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12.05.2022
Perspective ETFs in the ESG energy segment: Invesco Global Clean Energy Portfolio ETF

This ETF invests in green energy ventures. The pandemic led to a 300% increase of its share price. But since the beginning of 2022 they have lost 30%, twice as much as the S&P 500 SPY ETF. The net capital which has outflown from the Fund has reached $31.5 billion over the last 12 months, while the major outflow was recorded in December 2021. However, its shares are still seen to be overbought as P/E multiplier is at 24 that is well above the average of 20 for the EFT’s that are linked to the S&P 500, while the dividend yields are above PBD’s numbers.

Inflation in the United States is rising negatively affecting all shares with a high P/E ratio. So, we may expect a further decline of the PBD share price and other similar assets that cannot be protected from rising risks. Traditional energies are looking more attractive on this background and could be a perfect hedge asset amidst geopolitical uncertainties. 

26.11.2024
Meta Could Score 18% in the Next Few Months

Meta Platforms (META), the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, has been trading sideways within the $550-600 range since late September, underperforming the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, which has gained 6.0% during the same period.

While META shares remain within an ascending channel, they are currently resting at the support of the uptrend. Historically, each time the stock reached this level, it rebounded upwards by 15-18%. Consequently, the share price is likely to rise to $650-670 over the coming months. I plan to open a long trade at $550-570, targeting a potential upside of $185. A stop-loss could be placed below recent lows at $480.

11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

12.04.2024
CarMax Is More Committed to Innovations But Market Conditions Make It Sinking

CarMax (KMX) quarterly report came out on April 11, vividly displaying why any immediate investment into the used car market still sounds like not a good idea. The stock quickly lost ground, wasting a double-digit number of percentage points as a response to its net income drop to $0.32 per share against $0.44 cents per share a year ago, also compared to much stronger $0.52, $0.75 and $1.44 per share in the previous three quarters. Analyst polls estimated a net income per share at about $0.50, which would be 56% better than the reality.

This almost looks like a financial fiasco in the company's efforts to withstand slowing demand in the segment. CarMax Q4 2023 revenue decreased by 1.7% to $5.6 billion, slightly below consensus expectations of $5.8 billion, indicating the lack of gross marginality of the business. This happened even though the total supply of unsold used vehicles on dealer lots grew by 9% YoY to 2.27 million units in March, according to Cox Automotive data. CarMax CEOs delayed their own goal of selling over 2 million units annually, when measuring combined retail and wholesale actions, to between 2026 and 2030, from its prior target of 2026.

A "higher-for-longer" Fed fund rates is demonstrably bad for car sales volumes, be it new generation Tesla cars or just pre-owned vehicles, while operating costs for warehouses are growing. Besides, easing some semiconductor constraints in North America may help marginally improving orders for new cars, leaving used-car sales under the same pressure. Meanwhile, the entrance of Asia players offered significant discounts. Therefore, North American and European operators of the used car market need to sell many great cars at cheaper prices. CarMax already posted its official warning of a potential "hit to profit-sharing revenue" due to inflationary impact to its partners, before last Christmas. "While affordability of used cars remains the challenge for consumers, pricing improved during the quarter," Enrique Mayor-Mora, executive vice president and CFO admitted.

It was only a smaller division of CarMax Auto Finance, which managed to get a 19% better income due to "a lower provision for loan losses" and an increase in average managed receivables. Yet, this was rather news from the side business, which was clearly not enough to be optimistic. The company added that it is now focused on enhancing its omni-channel experience and leveraging data science and automation. Carmax said it delivered "strong retail and wholesale" graphic processors, which helped to increase "used saleable inventory units" more than 10%, but used total inventory units was unchanged despite innovations. The company seeks to achieve efficiency improvements in its core operations, believing that they "are well-positioned to drive growth as the market turns", according to Enrique Mayor-Mora. This may be useful to strengthen competitiveness in better times for the segment. Yet, the current challenges are too heavy to be ignored by market crowds.

15.09.2022
Safe Haven Assets for Long-Term Investments: Broadcom

Broadcom is an American semiconductor and infrastructure software development company. Soon it is expected to close a merger deal with VMware, a cloud computing and visualization company, that will open new cross-sales opportunities for Broadcom to boost its revenues. Broadcom stocks are now 25% off their peak values.

According to the Q3 FY 2022 financial report that ended July 31, consolidated revenues grew by 25% year-over-year to $8.46 billion, and EPS went up by 40% to $9.73 per share. The semiconductors segment, that added 32% year-over-year, was the primary driver for the company’s profit. The company’s free cash flows (FCF) topped $4.3 billion, allowing it to spend $1.7 billion on dividends and 1.5 billion on the shares repurchase program. The company is planning to continue spending at least 50% of FCF on dividends that added 43% every year on average since 2016. 

According to the Q4 FY 2022 forward guidance, the company is expecting its revenues to go up by 20% year-over-year to $8.9 billion and for EDITDA to go up by 25% to $5.6 billion. Broadcom has great experience in expanding its product portfolio by M&A operations, and apparently it will continue on this way. The company is also expected to benefit greatly from the $52.7 billion CHIPS bill in the United States.


B
Walmart Got a 3-1 Ticket to the Next Stage

 

The largest U.S. chain of hypermarkets, Walmart, shed new light on its inner sales projections. For its fiscal year of 2026, the particular numbers turned out to be somewhat lower compared to current estimates by the Wall Street analytical pool. The crowd responded by a nearly 8% plunge in the pre-market trading before the opening bell on February 20. Many investors may have thought they witnessed first signs of fading consumers' optimism. Yet, I personally do not believe this is a kind of fundamental trend reversal. Walmart's business has more than doubled over the past year, from about $50 to $105.30 at its new peak on February 14, with more than two-thirds of this rise being made in the last five months. Such steep climbs may easily face technical corrections under appropriate conditions, which occasion could immediately be considered as a great buying opportunity to enter the stock. The $90-a-piece support line formed a powerful pillar of the immediate post-Christmas rush. For me, the price area just above it plays the same role now.

What actually happened was that the fourth quarter of 2024 today revealed a very nice annual revenue growth of 4.1% (to reach the absolute record of $180.55 billion vs $179.85 in average expectations). This gave even up 5.3% in constant currency, with operating income rising at 8.3% (up $0.6 billion), or 9.4% in the so-called adjusted calculations. Walmart's EPS (equity per share) came out at $0.66, slightly better than $0.64 in average analyst pool forecast, which was only $0.01 lower than the best-ever quarterly indication of August 15, 2024. Global eCommerce sales by Walmart by 16%, reportedly led by "store fulfilled pickup & delivery" and U.S. marketplace. U.S. comparable sales, excluding gasoline, expanded by 4.9% in the last quarter, compared to previous expectations for a jump of 4.15%, helped by solid demand for obesity drugs. The chain's advertising business has increased by 29%, including 24% for Walmart Connect program in the U.S., which extends ad reach beyond Walmart's owned properties by displaying ads on a network of partner websites. In 2024, Walmart also raised its dividend payment to shareholders by 13% to $0.94 per share, which was the largest increase in over a decade. "We have momentum driven by our low prices, a growing assortment, and an e-commerce business driven by faster delivery times," Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said in a statement, adding that the chain continued to gain its market share. I see only good things in last year's report, despite all natural disasters in December, am I thinking in the wrong direction?

As to the current financial year, Walmart only projected consolidated net sales to rise within the range of 3% to 4%, against Wall Street egghead analyst suggestions of a 4% uptick, according to LSEG data cited by Reuters. For Q1 2025, the store chain sees its adjusted per-share profit at $0.57 to $0.58, marginally less than Wall Street estimates as well, citing negative currency effects. If you can call this a weakness, then call it a weakness that Kylian Mbappe scored "only" three goals instead of using his possible four or five scoring chances for Real Madrid against Manchester City in the Champions League match last eve. I think we now have 3-1 in Walmart's favour and no investor should cry if the score is not 4-0. The result is great anyway, still giving Walmart a ticket to the next round of buying to follow the uptrend.

When offering every possible thing from retail goods to groceries, the clear progress of Walmart also serves as a bellwether for other U.S. consumer staples just a few days after the recent set of retail sales data has shown only a monthly decline, very typical for February. But I still see Walmart and Costco as leaders in which it makes good sense to invest more than other stocks in the segment.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Monero Is Heading Towards $275

Monero (XMR) is trading flat around $231 this week after briefly rising by 4.72% to $242.7 earlier. The token maintains a steady uptrend, having surpassed key resistance levels at $175 in December and $195 in January. It is now retesting the $225 resistance from above, with price targets set at $275–$285.

Unlike most cryptocurrencies, Monero is less affected by broader market volatility due to its strong focus on privacy and fungibility. Optimism around privacy coins surged after the U.S. Treasury lifted sanctions on Tornado Cash last December. Although Monero was previously delisted from Binance due to regulatory concerns, the easing of restrictions suggests a more favourable outlook for the project going forward. If momentum continues, XMR could push toward its next resistance levels in the coming weeks.

4636
A Jump of Intel: Episode II

As most Wall Street stocks are only hovering near record highs, reluctant to take extra steps up under global tariff threats, some equities noted in our previous reports are making headway. In particular, the dizzying success of Intel Corporation (INTC) becomes so clear, following a new U.S. regulatory landscape. In a tariff-driven domestic frame, a recent pledge by Donald Trump's vice president JD Vance for a stepped-up push to support the nationally-oriented chip manufacturers raised the market price of Intel from just $20 to $25 per share in a few days over the past week. Now, to this initial 25% jump, another 16% has been added within one trading session on February 18. When touching the next $27.5 mark, Intel continues to shine on news about potential splitting this large business in two.

Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg reported after the long weekend that the other two semiconductor flagships, Broadcom (AVGO) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) were exploring the prospects of the deal. Broadcom, which is a worldwide specialist in designing and developing solid-state components for a lot of chip-based technologies, including its role in common efforts for Apple's chip Baltra for new iPhones after 2026, seems to be trying to acquire Intel's chip-design segment and its marketing operations. Meanwhile, the chip giant of Taiwan is considering controlling stake in Intel factories. A possible partnership between Broadcom and Taiwan Semiconductor in dividing Intel was noted by several whistleblowers. White House plans to boost U.S. chip production may create legal guarantees and also expedite a possible approval for the deal.

TSM already has its fabrication facility in the state of Arizona, which it officially plans to expand "in the coming years". That's why TSM could be very receptive to such a deal, if Trump's administration would make preferences for producing U.S.-designed chips on United States soil. There could be only two obstacles. First, negotiations are probably in early stages. Trump could have objections to the concept of letting a foreign entity control U.S.-based chip factories. But he supposedly has no big choice on financing domestic chip production, taking into consideration that Intel was too weak in recent decades, lagging behind AI grands.

The U.S. new government may be ready to push for TSM to support Intel, as the Republicans need production expansion in the U.S. to show the success in creating jobs and adding the market value to the company, which was declining for years. TSM could even avoid import tariffs in this case. It is only unclear whether these plans will include Intel. Anyway, those stockholders who had responded to our call after the start of Intel's surge last week have already made at least 20%, and can now make a calm and informed choice on whether to take profits or wait beyond a reasonable $50 per share target that looks likely if all the deal leaks later materialize.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Dogecoin Is Struggling to Keep Its Recent Gains

Dogecoin (DOGE) is down 5.6% to $0.2530 this week, underperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 1.0% to $96,164. The memecoin briefly dropped to $0.2419 before recovering slightly, following U.S. President Donald Trump’s renewed threats of a 25% tariff on pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and vehicle imports. Investor reaction was moderate, but DOGE fell below the midpoint of its ascending channel. A return above this level is crucial to avoid further declines to $0.2000—or, in an unlikely bearish scenario, even $0.1000.

Despite the current weakness, Dogecoin retains upside potential. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is considering an application for a spot DOGE ETF, which could drive institutional interest. Additionally, continued support from high-profile backers, including Elon Musk, strengthens its long-term appeal.

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