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11.08.2022
Perspective Peers of Ethereum: Avalanche

Avalanche is ranked by Coinmarketcap at the 12th position by market cap with $7.8 billion, which is 4% less than Ethereum’s market cap. AVAX prices dropped by 82% of its peak values, allowing investors to buy it at early 2021 prices. Avalanche’s infrastructure consists of three logically isolated networks, each of these with their own processing, validators, and own set of rules.

This platform is often compared to the existing internet web infrastructure with core connection protocols like HTTP, surrounded by a huge number of networks to their apps. Avalanche allow for the creation of public and private systems as a blockchain or DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) and for the use of different virtual machines for apps, including EVM engine (Ethereum Virtual Machine) that allows Enthereum network programs to be developed.

Avalanche includes C-chain to create smart contracts that are processed on an advanced EVM engine, P-Chain that coordinates validators that process transactions and also allows for the creation and management of new subnetworks, and X-Chain which is a directed acyclic graph regulating issuance and trade of cryptoassets. DAG systems record new transactions on top of the old ones, allowing for processing speed to be increased and for capacity substantially. It is quite different to other blockchains, where transactions are compiled in blocks in order to be processed.

The advantage of Avalanche is that it provides anyone with the opportunity to create his or her own isolated blockchain with its own set of parameters, including access to apps and the programming language with which it will work. Every subnetwork can process around 4,500 transactions per second compared to 14 processed by the Ethereum network.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Apple

Apple stocks have had a very impressive performance amid a clearly bearish market while losing only 20% of their peak values. However, investors should be prepared for elevated turbulence in these stocks considering the situation in China.

China’s zero-tolerance policy to COVID-19 led to a massive exit of employees from Zhengzhou city plant amid fears over tightening curbs. Over 200,000 workers are rumoured to have left the plant. If this is true, the production of iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max would be very complicated with no clear outlook on when it could be resumed. The delivery delay shown on Apple’s website has already hit six weeks. Americans who ordered the brand new IPhone for Thanksgiving Day will only receive it for Christmas now. Meanwhile the last two months of the year are very valuable for any mass-market company in terms of holiday sales.

 

Apple is planning to move iPhone production to India. But that would require years. The company has already invested $75 billion in the Chinese market and now this investment may be at risk as the ruling Communist party in China may put a local ban on the sale of Apple products. China is the third largest market for Apple with the United States at the first place with $153 billion and Europe at the second with $95 billion. Wall Street is expecting Apple’s earning to go up by five percent over the next three years. So, any troubles with production in China may alter these forecasts. 

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: eBay

eBay stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices despite significant progress in key businesses that increase the possibility of an increasing turnover of the auction platform. The dividend yield of the company is at 2.2%, while its buyback yield is at an impressive 24.4%. So, the overall reward for investors is at 26.6% in 2022, a record among public corporates. eBay has bought back shares for $5.3 billion during the last four quarters. So, outstanding shares have been reduced to 551 million from 685 million a year ago.

The company is actively developing collectable trading, including an acquisition of TCGplayer, a marketplace where enthusiasts exchange their collectables like Pokemon, Magic: The Gathering and others. The most important service that the platform provides is guaranteed authenticity of the collectables that ensures the buyers will not be subject to scams and also protect sellers from any malicious fraud. eBay has recently made this service available for jewellery above $500.

The company has published strong forward guidance for Q4 2022 with turnover at $17.8 billion, revenues at $2.46 billion, and EPS at $1.06. The EPS in the Q4 2021 was at $1.05. So, considering the tense situation in the retail market this year, any figures above record values of 2021 should be considered an achievement. eBay stocks will be able to recover rapidly to their peak prices once the market reverses to the upside, and that would mean 100% profit from the current values.

24.11.2022
Major Risks for Tech Giants: Tesla

Tesla is unique in terms of its share price. TSLA stocks rallied long before the company established the production of viable and steady electric vehicles (EV) and also thanks to the reputation of its leader Elon Musk. It is true that Tesla sometimes misses its mark and deadlines to launch new models and products but it seems that the crowd invests in Tesla not for its hit-and-run strategy but because of their belief in Musk’s ability to transform our everyday life in the long run.

Tesla stocks are trading 60% off their peak prices thanks to the market correction that has been squeezing the market since the end of 2021. Nevertheless, market participants are discussing some drivers that may hit the company’s business. For example, lower gasoline prices may hamper EV sales. It is true that Americans are now paying around $3.6 per gallon compared to $5 a few months ago. But this driver is largely exaggerated as gasoline prices is not the major reason for someone to buy an electric car. A move towards green energy and minimising carbon footprints is not a short term affair, but a sustainable long-term trend that is supported by governments, including the United States and China. Besides. oil producers forecast global demand will outweigh the supply side over the coming years while also betting on higher prices of fuel. So, no short-term movements of gasoline prices would affect EV buyers, as well as TSLA stock buyers.

The more serious issue is the declining prices for Tesla’s second-hand EVs. Tesla used cars are now 15% cheaper after a summer peak. If this downtrend is sustained pressure on sales of new model could mount. Tesla is planning to increase EV’s quarterly production to 500,000 by the end of 2022 and it is likely to increase production further after launching new production facilities in Berlin and Austin. But Tesla is not a mass market. So, Tesla fans are unlikely to pay much more to get a brand-new Tesla.

28.12.2022
The Most Generous Corporates: Capital One

Capital One Financial corporation shares are trading at 50% off their peak prices. This has inspired the management of the company to deliver a massive buyback program bringing the buyback yield to 19.3%. Together with 2.7% dividend yield, this has made the company one of the most generous in the market. COF shares are in great demand among investors that are focused on value stocks, such as Oakmark Fund with more than $45 billion in assets under management.

The specialisation of Capital One is mostly credit cards, auto loans provided to substandard borrowers, or in other words, people with high credit risk profiles. This business is highly profitable, although it does bear high risks too. The company says it has a reliable risk assessment model in place to run the business. The lender generates not only higher margins compared to its peers, but overruns regulators’ requirements of capital adequacy with 13.6% vs required 6%. Considering these criteria, the company is in line with some of the largest banking institutions in the world, like JP Morgan with 14.1% and the Bank of America with 12.8%.

The company’s capital base, which is built on clients’ deposits, is enough to conduct high-margin lending. Such a model of cheap resources is not only profitable but it is also stable. Capital One has a margin of 10-15% on its tangible equity. The interest for the company’s services is unlikely to decline in the foreseeable future considering the current economic environment. So, COF shares could be selected for long term investments with the upside potential of 30-40% once the market starts recovering.

Ignoring Temporary Uncertainties: Uber

The pandemic and the recent market correction of tech stocks pushed Uber stock prices below the IPO level. And now they are recovering. Wall Street analysts believe the company is benefiting from high borrowing costs as Uber peers cannot afford lower prices in this lower-margin business without the risk of losses. Thus, Uber could continue to increase its market share.

The company reported revenues up by 29% to $8.8 billion in the Q1 2023. EBITDA was reported at $761 million, beating management’s expectations of $660-700 million. The company works as a taxi and delivery service that was affected by the pandemic differently. The delivery services segment has reported 20.6% up in the Q1 2023, but the EBITDA of it is at $288 million or 1.9% of the revenues compared to $30 million and 0.2% a year ago.

Uber has a lot to do to increase its margins, but the leading position in the business allows the company to weather temporary difficulties of the global macroeconomic environment. So, investors are advised to consider this stock as part of their investment portfolio.

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Ignoring Temporary Uncertainties: Zillow

Zillow is the largest real estate market place in the United States. Its stocks are trading with 77% discount to their peak prices that were recorded in 2021. Correction of tech stocks and real estate market slowdown affected by high interest rates have a negative impact on Zillow stock prices. However, Zillow has the online business with high margins that is set to rebound at the appropriate moment.

Despite lower numbers of transactions, the company has reported that its internet traffic is mostly unchanged. It could indicate that Americans are seeking to buy houses that may eventually turn into real purchase once interest rates go down, or prices tumble.

Anybody who wants to buy a house in America will likely find in on one of the Zillow websites. The company reported 10.5 billion views during 2023, which was up by 3% YoY. The primary source of the revenues are now commissions, but the management is working to introduce mortgages. The company has other opportunities to monetize its business. Zillow offers insurance, renovation services, moving services, etc. Thus, its stocks remain promising in the long run.

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Ignoring Temporary Uncertainties: Datadog

Datadog is a service for monitoring internal IT infrastructure and services through the SaaS-based analytical platform. Its stocks are trading 50% off their peak prices. So, investors have a rare opportunity to buy its stocks at a significant discount during overall market correction. It is worthwhile to mention that Datadog stock prices were continuously rising after the IPO, and rose significantly over the past two months amid the AI hype. Nonetheless, they have more upside potential at the moment.

The company is demonstrating an impressive revenue pace as it reported Q1 2023 revenues up by 33% YoY to $481.7 million, beating Wall Street forecast by $70 million. Its client base is expanding rapidly, as the company reported 25,500 clients vs 19,800 a year ago. About 81% of existing clients are using at least two services, while 43% pay for 4+ services. There were only 35% of clients who paid for 4+ services a year ago.

The management is expecting revenues to rise by 25% to $2.1 billion in 2023, which is quite impressive compared to other tech companies that are struggling to deliver significant revenue growth compared to the pandemic period. In other words, Datadog stock deserve a place in the long-term investment portfolio.

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Rafael Quintana Martinez
Money Manager de alto rendimiento, con una sólida formación académica, profesional y de campo. Más de 9 años de experiencia especializada en el comercio de mercados financieros internacionales. La devoción, la fiabilidad, la responsabilidad y la ética impulsan mi vida. Actualmente me desempeño como Analista Senior para Metadoro. https://metadoro.com/es https://mx.investing.com/members/contributors/235587671/ https://es.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rE9gVips/
The Lonnie is Rushing to New Records

An important support level was broken at 1.33 for the USDCAD. The next key support level, which is now my target, is located at 1.3050. The 1.33 level was confirmed to be strong in July 2022, while 1.3050 has been a historically strong support level since June 2021. It was proven to be a strong one even in 2009 and 2004. Thus, I am considering opening new short positions below 1.33. To avoid unnecessary risks, I will place a stop loss order above this level.

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