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Notizie e analisi

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16.01.2025

Delta Air Lines stock rose markedly by low double digits in the first ten days of the new year. The U.S. carrier has served more than 200 million customers in 2024, when it was also recognized by J.D. Power, a leading American data analytics and consumer intelligence company, for being No. 1 in First/Business and Premium Economy Passenger Satisfaction. Travelers became more willing to spend extra money for swanky seats when meeting a high level of service. Delta is just positioning itself as the nation's premium airline. And what's more important, its Christmas quarter's earnings reportedly surpassed average analyst pool projections. Driven by stronger travel demand, smart financial management and capacity discipline, Delta business provided last three-months' profit of $1.85 per share vs $1.28 at the same period one year ago, compared to $1.75 in consensus estimates. On January 10, the airline industry leader put its future profit levels within a range between $0.70 and $1 per share in the current quarter through the end of March, while analyst expectations were focused on $0.77 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. The starting months of each year always perform worse. It is clear that all carriers made losses in the Covid years of 2020-2022, but Delta profits only recovered into a range from $0.25 to $0.45 in the first quarter of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but Q1 profit numbers varied from $0.75 to $0.96 even in the three blessed years before the pandemic. Delta added that it is forecasting annual earnings in excess of $7.35 a share, which would be the highest in its 100-year history, based on its planned revenue growth of 7% to 9% in the March quarter from a year ago. The announcement could be compared to an adjusted profit of $6.16 a share in 2024. The company happily breaks through ticket prices' rising effects, almost undisturbed by a reduction in airline seats in the domestic market, which was peculiar for most carriers. Thus, new expectations created a fertile ground for setting new price records, even though price movements on Delta charts look most convincing among its other American rivals.

By the way, Citigroup analysts freshly updated their outlook on Delta Air Lines shares to raise their price target to $80 from the previous $77, vs the actual range around $65 per share where the stock just came after a reasonable market correction from last week's and all-time highs. Citigroup said it has included factors like higher revenue per available seat mile, projections of slightly lower fuel prices, increased taxation, a minor rise in share count, and the incorporation of fourth-quarter 2024 results into their financial model, which has projected Delta's profit at $7.49 per share in 2024 and $8.72 in 2025. Delta shares are Buy-rated at Citi, and we agree with their positive estimates in general, while keeping in mind even better price goals somewhere between $82.5 and $85.

23.01.2025

Ontology Is Sliding Towards $0.2000

Ontology (ONT) is down 2.3% this week, trading at $0.2176, in line with the broader crypto market where Bitcoin (BTC) has declined 2.0% to $101,632. While the new U.S. administration has made some strides toward fairer crypto regulation, Donald Trump has remained silent on the highly anticipated issue of adding Bitcoin to U.S. federal reserves.

Market speculation is rampant, with figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink suggesting Bitcoin could surge to $700,000 per coin if sovereign wealth funds begin accumulating. Other forecasts predict Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end. While such projections could foster optimism, the lack of decisive action or announcements regarding U.S. crypto reserves is weighing heavily on the market.

For Ontology, the situation remains bearish. Having breached the critical support at $0.2500 last week, the token is now approaching the $0.2000 level. A failure to provide clear evidence or statements about U.S. federal crypto reserve plans could see ONT fall even further, breaching the $0.2000 mark and deepening its losses.

14.01.2025

Tezos Is Seen Hodling above $1.200

Tezos (XTZ) has declined slightly by 0.2% this week, trading at $1.249, following Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to $89,158, which triggered widespread altcoin sell-offs due to concerns of a potential further decline in BTC to $80,000. However, Bitcoin managed to hold above the critical support level at $89,000-$91,000, offering some relief to the broader crypto market.

Speculation about a shift in U.S. trade policy has provided additional support to crypto assets. Reports suggest the new U.S. administration may pursue a gradual increase in tariffs rather than an abrupt hike, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and lead to a less aggressive monetary stance from the Federal Reserve.

This development is a positive signal for the cryptocurrency market and may help Tezos maintain its position above the key support level of $1.200.

09.01.2025

VeChain Is Suffering on Rising Borrowing Costs

VeChain (VET) has fallen 12.7% this week, trading at $0.0445, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has declined by 5.6% to $93,220, with bearish momentum building as it approaches key support at $89,000-$91,000. This decline is largely attributed to tightening monetary conditions in the United States, which continue to weigh on risk assets. Investor confidence is further shaken by significant net outflows from spot BTC-ETFs, which lost $583 million on Wednesday, marking the second-largest single-day outflow on record.

If BTC falls below the critical support level of $89,000-$91,000, VeChain is likely to extend its losses, with prices potentially declining another 10% to $0.0400. A sustained drop in BTC could push VET even lower, towards $0.0300. Conversely, a strong rebound in BTC prices to the $100,000 level could drive VET back up to $0.0500, representing a recovery of approximately 12% from current levels.

14.01.2025

Merck Becomes Interesting to Be Added to a Portfolio

Merck & Co (MRK) stocks have shown signs of becoming a compelling buy opportunity. Over the past six months, the stock has been in a downtrend, declining 29.8% to $94.50 per share. However, since mid-November, MRK has demonstrated a reversal of momentum, rebounding by 10.0% to reach $104.87 on December 5. Following a brief pullback and consolidation period, the stock has retested the downtrend resistance and appears poised to continue its upward trajectory.

With prices currently positioned to target $110.00, this represents a potential 9-10% upside from the present levels. Setting a stop-loss at $93.50 aligns with a prudent risk management strategy, providing protection against further downside while allowing for upside potential. The recent consolidation phase further supports the case for a breakout, making this an attractive moment to consider initiating or adding to a position in MRK.

MetadoroAnalisi interna

04.08.2025

Better Late Than Too Late

The sharp correction on the very first day of August made the S&P 500 broad barometer touching the 6,212 mark following a historical record high of above 6,435 only one day before. However, we do not suggest this will last long. This is quite clear because the reason to fall lies solely in the US economy markers, while the market flagships are global businesses with revenue and profits are largely derived from many part of the world.

Moreover, the whole set of labour market data released on August 1 is not a simple reflection of weaker hiring, but also a welcome sign for markets. Indeed, such a slowdown in new jobs should prompt the Federal Reserve to lower its interest rates at last, as they are too high at 4.25% to 4.50%. More than 80% of traders now expect a cooling labour market to push Fed's chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues to cut rates no later than their September meeting, according to FedWatch data. This is exactly what the entire investment community had been waiting for a long, long time, whereas before the August 1 data, the number of traders betting for such an outcome from the September meeting was only about 37%. Getting much more "cheap" money to borrow is revolutionary for the market investment process, helping to reignite the rally even if it fades. Thus, the so-called economic negative from the labour market is a positive in a purely investment context.

Interestingly, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) seems to have done a necessary job to shift the Federal Reserve's opinion that the president Donald Trump has so far failed to achieve with his threats to fire Fed's chair Jerome Powell. However, BLS commissioner Erika McEntarfer immediately paid with her job as Trump accused her of faking the jobs numbers. Trump called for new leadership in BLS after its rather shocking manner of a downward revision showing as much as 258,000 fewer jobs created in May and June than it has been previously reported.

It is understandable that data updates could happen as some firms are created or go out of business, and the Bureau doesn't really know that during the course of the last month, until it reconciles the incoming data vs a real full count. Yet, growing concerns about the quality of the U.S. economy started, since any re-evaluations should still have reasonable limits, and the agency was apparently at least slow in summing up the results. The BLS reportedly surveys over 120,000 U.S. employers each month to seek their payroll employment during the week in which the 12th day of the month falls, but the response rate went down over the last several years from 80.3% in 2020 to about 67.1% this year.

Nevertheless, re-estimates in the August 1 release were enormous by historic standards. The downward revision of 125,000 jobs for May was the largest between a second estimate and third estimate since a 492,000 special COVID time case, reported in June 2020 for the payrolls report for May 2020. Friday’s revision was the largest for a change from the second monthly estimate to the third estimate since a 127,000 job downward revision in as early as March 1983, according to BLS own data.

All this is not harmless at all, and if such a significant cooling of the labor market had been signalled in sync with time, then the Fed could have been moved to reduce the interest rate already in July, without waiting for the fall season. However, better late than too late. Weaker jobs numbers contributed to rate cut hopes. That's why Wall Street has quickly recovered. The crowd has eagerly begun to buy fresh dips after last week's pullback, rising more than a full percentage point above 6,300 already in the first hour of regular trading on August 4. All this shaking has only given us and other bulls better prices for a while which may serve to propel the market higher for a longer period. So, all of our previous estimates of early targets above 6,750 and then above 7,000 for the S&P 500 over the coming months of 2025 and early 2026 remain valid.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez

Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/

04.08.2025

ApeCoin Is Ready for a Rebound

ApeCoin (APE) is rising by 0.2% to $0.5590 this week, slightly outperforming Bitcoin (BTC), which remains flat at $114,428. The broader crypto market is under pressure following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and weaker-than-expected labour market data for June and July in the U.S. The Nasdaq 100 index dropped sharply by 3.8% over Thursday and Friday, amplifying the risk-off mood. Market sentiment was further weighed down by the unexpected resignation of Federal Reserve Board member Adriana Kugler.

Bitcoin dropped steeply during the correction, briefly touching $111,855 on Sunday. APE also approached key support at $0.500 — the same level from which it previously rebounded by 47% to reach $0.775. With the current setup resembling that past rally, history could be on the verge of repeating, provided broader market conditions stabilise.

APEUSD

548

Rafael Quintana Martinez

01.08.2025

Dash Is Waiting for a Rebound

Dash (DSH) is losing 11.6% to $20.35 this week, significantly underperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) is down by 3.5% to $115,070. The overall decline in crypto is mirroring weakness in other risk assets, as U.S. stocks fell following the Federal Reserve’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged at 4.50% while reaffirming its hawkish stance. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s position appears increasingly uncertain after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that the matter regarding Powell would likely be resolved by the end of 2025, before his term concludes. Meanwhile, the U.S. has intensified its trade standoff with the BRICS bloc, further pressuring market sentiment. Dash itself has no internal catalysts to support its price and has erased its 29% gains from the past two weeks. It is now sitting on a key support level at $20.00. A rebound from this level is possible, but the token will need a clear trigger to regain upward momentum.

DSHUSD

527

Rafael Quintana Martinez

31.07.2025

Ethereum Is Aiming for $5000

Ethereum (ETH) is rising by 0.57% to $3,856 this week, outperforming the broader crypto market, where Bitcoin (BTC) is down 0.62% to $118,479. Investor enthusiasm is growing as ETH posted an impressive 55.3% gain in July, drawing attention to the key psychological level of $4,000. A break above this barrier could trigger a move toward $4,500, with the potential to challenge the all-time high of $4,864. Bitcoin also shows strength, with room for another 30% rally that could carry it toward the $150,000–$160,000 range. Such a move would likely boost Ethereum further, possibly pushing it to $5,000, though any additional upside beyond that point would depend heavily on broader market dynamics.

ETHUSD

814