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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

Stocks to Bounce in September: Best Buy

Best Buy was the highlight of the last set of Q2 earnings reports this week. The American consumer electronics shop, which is shipping thousands of items like cell phones and other gadgets, computers, appliances, video games etc. beat consensus on both revenue and profit.

The company’s EPS (equity per share) of $1.22 on sales of $9.58 billion was better than estimates of $1.07 per share on sales of $9.52 billion on average. Appropriate numbers were also 6.1% and 1.15% better than in the previous quarter, even though 20.8% and 7.3% lower YoY. The segment is still under pressure due to clearly reduced global demand on non-essential goods, yet the company's marginality is growing, as it seemingly managed to balance costs and its pricing policy. Gross margin level was at 23.2%, being 60 basis points above the expert pool forecasts. For the financial year of 2024, Best Buy sees its EPS of $6.20 on sales of $44.15 billion, against previous consensus for earnings of $6.08 on sales of $44.3 billion.

Deeper but reasonable discounts encouraged consumers to shop, giving results that are "at the high-end of the outlook" the company shared in May, said Corie Barry, Best Buy CEO, adding that the financial side of its business continued to "demonstrate our strong operational execution as we balance our reaction to the current industry sales pressure with our ongoing strategic investments”. Best Buy shares became one of the best buy cases of the week, as the stock initially jumped by 5.6% on August 29 to hold a gain of 3.87% before the closing bell.

Since Best Buy stocks have been in a downtrend since November 2021 and then rebounded sharply in November 2022, and are moving sideways at lower levels till now, a moderate bounce in an attempt to test its winter peaks may probably be called a baseline scenario for September.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
Neo is Seen Down Despite a Relief in the Crypto Market

Neo prices are up by 3.5% to $7.50 per coin since the beginning of the week. This rise came after positive developments on the crypto market. Investors believe that the cooling of the U.S. labour market would push the Federal Reserve to halt its interest rates on the current levels. These considerations pushed stocks’ prices up too.

However, Neo prices earlier have broken through the support at $7.50 per coin. Thus, a recent spike could be a retest of this support before they continue down. The next support level is located at $5.00, the lows of March 2020.

Investors believe that the decision of the District of Columbia Court of Appeals in Washington that said the U.S. securities regulator was wrong to reject an application from Grayscale Investments to create a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund could help Neo prices to recover. But this is unlikely to happen. The approval of the first spot Bitcoin-ETF in Europe led to a massive altcoin sell-off in the mid-August amid fears the share of Bitcoin in the crypto market will increase dramatically.

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Cardano Has Failed to Recover

Cardano has attempted to break its downtrend on August 29, but failed. Prices have returned inside a bearish channel. This failure gives nice opportunities for opening short trades at 0.2648-0.2680 with a nearest target at 0.2440, the low of August 18. The stop loss could be set slightly above 0.2800, the high of August 29.

81
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Apecoin is Giving Hope in the Short-Term

Apecoin was going downs since August 14, but has managed to reverse to the upside on August 29-30, delivering gains of 1.9% and 2.2% respectively. APEUSD prices have formed an upward channel since August 28. Prices are currently nearing its support. Thus, it could be interesting to consider long trades from 1.4320-1.4420 with a target at 1.5400, the high of August 23. The stop-loss could be set slightly below 1.4010, the low of August 29.

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