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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

26.11.2024
Meta Could Score 18% in the Next Few Months

Meta Platforms (META), the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, has been trading sideways within the $550-600 range since late September, underperforming the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, which has gained 6.0% during the same period.

While META shares remain within an ascending channel, they are currently resting at the support of the uptrend. Historically, each time the stock reached this level, it rebounded upwards by 15-18%. Consequently, the share price is likely to rise to $650-670 over the coming months. I plan to open a long trade at $550-570, targeting a potential upside of $185. A stop-loss could be placed below recent lows at $480.

15.09.2022
Safe Haven Assets for Long-Term Investments: Broadcom

Broadcom is an American semiconductor and infrastructure software development company. Soon it is expected to close a merger deal with VMware, a cloud computing and visualization company, that will open new cross-sales opportunities for Broadcom to boost its revenues. Broadcom stocks are now 25% off their peak values.

According to the Q3 FY 2022 financial report that ended July 31, consolidated revenues grew by 25% year-over-year to $8.46 billion, and EPS went up by 40% to $9.73 per share. The semiconductors segment, that added 32% year-over-year, was the primary driver for the company’s profit. The company’s free cash flows (FCF) topped $4.3 billion, allowing it to spend $1.7 billion on dividends and 1.5 billion on the shares repurchase program. The company is planning to continue spending at least 50% of FCF on dividends that added 43% every year on average since 2016. 

According to the Q4 FY 2022 forward guidance, the company is expecting its revenues to go up by 20% year-over-year to $8.9 billion and for EDITDA to go up by 25% to $5.6 billion. Broadcom has great experience in expanding its product portfolio by M&A operations, and apparently it will continue on this way. The company is also expected to benefit greatly from the $52.7 billion CHIPS bill in the United States.


12.05.2022
Perspective ETFs in the ESG energy segment: Invesco Global Clean Energy Portfolio ETF

This ETF invests in green energy ventures. The pandemic led to a 300% increase of its share price. But since the beginning of 2022 they have lost 30%, twice as much as the S&P 500 SPY ETF. The net capital which has outflown from the Fund has reached $31.5 billion over the last 12 months, while the major outflow was recorded in December 2021. However, its shares are still seen to be overbought as P/E multiplier is at 24 that is well above the average of 20 for the EFT’s that are linked to the S&P 500, while the dividend yields are above PBD’s numbers.

Inflation in the United States is rising negatively affecting all shares with a high P/E ratio. So, we may expect a further decline of the PBD share price and other similar assets that cannot be protected from rising risks. Traditional energies are looking more attractive on this background and could be a perfect hedge asset amidst geopolitical uncertainties. 

12.04.2024
CarMax Is More Committed to Innovations But Market Conditions Make It Sinking

CarMax (KMX) quarterly report came out on April 11, vividly displaying why any immediate investment into the used car market still sounds like not a good idea. The stock quickly lost ground, wasting a double-digit number of percentage points as a response to its net income drop to $0.32 per share against $0.44 cents per share a year ago, also compared to much stronger $0.52, $0.75 and $1.44 per share in the previous three quarters. Analyst polls estimated a net income per share at about $0.50, which would be 56% better than the reality.

This almost looks like a financial fiasco in the company's efforts to withstand slowing demand in the segment. CarMax Q4 2023 revenue decreased by 1.7% to $5.6 billion, slightly below consensus expectations of $5.8 billion, indicating the lack of gross marginality of the business. This happened even though the total supply of unsold used vehicles on dealer lots grew by 9% YoY to 2.27 million units in March, according to Cox Automotive data. CarMax CEOs delayed their own goal of selling over 2 million units annually, when measuring combined retail and wholesale actions, to between 2026 and 2030, from its prior target of 2026.

A "higher-for-longer" Fed fund rates is demonstrably bad for car sales volumes, be it new generation Tesla cars or just pre-owned vehicles, while operating costs for warehouses are growing. Besides, easing some semiconductor constraints in North America may help marginally improving orders for new cars, leaving used-car sales under the same pressure. Meanwhile, the entrance of Asia players offered significant discounts. Therefore, North American and European operators of the used car market need to sell many great cars at cheaper prices. CarMax already posted its official warning of a potential "hit to profit-sharing revenue" due to inflationary impact to its partners, before last Christmas. "While affordability of used cars remains the challenge for consumers, pricing improved during the quarter," Enrique Mayor-Mora, executive vice president and CFO admitted.

It was only a smaller division of CarMax Auto Finance, which managed to get a 19% better income due to "a lower provision for loan losses" and an increase in average managed receivables. Yet, this was rather news from the side business, which was clearly not enough to be optimistic. The company added that it is now focused on enhancing its omni-channel experience and leveraging data science and automation. Carmax said it delivered "strong retail and wholesale" graphic processors, which helped to increase "used saleable inventory units" more than 10%, but used total inventory units was unchanged despite innovations. The company seeks to achieve efficiency improvements in its core operations, believing that they "are well-positioned to drive growth as the market turns", according to Enrique Mayor-Mora. This may be useful to strengthen competitiveness in better times for the segment. Yet, the current challenges are too heavy to be ignored by market crowds.

Market Trending Ahead of Christmas

When the pre-Christmas week was just beginning, the global investment sentiment had been fuelled by record-breaking earnings of a great chipmaker for gadgets and data centers Broadcom. The bullish appetites were sparked as that was the last big tech company to report before the year-end, and it luckily projected a better trend for chip demand from flagship customers like Apple, Samsung, Huawei and Cisco.

The value of Broadcom added more than 35% within a couple of trading days to hit $1 trillion or over $250 per share. This was around an annual target area for the firm according to estimates of many reputable investing houses. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index exceeded a psychological mark of 20,000 points.

The two achievements in sync prompted a natural wave of massive profit taking by a happy but still wary crowd, due to much weaker prospects provided by some other AI era leaders like Adobe and Oracle, especially ahead of the last Federal Reserve’s policy decision in 2024. Thus, the widespread stock rally was stopped and faced an even deeper 3% retracement from fresh peaks in terms of the S&P 500 broad market barometer. The S&P 500 had to retrace from above 6,050 to below 5,850 points on Wednesday night of December 18, as a response to the U.S. central bank’s relentless remarks. Its chair Jerome Powell clarified that policymakers shifted their road map from previously supposed three or four interest rate cut moves to only two small 0.25% steps to lower borrowing costs in a very narrow and careful way. Too high levels of normalised rates restrict access to cheap credit resources, being negative for stocks, yet this impact is limited in time and scale due to a solid labour market, hopes for soft landing, running away from inflation to assets and lower rates in other countries. A rate differential factor is also boosting yields of the U.S. public debt, which led the Greenback index to fresh 24-month highs above 108 points, suppressing gold prices.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
ATOM Is Likely to Continue Down to $5.00

Cosmos (ATOM) is up 1.78% this week, trading at $6.540, closely tracking the broader market, where Bitcoin has gained 1.30% to $96,034. Despite the recent uptick, ATOM is struggling to hold onto its gains, having lost 27.0% since December 17, pulling prices down to a recent low of $5.810.

This temporary stabilization may precede a retest of the $7.500 resistance, potentially followed by a deeper decline toward the stronger support at $5.000. This critical level could serve as a solid foundation for a recovery, should market sentiment improve and broader cryptocurrency trends turn positive.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
NEM Is Likely to Dive Further to $0.0160

Nem (NEM) has plunged 28.0% this week to $0.0225, significantly underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market, where Bitcoin (BTC) is down 8.2% to $94,500. The sharp decline in altcoins has caught many off guard, with the broader market weakness taking hold following the Federal Reserve's hawkish decisions on Wednesday. Cryptocurrencies, like other risky assets, are under heavy selling pressure, and no clear bottom has been established.

Bitcoin faces a critical support level at $90,000, representing a potential additional decline of 5.0%. Should this level be tested, NEM prices could drop a further 11.0% to $0.0200. A deeper decline toward $0.0160, coinciding with trend support, is also possible if selling pressure intensifies. Any meaningful recovery in NEM prices would likely depend on broader Bitcoin movements, as NEM itself lacks positive catalysts or supportive news to drive independent gains.

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FedEx Kingdom Will Be Divided Within Itself to Withstand Better

The parcel delivery operator missed quarterly consensus estimates but its market value was soaring by nearly 8.75% to $300 per share in extending trading during the Thursday night, thanks to announcing plans to spin off its freight trucking division through the capital markets with an intention to create a new publicly traded company. The stock is knocking the $300 door for the fourth time in six months, but each time bullish attacks went awry leading to a larger or smaller retracement. What will be the developments now it's hard to say based on current fundamentals, but it would be useful to look more carefully at the investing crowd's moves in the vicinity of this psychologically important band, $300 plus or minus $10 to $15 per share.

FedEx reported both revenue and profit lines for the previous quarter mostly in-line with average expert estimates. This was a small step forward compared to the numbers three months ago as the indications at the end of September sharply missed consensus bets ($3.6 for equity per share instead of $4.86 in Wall Street projections and $21.6 billion instead of nearly $22 billion in expert poll bets for the firm's sales). Now both the bottom and the top lines improved to $4.05 for equity per share on revenue of $22 billion. However, there is almost flat growth on an annual basis, with the last quarter still lagging well behind some much more successful quarterly results in 2021-2023. What is a good sign that FedEx also provided a higher forward guidance for fiscal 2025, with earnings ranging between $19 and $20 per share, which is an equivalent for $4.75 to $5.00 per average quarter. The Wall Street pool assumptions were limited to $19.75.

Markets hope for aggressive cost cutting during a complex restructuring. The permanent cost reductions from FedEx transformation program already released $2.2 billion. The process may become more effective when FedEx will divide itself into two independent businesses seeking for two different growth strategies, even if the two businesses may attempt to preserve commercial and operational synergies. The separation is reportedly to be done within the next 18 months and "in a tax-efficient manner for FedEx stockholders" and executed. By separation, FedEx would "respond to the unique dynamics of the LTL market,” said CEO Raj Subramaniam. The term LTL, in contrast with global parcelling, means "less than truckload" to refer to shipping services for relatively small loads of freight, typically below 15,000 pounds, which may lead to smarter cost efficiency. As a part of the single corporation, FedEx Freight subdivision was increasing its operating profit averagely by 25% a year over the previous 5 years. FedEx Freight will be the largest LTL carrier having the widest global network for transportation and the fastest delivery time within this segment.

Unlike the Biblical kingdom, which is divided within itself and will be destroyed, this business kingdom wants to be divided but still trying to remain a cart moving better. With still a shared brand of FedEx and their common base of customers, commercial agreements will be made between the two entities. Capital allocation optionality including advanced flexibility to invest in profitable growth and then returning capital to stockholders, distinct and compelling investment profiles with two separate public stock listings and distinct stockholder bases were remarked among the basic advantages. We will see sooner or later if this decision will actually allow the two companies to organize a more customized operational execution as well as more tailored capital allocations when unlocking a separate value (some sources say it could be up to $20 billion) for a freight branch of FedEx business., as it was declared, will it release more efficiency for FedEx Express and FedEx Ground businesses. And, finally, investors will see if it was true or not that FedEx Freight assets were probably not fully appreciated within FedEx.

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