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12.05.2022
Perspective ETFs in the ESG energy segment: Invesco Global Clean Energy Portfolio ETF

This ETF invests in green energy ventures. The pandemic led to a 300% increase of its share price. But since the beginning of 2022 they have lost 30%, twice as much as the S&P 500 SPY ETF. The net capital which has outflown from the Fund has reached $31.5 billion over the last 12 months, while the major outflow was recorded in December 2021. However, its shares are still seen to be overbought as P/E multiplier is at 24 that is well above the average of 20 for the EFT’s that are linked to the S&P 500, while the dividend yields are above PBD’s numbers.

Inflation in the United States is rising negatively affecting all shares with a high P/E ratio. So, we may expect a further decline of the PBD share price and other similar assets that cannot be protected from rising risks. Traditional energies are looking more attractive on this background and could be a perfect hedge asset amidst geopolitical uncertainties. 

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

15.09.2022
Safe Haven Assets for Long-Term Investments: Broadcom

Broadcom is an American semiconductor and infrastructure software development company. Soon it is expected to close a merger deal with VMware, a cloud computing and visualization company, that will open new cross-sales opportunities for Broadcom to boost its revenues. Broadcom stocks are now 25% off their peak values.

According to the Q3 FY 2022 financial report that ended July 31, consolidated revenues grew by 25% year-over-year to $8.46 billion, and EPS went up by 40% to $9.73 per share. The semiconductors segment, that added 32% year-over-year, was the primary driver for the company’s profit. The company’s free cash flows (FCF) topped $4.3 billion, allowing it to spend $1.7 billion on dividends and 1.5 billion on the shares repurchase program. The company is planning to continue spending at least 50% of FCF on dividends that added 43% every year on average since 2016. 

According to the Q4 FY 2022 forward guidance, the company is expecting its revenues to go up by 20% year-over-year to $8.9 billion and for EDITDA to go up by 25% to $5.6 billion. Broadcom has great experience in expanding its product portfolio by M&A operations, and apparently it will continue on this way. The company is also expected to benefit greatly from the $52.7 billion CHIPS bill in the United States.


26.11.2024
Meta Could Score 18% in the Next Few Months

Meta Platforms (META), the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, has been trading sideways within the $550-600 range since late September, underperforming the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, which has gained 6.0% during the same period.

While META shares remain within an ascending channel, they are currently resting at the support of the uptrend. Historically, each time the stock reached this level, it rebounded upwards by 15-18%. Consequently, the share price is likely to rise to $650-670 over the coming months. I plan to open a long trade at $550-570, targeting a potential upside of $185. A stop-loss could be placed below recent lows at $480.

12.04.2024
CarMax Is More Committed to Innovations But Market Conditions Make It Sinking

CarMax (KMX) quarterly report came out on April 11, vividly displaying why any immediate investment into the used car market still sounds like not a good idea. The stock quickly lost ground, wasting a double-digit number of percentage points as a response to its net income drop to $0.32 per share against $0.44 cents per share a year ago, also compared to much stronger $0.52, $0.75 and $1.44 per share in the previous three quarters. Analyst polls estimated a net income per share at about $0.50, which would be 56% better than the reality.

This almost looks like a financial fiasco in the company's efforts to withstand slowing demand in the segment. CarMax Q4 2023 revenue decreased by 1.7% to $5.6 billion, slightly below consensus expectations of $5.8 billion, indicating the lack of gross marginality of the business. This happened even though the total supply of unsold used vehicles on dealer lots grew by 9% YoY to 2.27 million units in March, according to Cox Automotive data. CarMax CEOs delayed their own goal of selling over 2 million units annually, when measuring combined retail and wholesale actions, to between 2026 and 2030, from its prior target of 2026.

A "higher-for-longer" Fed fund rates is demonstrably bad for car sales volumes, be it new generation Tesla cars or just pre-owned vehicles, while operating costs for warehouses are growing. Besides, easing some semiconductor constraints in North America may help marginally improving orders for new cars, leaving used-car sales under the same pressure. Meanwhile, the entrance of Asia players offered significant discounts. Therefore, North American and European operators of the used car market need to sell many great cars at cheaper prices. CarMax already posted its official warning of a potential "hit to profit-sharing revenue" due to inflationary impact to its partners, before last Christmas. "While affordability of used cars remains the challenge for consumers, pricing improved during the quarter," Enrique Mayor-Mora, executive vice president and CFO admitted.

It was only a smaller division of CarMax Auto Finance, which managed to get a 19% better income due to "a lower provision for loan losses" and an increase in average managed receivables. Yet, this was rather news from the side business, which was clearly not enough to be optimistic. The company added that it is now focused on enhancing its omni-channel experience and leveraging data science and automation. Carmax said it delivered "strong retail and wholesale" graphic processors, which helped to increase "used saleable inventory units" more than 10%, but used total inventory units was unchanged despite innovations. The company seeks to achieve efficiency improvements in its core operations, believing that they "are well-positioned to drive growth as the market turns", according to Enrique Mayor-Mora. This may be useful to strengthen competitiveness in better times for the segment. Yet, the current challenges are too heavy to be ignored by market crowds.

Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
ETC Has Solid Chances to Rise Above $20.00

Ethereum Classic (ETC) is up by 2.05% this week, reaching $19.15, closely tracking Bitcoin's (BTC) 1.8% gain to $60,444. As ETC approaches strong resistance at $20.00, it appears to be making its second attempt to break this threshold, with the first effort recorded on August 9. This time, the push upward seems more robust and less hesitant. However, the upside effort is currently constrained by the average of the descending channel.

A successful breakthrough at this level could be promising, potentially driving ETC prices to $25.00 per altcoin. The recent Spiral upgrade, aimed at enhancing Ethereum Classic's integration with the Ethereum Virtual Machine within the Ethereum Network, adds to the altcoin's positive outlook. With the ongoing recovery in the crypto market, Ethereum Classic has strong potential to rally further.

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Another Brick in the S&P 500 Recovery Wall

Growing payback of most exciting hypermarket chains in North America pleases the sight of investors, following another hot 1% jump in U.S. retail sales month-on-month in July. Lowe's, which is an operator of nearly 2,200 home improvement warehouses, freshly beat consensus estimates to post its EPS (earnings per share) of $4.10 for the quarter ended on August 2, while previous three quarters provided $3.06, $1.77 and $3.27 per share and average forecasts for the last quarter came out at $3.96. The fact that Lowe's sales fell short at $23.59 billion vs consensus estimate of $23.93 billion is not so much important at the moment, as the current number showed a 10.4% surplus QoQ and nearly 27% gain compared to $18.6 billion for the last Christmas quarter. Neither a challenging backdrop for homeowners with rather discretionary spending, nor unfavourable weather conditions to impact on seasonal and outdoor categories of items, prevented the company from delivering strong operating performance. Marvin Ellison, Lowe's Chairman, president and CEO, announced the company's own full-year expectation of total sales at $82.7 to $83.2 billion, down from its previous forecast of $84 to $85 billion, with adjusted EPS projections within a range between $11.70 and $11.90, slightly lower than Lowe's earlier forward guidance of $12.00 to $12.30. However, even some cutting in annual profit numbers did not push the Wall Street crowd to enter a sell-off mode for the stock.

Lowe's is trading around $244 per share on Tuesday's pre-market, which is about 0.5% higher than the closing price on Monday, August 19, also 7% higher than the local low detected one week ago and nearly 12% higher year-to-date, with more attempts to repeat all-time highs around $263 per share (December 2021 and March 2024) are on the table. After the great Walmart release just a few days before, this is another sectoral brick in the broader and seemingly inviolable S&P 500 recovery wall. More contributions from retail monsters including TJX and Target are scheduled for tomorrow morning on Wall Street.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
International Paper Is Breaking Up

International Paper (IP) stocks have shown a significant reversal from a two-year-long downtrend, breaking out in August 2023. The stock prices edged moderately higher by May 2024, but the last three months saw a sharp acceleration, with prices rising 35.0% to $47.50 per share in May. This upward momentum formed an ascending triangle pattern, a technical indicator suggesting a continuation of the rally. Prices attempted to break through the resistance of this triangle in mid-August, potentially paving the way for another 11-13% upside.

At the current levels of $46.00-47.50, buying IP stocks seems reasonable, with a target price set at $52.50-54.00. This target aligns with the triangle’s upside potential. A stop-loss could be strategically placed at $40.30 to protect against downside risks.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Ravencoin Should Make a Move by the End of the Week

Ravencoin (RVN) is down 1.9% to $0.01530 on Monday, performing slightly better than the broader market, with Bitcoin (BTC) down 2.6% to $58,050 this week. RVN is currently trading near a key support level at $0.01500, where downward pressure is limiting its potential recovery. However, RVN is nearing a critical point, where a decisive move is likely by the end of the week. Should the support at $0.01500 hold, RVN may rally towards $0.02000. Conversely, if the support fails, prices could further decline, possibly reaching $0.01000.

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