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12.05.2022
Perspective ETFs in the ESG energy segment: Invesco Global Clean Energy Portfolio ETF

This ETF invests in green energy ventures. The pandemic led to a 300% increase of its share price. But since the beginning of 2022 they have lost 30%, twice as much as the S&P 500 SPY ETF. The net capital which has outflown from the Fund has reached $31.5 billion over the last 12 months, while the major outflow was recorded in December 2021. However, its shares are still seen to be overbought as P/E multiplier is at 24 that is well above the average of 20 for the EFT’s that are linked to the S&P 500, while the dividend yields are above PBD’s numbers.

Inflation in the United States is rising negatively affecting all shares with a high P/E ratio. So, we may expect a further decline of the PBD share price and other similar assets that cannot be protected from rising risks. Traditional energies are looking more attractive on this background and could be a perfect hedge asset amidst geopolitical uncertainties. 

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

26.11.2024
Meta Could Score 18% in the Next Few Months

Meta Platforms (META), the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, has been trading sideways within the $550-600 range since late September, underperforming the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, which has gained 6.0% during the same period.

While META shares remain within an ascending channel, they are currently resting at the support of the uptrend. Historically, each time the stock reached this level, it rebounded upwards by 15-18%. Consequently, the share price is likely to rise to $650-670 over the coming months. I plan to open a long trade at $550-570, targeting a potential upside of $185. A stop-loss could be placed below recent lows at $480.

12.04.2024
CarMax Is More Committed to Innovations But Market Conditions Make It Sinking

CarMax (KMX) quarterly report came out on April 11, vividly displaying why any immediate investment into the used car market still sounds like not a good idea. The stock quickly lost ground, wasting a double-digit number of percentage points as a response to its net income drop to $0.32 per share against $0.44 cents per share a year ago, also compared to much stronger $0.52, $0.75 and $1.44 per share in the previous three quarters. Analyst polls estimated a net income per share at about $0.50, which would be 56% better than the reality.

This almost looks like a financial fiasco in the company's efforts to withstand slowing demand in the segment. CarMax Q4 2023 revenue decreased by 1.7% to $5.6 billion, slightly below consensus expectations of $5.8 billion, indicating the lack of gross marginality of the business. This happened even though the total supply of unsold used vehicles on dealer lots grew by 9% YoY to 2.27 million units in March, according to Cox Automotive data. CarMax CEOs delayed their own goal of selling over 2 million units annually, when measuring combined retail and wholesale actions, to between 2026 and 2030, from its prior target of 2026.

A "higher-for-longer" Fed fund rates is demonstrably bad for car sales volumes, be it new generation Tesla cars or just pre-owned vehicles, while operating costs for warehouses are growing. Besides, easing some semiconductor constraints in North America may help marginally improving orders for new cars, leaving used-car sales under the same pressure. Meanwhile, the entrance of Asia players offered significant discounts. Therefore, North American and European operators of the used car market need to sell many great cars at cheaper prices. CarMax already posted its official warning of a potential "hit to profit-sharing revenue" due to inflationary impact to its partners, before last Christmas. "While affordability of used cars remains the challenge for consumers, pricing improved during the quarter," Enrique Mayor-Mora, executive vice president and CFO admitted.

It was only a smaller division of CarMax Auto Finance, which managed to get a 19% better income due to "a lower provision for loan losses" and an increase in average managed receivables. Yet, this was rather news from the side business, which was clearly not enough to be optimistic. The company added that it is now focused on enhancing its omni-channel experience and leveraging data science and automation. Carmax said it delivered "strong retail and wholesale" graphic processors, which helped to increase "used saleable inventory units" more than 10%, but used total inventory units was unchanged despite innovations. The company seeks to achieve efficiency improvements in its core operations, believing that they "are well-positioned to drive growth as the market turns", according to Enrique Mayor-Mora. This may be useful to strengthen competitiveness in better times for the segment. Yet, the current challenges are too heavy to be ignored by market crowds.

15.09.2022
Safe Haven Assets for Long-Term Investments: Broadcom

Broadcom is an American semiconductor and infrastructure software development company. Soon it is expected to close a merger deal with VMware, a cloud computing and visualization company, that will open new cross-sales opportunities for Broadcom to boost its revenues. Broadcom stocks are now 25% off their peak values.

According to the Q3 FY 2022 financial report that ended July 31, consolidated revenues grew by 25% year-over-year to $8.46 billion, and EPS went up by 40% to $9.73 per share. The semiconductors segment, that added 32% year-over-year, was the primary driver for the company’s profit. The company’s free cash flows (FCF) topped $4.3 billion, allowing it to spend $1.7 billion on dividends and 1.5 billion on the shares repurchase program. The company is planning to continue spending at least 50% of FCF on dividends that added 43% every year on average since 2016. 

According to the Q4 FY 2022 forward guidance, the company is expecting its revenues to go up by 20% year-over-year to $8.9 billion and for EDITDA to go up by 25% to $5.6 billion. Broadcom has great experience in expanding its product portfolio by M&A operations, and apparently it will continue on this way. The company is also expected to benefit greatly from the $52.7 billion CHIPS bill in the United States.


A
Ripple is Ready for a Bullish Ride

Ripple (ZRP) is fully controlled by the bulls since July 13. The XRPUSD closed Tuesday in green zone adding 5.49%, and continues to follow the upside trend. The pair still has open interest from investors’ side.

I expect a downside correction of the pair amid contraction I trading volumes. So, it may drop to 0.7290-0.7360. This correction could open a good buy opportunity alongside a general bullish trend that has been established since June 14.

I would urge to use this opportunity to go long at 0.7290-0.7360 with a target at 0.8335 and stop loss at 0.7070.

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Ignorando il clamore del momento: Datadog

C'è ancora un alto grado di incertezza sui mercati e i dati macroeconomici buoni dell'economia statunitense indicano che ci può essere un aumento dei tassi. Allo stesso tempo, i futures sul tasso della Fed riflettono la sfiducia degli operatori in un ulteriore significativo inasprimento della politica monetaria. Dovrebbe essere chiaro che tutto ciò ha solo un impatto a breve termine sui prezzi delle azioni e, in termini a lungo termine, la situazione attuale non ha alcun ruolo.

Quindi è necessario concentrarsi sulle tendenze globali e sfruttare i momenti giusti per acquistare titoli promettenti durante correzioni (nel contesto della storia del mercato azionario). Chi non vorrebbe tornare indietro nel tempo e acquistare azioni durante il crollo del 2008 o del 2020?

Datadog, un servizio per il monitoraggio delle prestazioni dei sistemi IT interni, viene scambiato al 50% al di sotto dei livelli massimi, offrendo agli investitori una rara opportunità di acquistare un titolo che è salito quasi continuamente dall'IPO con un buon sconto. Negli ultimi due mesi, DDOG ha registrato un aumento significativo del prezzo a causa dell'entusiasmo per l'intelligenza artificiale, poiché la sua implementazione dovrebbe avere un impatto positivo sull'efficacia di Datadog. Tuttavia, c'è ancora spazio per un'ulteriore crescita.

L'azienda sta mostrando numeri eccezionali in termini di crescita dei profitti. Nel trimestre in esame, è aumentato del 33% su base annua a $481.7 milioni, ovvero $70 milioni in più rispetto alle previsioni di Wall Street. Anche il tasso di crescita dei clienti è impressionante. Il numero dei clienti è salito a 25.5 mila nel primo trimestre 2023 contro i 19.8mila di un anno fa. Allo stesso tempo, Datadog fa un ottimo lavoro con i clienti esistenti: l'81% di loro utilizza almeno due prodotti. Paga per quattro o più servizi - 43%. Per fare un confronto, un anno fa la quota di tali clienti era del 35%.

Alla fine del 2023, il management prevede una crescita dei profitti del 25% a $2.1 miliardi, che è abbastanza decente rispetto a molte altre società tecnologiche che stanno mostrando un leggero aumento dei profitti rispetto al periodo della pandemia. In altre parole, il titolo Datadog merita sicuramente un posto in un portafoglio di investimenti a lungo termine.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Let’s Go for a Short Ride with the EURUSD

This week was very enchanting for the EURUSD that surged by almost 2.5%in such a short period. The pair need more than 4 weeks to ride this much, and is now seen rolling back exhausted. It may continue to go up at some point, but now it is likely to deteriorate towards 1.10700-1.11000. I will certainly use this opportunity to go short on the EURUSD at 1.12300-1.12500 with the target at 1.10900. I have put the stop-loss at 1.13100 making the profit/loss ratio at two to one.

5082
Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Let’s Go for a Short Ride with the EURUSD

This week was very enchanting for the EURUSD that surged by almost 2.5%in such a short period. The pair need more than 4 weeks to ride this much, and is now seen rolling back exhausted. It may continue to go up at some point, but now it is likely to deteriorate towards 1.10700-1.11000. I will certainly use this opportunity to go short on the EURUSD at 1.12300-1.12500 with the target at 1.10900. I have put the stop-loss at 1.13100 making the profit/loss ratio at two to one.

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