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14.01.2025

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

14.01.2025

Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

16.01.2025

Delta Is Taking Off To Update Its Highs

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

23.01.2025

Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

09.01.2025

VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

Rafael Quintana Martinez

Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/

26.02.2025

Litecoin Is Recovering ahead of Spot LTC-ETF Introduction

Litecoin (LTC) is down 2.3% this week to $125.50, outperforming Bitcoin (BTC), which has fallen 7.0% to $88,928. Despite the sharp 17% decline earlier in the week, which pushed LTC to a low of $105.93, the token has largely recovered.

A major development for Litecoin is Canary Capital’s filing with the SEC for a spot LTC-ETF. Nasdaq has already assigned the ticker LTCC for the proposed fund. This signals potential institutional support, which could provide a strong long-term boost for the asset.

From a technical perspective, pullbacks to the $100.00 support level present an attractive buying opportunity, especially if broader market conditions stabilize.

LTCUSD

2244

Rafael Quintana Martinez

25.02.2025

VeChain Is Likely to Continue Down

VeChain (VET) is down 18.2% this week to $0.02650, mirroring the broader crypto market’s downturn, with Bitcoin (BTC) plunging 8.3% to $87,980. BTC has broken below its critical $88,000–90,000 support zone, raising concerns of a further slide toward $78,000–80,000. While this is likely a short-term issue, a deeper decline of another 10% could trigger widespread panic in altcoins.

VeChain recently introduced new tokenomics and rewards under its Renaissance initiative, but this has provided only temporary support for prices. VET has already fallen below the key $0.03000 level, and continued market pressure could push it down to $0.02000. However, this area is expected to act as a strong support, potentially setting the stage for a recovery.

VECUSD

2564

Rafael Quintana Martinez

25.02.2025

Good Buy Opportunities for Western Union

Western Union (WU) stock has been in a downtrend since March 12, 2024, declining by 26.0% to $10.60. This is precisely the level where prices began recovering in March 2023, rallying by 23.0% afterward.

Currently, prices are breaking out of the downtrend, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern—typically a sign of building momentum. Given several technical factors, an upside breakout appears more likely.

I am considering opening a long position at $10.40–10.70, targeting $12.40–12.70, where a price gap from July 31, 2024, remains unfilled. This gap should be closed. A stop-loss would be set at $8.60.

2327

Bash

24.02.2025

AI Unlocks a Trove with Alibaba Riches

In Ali Baba and the Forty Thieves, a folk tale included to the One Thousand and One Nights collection of Arabic stories, the magical words "Khul ja sim sim", or ”Open, Sesame”, had the power to open the mouth of a cave containing a hidden and unbelievable riches inside. Now it seems that the AI-word has its own modern magic as a secret password to unlock a trove of resuming Alibaba stock rally. The Chinese-rooted e-commerce giant confirmed its plans for major AI investment at the moment when last quarter's revenue showed a solid rebound.

This was enough for Alibaba stock soaring by another 15% in the past week alone. Getting too close to the next symbolic landmark of $150 per piece on weekly charts made it possible to turn a mostly bullish sentiment to an immediate corrective step back of over 10% already in the very first hour of this Monday's regular trading for Alibaba's ADR after the opening bell on Wall Street. This warning sign is intended to remind the crowd of positive-minded investors of the former Alibaba stock movement, which has been actually stifled in early autumn 2024 after a two-week spike, not destined to reach $120. That time, Alibaba prices returned deep to the bottom around $80 before finding the strength to rise again only in the beginning of 2025. BABA has risen more than 60% since the recent Christmas time.

5 months ago I wrote that Chinese markets took heart, but this turned out to be a “premature truth”. And here is a lesson I need to learn so as not to set myself far-reaching goals to be celebrated too soon. However, I would not question the concept of a further step-by-step climbing for Alibaba shares, based on a rather successful response on its management's global claims and keeping in mind a great free space up to above $300, since this target perfectly corresponds to the peak values of 2020. Goals around $200 could come first, but approaching these kinds of distant targets may not happen in nearest months, or even this year, as proper pullbacks up to $115-$120 or so may occur on the way, which makes new purchases reasonable either with a corresponding retest of these lower levels, or with a clear breakthrough above a $150 resistance by any week's closing.

As to the world of correct words and numbers, "this quarter's results demonstrated substantial progress in our "user first, AI-driven" strategies and the re-accelerated growth of our core businesses," said Eddie Wu, CEO of Alibaba Group, after his company's sales rose 8% YoY in Chinese Yuans to RMB 280.15 billion, even slightly beating Wall Street pool estimates of RMB 277.03 billion. Alibaba's core businesses are Taobao and Tmall Group, which are directed to Chinese native customers and to Alibaba's clients abroad. Cutting prices in time and intensifying promotional offers was cited among factors, which allowed to revitalise consumer spending.

Just to offer you some more dry figures, the company's Cloud Intelligence group revenue grew by 13% YoY to RMB 31.74 billion, and so this AI-related product is maintaining its strong growth for the sixth straight quarter in a row which gives much of the current inspiration in the market. As an example, the facts that the company's cloud business was "much stronger than the Street" and its AI strategy "is heading into its next gear of growth" could deliver "an inflection point" to make Alibaba one of the winners "in the China AI Arms Race", according to Wedbush Securities. Again, Alibaba's international digital commerce segment surged 32% YoY to RMB 37.76 billion ($5.17 billion), hinting that cross-border business is striving for higher speeds.

Focus areas for further investing into AI may now include the sector implications of post-DeepSeek effective tools. As Alibaba CEO Eddie Wu mentioned, aiming to develop models that extend the boundaries of intelligence. He characterised the AI revolution as "the kind of opportunity for industry transformation that only comes around only once every few decades", and so that the company would invest more in AI and cloud computing "over the next three years than it had in the past decade", without a particular investment amount.

In contrast to the years of an alleged excommunication, the clear participation of Alibaba's co-founder Jack Ma in a meeting of enterprise leaders chaired by China's President Xi Jinping in February, as well as broadcasted pictures of Jack Ma shaking hands with the all-mighty Xi, also raised investor confidence in Alibaba. In the current wave of business stimulation in China, proximity to the ruling Communist Party matters, no less than to know by heart an "Open, Sesame" password.

BABA

2801