous Christmas season, plus in conditions when no more corona lockdowns were awaited. 

Further bearish moves continued to develop mostly under its own inertia. However, as soon as there would be the first signs of a comeback start in Netflix shares, with its new season of "The Witcher" and other premiere events, the prospect of a great profitable return here may cause a huge interest in this asset. Sales of Netflix for the first two quarters of pandemic 2020 was $5.77 billion and $6.15 billion, respectively, and each of them was much lower than last figures of $7.71 billion. The formal profit of business now is lower but exclusively thanks to the costs of creating new attractive shows. So, it all works to bring and keep customers from all over the world. Netflix picked up more than 36 million subscribers in 2020 plus 18.2 million more in 2021. Most of them are loyal Netflix customers. So, even if each quarter of 2022 brings 2.5 million newcomers, then on average it could potentially give about 10 millions, which looks quite a normal result to justify the potential comeback in price. 

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Artificial Intelligence and Air Transport: C3.ai

C3.ai stocks lost nearly 90% of their peak prices of 2021. The large AI software provider’s stock prices are now less than 50% of the IPO price. It seems that the time for buying C3.ai stocks for long-term investments has now arrived. For the fiscal Q4 2022 that ended April 30 revenues rose by 38% year-on-year to $72.3 million, while the number of clients increased by 48% to 223. The company has reached agreements with large corporates like PwC, Ernst & Young, and Accenture.

The company previously focused on oil & gas and industrial corporations, but is now expanding further to financials, healthcare, and other sectors. Oil and Gas client bookings increased by 95%, while other sectors increased by 116%. The company is the most famous in its niche, so it is a clear choice for any corporation that wants to improve the automation of its operations.

AI Enterprise value is at $978 million while revenues for the fiscal year of 2023 are expected at $316 million, making forward EV/S (enterprise value to sales) at 3, which is a very low ratio for a company with such huge potential. C2.ai has recently received FedRAMP status that allows the company to deliver its solutions to U.S. Federal Government entities with large budgets.

The price of AI stocks may reach $50 after market sentiment changes to positive.

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